PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 12-30-2024
Race 1 -Female
12 – Designated – She has won two races out of the last three starts, has a trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Namora – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Bright Kohana – She has won three races out of the last six starts and the rail post is winning at 19% clip.
Longshot:
2 – Wildcat Girl – She has a high % winning trainer, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she can handle the distance.
Alternate:
8 – Leftover Sushi
Race 2 -Female
9 – Paint Me Beautiful – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her early speed running style helps her chances so she should improve at the shorter distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Swans Island – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Merrychill – She has finished in the money in her last three races and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip.
Longshot:
2 – Dark Dutchess – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race.
Alternate:
6 – Little Crybaby
8 – Far too Foxy
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,9/3,5,6,8/3,9,10/6,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
3 – Rons Gone Wrong – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has the highest last race speed rating.
6 – Harrigan – He is a first-time starter who has some good workouts in advance of his debut race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Centaur Central – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but he has a trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-1).
Longshot:
5 – Very Bad Guy – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Airman Trevor
2 – We Miss Neil
Race 4
9 – Lookin’ Super – He has finished in the money in his last three races, winning one of the starts, he has the highest last race speed rating he has a high % winning trainer.
10 – Six Whips – He has finished in the money in four of his last five races, winning two of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Jebologist – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Turnsandconditions – He drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Theseguysgotgame
2 – Jw’s Third Mischie
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,7,8,9,10/1,3,4,6,8,9/1,4,8/7 – Cost $45.00
Race 5-Female
9 – Spunderella – She finished 3rd in her last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the starts when taking a horse from a maiden claiming race to a maiden race.
6 – Mischief Maxey – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Ourdaydreaminggirl – She ran 3rd in his last race as the favorite but he has a trainer who wins 23% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Fur Elise – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race and can improve while returning to a sprint
Alternate:
1 – Captain Whiner
4 – Moonblaze
Race 6
1 – Fenton Forever – He won his debut race, the rail post is winning at a 18% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Ballad of Warrior – He has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, blinkers added today and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Reelin N Dealin – He ran 2nd in his last start and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Dr. Lou – He won in his last start and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the maiden races he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
3 – Good Friday Man
6 – L Golden Boy
Race 7-Female
7 – Maximus Angelicus – She won her last race by 12-lenghts at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the Non-Graded Stake races she has a horse running in and she has a bullet 4f workout on (Dec-20).
5 – Volleyballprincess – She won her debut race, she has a high % winning jockey and a bullet 5f workout on (Dec-20).
3 – Belle Bottoms – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Beyond Belief – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Hollywood Beauty
Bet: $30.00 Win: #7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: #3,5,7 – $10.00 Exacta: 7/3,5,8 – $5.00 DD: 7/7,8
$.50 Pick 4: #5,7/1,7,8/2,7,10/5,6,8,10,11 – Cost $45.00
Race 8-Female
8 – Honorable Win – She returns to PARX Racing where she won her debut race after running 2nd (on AW) in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Little Cocoa Bean – She won her debut race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the maiden races he has a horse running in.
1 – Tudox Dahlia – She ran 2nd in her last race and the rail post is winning at a18% clip.
Longshot:
2 – Angel of Hope – She ran 2nd in her last race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
4 – Double Airo
5 – Up N Runnin
Race 9
7 – Global Steve – He won his debut race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the Non-Graded Stake races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
10 – Crab Daddy – He won his last race and he has the highest last race speed rating.
2 – Right Wing Runner – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Baby Dukes – He finished 3rd in last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Fire Pit
Race 10
5 – Time Tested – He drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
6 – Aves Makin’ Waves – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
8 – Celestial Dark – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 4 starters, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Longshot:
11 – Josh – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 7 winners from 8 starters, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Splitting Stones
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #7 – Maximus Angelicus
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
12 – DESIGNATED – TLRSP# +6, Top TOTAL PACE +5 – lowest level in last 10
1 – BRIGHT KOHANA – should be on the pace and has the top C-Zone
8 – LEFTOVER SUSHI – another that should be forward in a race where most want to be mid – back
3 – UNION BELLE – won the last time jy Francisco Martinez rode – on again today
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – SWANS ISLAND – better early fractions, TLRSP# +6, just missed at this level last out
9 – PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL – wants to be forward and that is where she should be
2 – DARK DUTCHESS – should be better in 2nd up and 2nd try at PARX
1 – MERRYCHILL – 3rd up and rides the hot rail following much better LS
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – HARRIGAN – since none of the experienced horses hit par – top 2 first timers
5 – VERY BAD GUY
3 – RONS GONE WRONG – just needs 2nd race improvement to hang on to ES to the wire
8 – CENTAUR CENTRAL – wide trip in last – most experienced horse
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
9 – LOOKIN’ SUPER – TLRSP# +8 – better ATB and early speed last out – small drop
8 – THESEGUYSGOTGAME – SIM FAV and likes to win at the distance 5/3-0-0
10 – SIX WHIPS – drops in class and should and catches a weight break today
2 – JW’S THIRD MISCHIE – won two in a row and might have the most upside in the race
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – OURDAYDREAMINGGIRL – only experienced horse with a par race
5 – PATIENT FI – 3/3 first time with solid works
2 – MARELOW – the NOV 27 work suggests the other first timer has the talent
6 – MISCHIEF MAXEY – speed and fade in last – more stamina in 2nd up – LONE E
Race 6: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – FENTON FOREVER – typical 2nd race improvement would put him above PAR – the only one
8 – BALLAD OF WARRIOR – top TOTAL PACE +9
4 – REELIN N DEALIN – cutting back in distance today – should help EP
2 – COOL MILLION – was 8/5 favorite in debut – expecting more in 2nd career effort
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – BEYOND BELIEF – should be close to the pace and 3rd at this level last out
5 – VOLLEYBALLPRINCESS – 2nd race improvement and some swift works since debut
7 – MAXIMUS ANGELICUS – crazy fast work since winning her last – should be forward
3 – BELLE BOTTOMS – won huge last out – not sure about Mahoning Valley vs Parx
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – DOUBLE AIRO – TLRSP# +10 and Top TOTAL PACE +14, only horse with a PAR RACE
7 – LITTLE COCOA BEAN – won debut and 2nd race improvement puts her above PAR
8 – HONORABLE WIN – two race – both at this level and is just a ½ length from winning both
1 – TUDOX DAHLIA – probably the pacesetter – especially if she runs two back
Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – GLOBAL STEVE – 2nd race improvement and it is a wrap
10 – CRAB DADDY – won big at this level last out and ran faster by about a second
4 – FIRE PIT – track dropper with a PARX bullet work
3 – BABY DUKES – maybe the most upside it the race and bounce back coming in 2nd up
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – TIME TESTED – much better EP in last
11 – JOSH – top jockey Sanchez on a first timer – got to give him a chance
8 – CELESTIAL DARK – top rated firster and not much to beat in here
7 – TEXAS AIR FORCE – 3 SP# increases
