PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 12-31-2024
Race 1
7 – One Way Traffic – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
9 – Rabbit – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, winning the prior race, switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Tropic Storm – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – My Man Woody – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and his early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
10 – Big John
Race 2
9 – Greener Pastures – He has won four out of his last five starts and he has a high % winning who wins 42% of the races after dropping a horse off a win and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – King of Hollywood – He has won three out of his last four starts and he has a trainer who wins 23% of the races when shipping a horse in to run.
5 – Winnin’onweekends – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 47% of the races, winning 35% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 36% of the starts.
Longshot:
7 – Divine Miracle – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 3-0-1).
Alternate:
2 – Hermoso Hombre
$.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6,7,9/7,8/1,6,8,9,10/5,10 – Cost $50.00
Race 3
8 – Borracho – He has won six out of his last seven starts, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Like a Saltshaker – He ran 2nd in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Traders Luck – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 78% of the races, winning 28% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 85% of the races, winning 14% of the starts.
Longshot:
6 – No Easy Days – He won his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Aggrandize
4 – Gun Collector
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #8 – $5.00 Exacta Box: #2,7,8 – $10.00 Exacta: 8/2,6,7 – $5.00 DD: 8/1,9
Race 4-Female
9 – Confirmed Genius – She has won 44% of her starts at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Bucks Some – She finished 3rd in her last race and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip.
6 – Forest Maiden – She drops in class today and she has trainer who wins 18% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
Longshot:
8 – Mazal Eighteen – She drops in class today, her early speed running style helps her chances, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
10 – Ifihadachance
2 – Captivating Cara
$.50 Pick 4: 1,6,8,9/1,5,9,10/1,2,5/1,2 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
10 – Rerally – He won his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he switches to a high % winning trainer.
5 – Supreme Law – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to route.
9 – First Money – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 44% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
Longshot:
1 – Vine Jet – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 50% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Gurt’s Warrior
4 – Artistic Reason
Race 6
5 – Ron Don Scorese – He won his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Speightster Red – He finished 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
2 – Roman Empire – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race and drops in class today.
Longshot:
9 – Musical Heart – He finished 3rd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Good Friday Man
7 – Olympic Romp
Race 7
1 – Offaly Cool – He has finished in the money in nine races out of his last ten starts winning four starts, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Surface to Air – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Repo Rocks – He drops in class today, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Irish Cork – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a bullet 5f workout on Dec 04.
Alternate:
6 – Rackataptap
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,7,8/1,2,5,8/2,8/2,4,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
1 – Nelson Avenue – He has won two races out of the last four starts, drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a 18% clip and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Windsor Gold – He won in his last start and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – One More Scoop – He ran 2nd in last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Veeson – He has won two races out of his last three starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Race 9-Female
8 – Irish Maxima – She has won five races out of his eight career starts, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Confirmed Star – She ran 2nd in her last race, winning the two prior races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Disco Ebo – She ran 3rd in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Nature’s Candy – She ran 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Kiss Me Hardy
Race 10
4 – Ira the Icon – He has won one race out of his last four starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Dr Bayter – He ran 2nd in his last race and he can handle today’s distance.
2 – Villanito – He drops in class today and should improve while returning to a route.
Longshot:
8 – Booster Shot – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Checkitup
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 3rd Race – #8 – Borracho
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – ONE WAY TRAFFIC – TLRSP#+5 – better EP and Fractions last out – Ness track and class dropper
9 – RABBIT – highly consistent performer – SIM FAV in open race
6 – MY MAN WOODY – just needs to run back two race to get the W here
2 – TROPIC STORM – 3 SP# increases – held speed longer last out
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with a Rail Bonus
9 – GREENER PASTURES – Ness/Sanchez – got to have them – winner 4/6 at the distance
7 – DIVINE MIRACLE – TLRSP#+3 – tends to pair big efforts
5 – WINNIN’ONWEEKENDS – SIM FAV – winner last time he came off the bench to win
6 – KING OF HOLLYWOOD – invader with ES – we’ll see if translates
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – TRADERS LUCK – ES with better fractions last out ITM 6/7 at the distance
7 – LIKE A SALTSHAKER – track dropper – consistent performer – loves the distance 7/4-0-0
8 – BORRACHO – 3rd up for Ness & Sanchez – but PARX 7/2-0-0
1 – AGGRANDIZE – TLRSP# +3 – class drop – but could be at risk of regression
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
9 – CONFIRMED GENIUS – class dropper and decent works coming off the sidelines
6 – FOREST MAIDEN – most LS and won’t be too far off the pace here
4 – SHELL BELLE – fired off the bench for her last win
1 – BUCKS SOME – rides the strong rail and maybe better in 2nd up
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Rail Bonus, 4-7 Discount
10 – RERALLY – TLRSP# +5 – TR wins 21% 1st off the claim
9 – FIRST MONEY – all of nothing type – PARX 9/4-1-0 – SIM FAV
5 – SUPREME LAW – Ness & Sanchez – class dropper but 0/2 at PARX
1 – VINE JET – highly consistent performer with the most back class
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Rail Bonus, 4-7 Discount
1 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – 3 SP# Increases and SIM FAV
5 – RON DON SCORESE – TLRSP#+ 5 – chance to be lone E
6 – RACKATAPTAP – highly consistent – will be closing and has a weight break
2 – ROMAN EMPIRE – won the last time he came off the sidelines – pair of OK works prepping
Race 7: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with a Rail Bonus
1 – OFFALY COOL – Top TOTAL PACE +6 – SIM FAV – PARX 6/4-1-1 – 2nds were just misses
8 – REPO ROCKS – ran a little more than a second faster in his last
3 – CONCEALED CARRY -faster fractions despite going longer last out
6 – MARKET MAVEN – should be better in 2nd up
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – VEESON – SIM FAV with a bullet work between races – tons of LS
8 – WINDSOR GOLD – Kendrick rides and was better ATB in last
1 – NELSON AVENUE – wide trip in the Cigar Mile last out should be forward here
2 – ONE MORE SCOOP – loves to finish 2nd and hang late
Race 9: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – IRISH MAXIMA – TLRSP# +10 and Top TOTAL PACE +9 – unbeaten in 2 at PARX
2 – CONFIRMED STAR – aside from the 8 – the only other to hit par for this level
5 – DISCO EBO – if the 8 doesn’t lead – he will in third up
9 – KISS ME HARDY – consistent performer that will be closing
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Rail Bonus, 4-7 Discount
10 – TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE – class dropper to the lowest level of his career
4 – IRA THE ICON – drops in class after running much better final time last out
11 – DANCE A DINI – aside form the 10 the only other with a PAR race
7 – CARBONITE – maybe too much on an ES over the rest
