PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/in…
Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 2-03-2025
Race 1
8 – Run Cory Run – He has finished in the money in eight out of the last nine starts, winning two of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Big Beemster – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Gurt’s Warrior – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when bringing a horse down 2+ classes.
Longshot:
5 – Aula – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Eddiemush
Race 2
5 – Curious Soul – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps his chances, so the shorter distance may help, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and Lasix is added.
2 – Centaur Central – He drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 66% of the races when using 1st time Lasix, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Huggy – He first-time starter whose Dam has 5 winners from 5 starters and 1 stakes winner, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Airman Trevor – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
6 – Light My Way
4 – Sams After Party
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5/3,5,6,7/4,6/1,4,5,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
7 – Skinny Joey – He ran 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 38% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Carnaby – He drops in class today and can improve at the longer distance.
3 – Big Shot Vegas – He first-time starter whose Dam has 6 winners from 6 starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Fast N Sweet – He first-time starter who is bred well for the route distance and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Wild Captain
2 – Don’t Doubt Declan
Race 4
4 – Mavis Mischief – He has a high % winning jockey and his early speed running style helps his chances.
6 – Resistance Futile – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and Lasix is added.
1 – Lovemeakaren – He has a high % winning trainer and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
2 – Coach Knight – He drops in class today and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
5 – Chilling Time
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,6/1,4,12/4,5,6,8/2,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
4 – Faux Pas – She finished 3rd in her last race and she can handle the distance.
12 – Leretha – She has finished in the money in 50% of her races PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Whiskey and Rain – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and drops in class today.
Longshot:
5 – Dreamingoffreedom – She ran 5th in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again.
Alternate:
6 – Incan Moon Goddess
10 – Dixie Music
Race 6-Female
8 – Lost Love – She has finished in the money in her last six starts, winning two of the starts and she can handle the distance.
4 – Miss Cinnamon – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 10% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 63% of the races, winning 13% of the starts.
5 – Molly Malone – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and she has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
6 – One of the Ones – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Maria Says So
7 – Snow Lake
Bet: $12.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #8 – $5.00 Exacta Box: #4,5,8 – $10.00 Exacta:8/4,5,6 – $2.00 DD: 8/2,3,7,11
1 – Copperhead Creek
Race 7-Female
7 – Katie Got Lucky – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming the horse and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Creative Copy – She has won 20% of the races at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races in the 1st race after claiming the horse and she has a high % winning jockey.
11 – Bucks Some – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she can handle the distance.
Longshot:
3 – Creme Caramel – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
12 – Boca Royalty
9 – Mended We Stand
$.50 Pick 4: #2,7,11/2,6,7/3,5/1,6,10,11,12 – Cost $45.00
Race 8-Female
7 – Moon Fleet – She finished 3rd vs similar (on AW) in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Proud Divi – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Irish Coco – She has finished in the money in two of three starts at PARX Racing, winning one of the races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Jody’s Ruby – She drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Bossy Kate
Race 9
5 – It’s Game Time – He has won two races out of the last four starts, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Stronsino – He won last his race at Aqueduct and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – In Spades – He was beaten only 1-3/4 lengths vs similar in his last start and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Awesome Flay – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
2 – Epic Luck
Race 10
6 – Kate’s Golden Dude – He has finished in the money in six out of the last seven starts, winning three of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
11 – Jw’s Third Mischie – He has won three races out of the last four races and drops in class today.
1 – Ava K’s Boy – He has finished in the money in eight out of the last nine starts, winning three of the starts and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
Longshot:
10 – Jebologist – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 59% of the races, winning 18% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 57% of the races, winning 14% of the starts.
Alternate:
12 – Theseguysgotgame
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #8 – Lost Love
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
8 – RUN CORY RUN – Paco on a horse that was better ATB and better fractions
4 – BIG BEEMSTER – TLRSP# +6 – flipped running style to the front last out
5 – AULA – should be close to the front – maybe better in 2nd up
6 – EDDIEMUSH – another that should be forward – solid late pace
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Diminishing Returns
5 – CURIOUS SOUL – TLRSP#+8 – chance to be better in 2nd off the sidelines
2 – CENTAUR CENTRAL – MSW dropper with better EP in last
6 – LIGHT MY WAY – another MSW dropper that showed speed and faded in debut – plenty of works since
1 – HUGGY – firster without a lot to beat as none have a par race
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
7 – SKINNY JOEY – TLRSP# +7 and top TOTAL PACE +7
3 – BIG SHOT VEGAS – since we have none that hit par – the next two first timers
6 – FAST N SWEET
5 – CARNABY – biggest class dropper – 1 ½ lengths
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Diminishing Returns
4 – MAVIS MISCHIEF – TLRSP#+22 and top TOTAL PACE +8
1 – LOVEMEAKAREN – only MSW dropper
6 – RESISTANCE FUTILE – class and track dropper
2 – COACH KNIGHT – 2nd race upside and class dropper
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
12 – LERETHA – TLRSP# +3 with the most upside – 2 length class dropper
11 – ON PARADISE HILL – another class dropper – ¾ lengths and with the 12 only to hit PAR
6 – INCAN MOON GODDESS – maybe most untapped potential with 5th start
1 – WHISKEY AND RAIN – strong rail and cut back in distance could help
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
8 – LOST LOVE – may not look like it based on the finish – but much faster fractions
4 – MISS CINNAMON – should be part of the early pace – a touch concerned that regression is possible after two peak races
6 – ONE OF THE ONES – going to be closing – a decent start with a clean trip and she might be tough to beat
5 – MOLLY MALONE – just missed last out with better pace ATB and faster by nearly 5 seconds
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – CREATIVE COPY – speed and fade at 1m70y – cut back in distance is the key here – pacesetter?
11 – BUCKS SOME – Top TOTAL PACE +6 – held speed longer last out
9 – MENDED WE STAND – Paco – 3rd up – better EP in her last
12 – BOCA ROYALTY – TLRSP# +3 – just missed at this level last out
5 – CICI UNIFIED
4 – FOREST MAIDEN
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – PROUD DIVI – Lone E with at least a length EP edge – track dropper
7 – MOON FLEET – another track dropper – better in 2nd up
2 – IRISH COCO – decent works prepping – career best race came off the bench at PARX like today
5 – BOSSY KATE – another coming off the sidelines and was improving nicely
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
5 – IT’S GAME TIME – maybe last race was a little too fast – should not be as fast here
3 – STRONSINO – track and class dropper for Ness and Silvera
6 – IN SPADES – just missed last out at this level better middle out
7 – AWESOME FLAY – pacesetter with Top TOTAL PACE +5
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – AVA K’S BOY – strong rail – ITM 13/16 at PARX – distance 7/3-3-0
12 – THESEGUYSGOTGAME – first up – won last two – distance 5/3-0-0 – just 1 in 10 at any other
11 – JW’S THIRD MISCHIE – TLRSP#+3 – better LP – little extra distance could help
8 – MASTERMIND – 3rd up – forget the last in mud – didn’t like – drops nearly 2 ½ lengths in class from 75k NGSTK
