PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 2-04-2025
Race 1-Female
5 – Miss Jones – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the dirt starts he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Nezuko – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating and has a trainer who wins 60% of the races when using 1st time Lasix.
6 – Daring Max – She finished 3rd in her last race by closing so the longer distance may be a plus her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Laguardia – She may need the longer distance and Lasix is added.
Alternate:
2 – Lady Tozi
8 – Vivi Rose
Race 2-Female
6 – Peyton’s College – She has finished in the money in her last six starts, winning three of the races, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Why Not Babe – She has won two races out of the last three starts at PARX Racing, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Erin’s Enthusiasm – She has won two races out of the last five starts PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Confirmed Genius – She has won 18% of the races at PARX Racing, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Melodia
4 – Cedar Valley
$.50 Pick 4: 6,7/3,5/1,2,5,6/1,2,4,5,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
3 – Mon Petit Chou – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – La Tourista – She ran 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Parisian Vibe – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and the rail post is winning at a 18% clip and drops in class today.
Longshot:
2 – Rolls Royce Joyce – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 10% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 54% of the races, winning 23% of the starts.
Alternate:
6 – Between Dreams
4 – Louella Street
Race 4-Female
6 – Jayce and Liam – She has finished in the money in four races in her last five starts, winning one of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Lady Robo – She has finished in the money in 50% of her races PARX Racing, winning 17% of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Sister Eve – She has a high % winning jockey and can improve while returning to a route.
Longshot:
1 – La Sierva – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route and her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
4 – Bravo Regina
3 – Stella d’Amore
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6/1,2,4,5,7,8/1,2,7,8/4 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
1 – Bold Hoppertunity – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and drops in class today.
5 – Zihuatanejo – He drops in class today and can handle the distance.
4 – Takemetothemoon – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and can improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
8 – Dawson – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – El de Leo
7 – Blackwater Falls
Race 6-Female
2 – Ifihadachance – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 70% of the races, winning 35% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 63% of the races, winning 38% of the starts.
1 – R Tenderoni – She has finished in the money in 77% of the races at PARX Racing, returning to a route can help and distance will not be a problem as she has finished in the money in 88% of the races, winning 24% of the starts.
8 – Classy Miss – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Heleonortiz – She drops in class today and likes today’s distance.
Alternate:
6 – Bonita Lassie
4 – Tomarie
Race 7
4 – Ahsad – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Nuedorf – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, his early speed running style helps chances and he can improve at the shorter distance.
8 – Geebert – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 45% of the races, winning 19% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 56% of the races, winning 24% of the starts.
Longshot:
1 – Big Brown Shoes – He has won 20% of his starts at PARX Racing and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Cousin Andrew
$.50 Pick 4: #1,4,6,8/1,4/3,5,7/1,2,3,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
1 – Sunday Spirit – He has finished in the money in nine races in his last ten starts, winning two of the starts, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route.
4 – Prince of Chill – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 5F workout on Jan-29.
2 – Motskari – He has finished in the money in 50% of his starts at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Majestic Lion – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race and he switches to a high % winning trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Ike’s Gamble
6 – Top of the Street
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #1 – $5.00 Exacta Box: #1,2,4 – $10.00 Exacta:1/2,3,4,5
Race 9-Female
3 – Duela Dent – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Ree Nee’s Six – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Golden Moonlight – She switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 1st race after claiming, she can improve at the shorter distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
1 – Sundria – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 18% clip and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
6 – Et’s Moon Maiden
4 – Snappy Ride
Race 10-Female
8 – Old Head – She has finished in the money in her last six starts, winning the last three starts in a row and she can handle the distance.
1 – Lady Zeta – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 69% of the races, winning 23% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.
3 – Tara’s Talent – She finished 3rd vs similar her in last race and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Aegean Sea – She drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Tempest Rising
5 – Pearls and Heels
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #1 – Sunday Spirit
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
7 – NEZUKO – showed some early speed in her last – 1st Lasix
2 – LADY TOZI – next two with top end 2nd race improvement beat anything any other has done
4 – FLAMING EYES
5 – MISS JONES – maybe some upside in 4th career start with a small drop
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – PEYTON’S COLLEGE – resume says 2nd up should be as good or a lot better than last
2 – ERIN’S ENTHUSIASM – Paco and horse that was better early in last
5 – CONFIRMED GENIUS – 3rd up and consistent performer that should be forward
7 – WHY NOT BABE – maybe needs one after first up – but the best published works says maybe not
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – MON PETIT CHOU – TLRSP# +10 – should be on the pace – 3rd up
1 – PARISIAN VIBE – hot rail – tough trips the last two – clean trip difference maker?
2 – ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE – only class dropper a little better early and top C-ZONE horse
5 – LA TOURISTA – Lone E – but questionable if she gets the lead – 2nd up record is spotty too
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
2 – LADY ROBO – very likely pacesetter and wight break
6 – JAYCE AND LIAM – up a little class – E – maybe not on the lead but +10 LP edge
1 – LA SIERVA C – aside from the 2 – the only other with a PAR race
3 – STELLA D’AMORE – if the 2 doesn’t get to the front – this one will and we saw speed, speed yesterday
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
5 – ZIHUATANEJO – TLRSP# +3 – 2nd up and biggest class dropper – 1 ½ lengths
4 – TAKEMETOTHEMOON – could be the pacesetter – ES theme – better ATB – 50/50 2nd up
1 – BOLD HOPPERTUNITY – maybe the most upside – the other class dropper – 2nd up
7 – BLACKWATER FALLS – any of the next three are all big ? marks – then take highest odds
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
2 – IFIHADACHANCE – weight break – some solid improvement last out – pacesetter?
8 – CLASSY MISS – TLRSP# +5 – 3rd up and was better ATB in last
1 – R TENDERONI – should be better in 2nd up – but PARX 13/0-6-4 – 1 length class drop
5 – COLOR CRUSH – by far the best C-ZONE – should really like how this race sets up
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Diminishing Returns
4 – AHSAD – TLRSP#+11 – missed by a nose at this level in last – 2nd up
6 – NUEDORF – speed and fade – cut back in distance helps
7 – WOOD BE WILD – been a minute since her made two starts in a row – finally healthy angle?
8 – GEEBERT – by far the most back class – SIM FAV – recent form is the ?
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Stalkers, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Discount
5 – IKE’S GAMBLE – TLRSP# +5 – PACO – drops 1 length in class – better EP and fractions
1 – SUNDAY SPIRIT – most upside – rail hurts – but PARX 5/2-1-2 – pacesetter
4 – PRINCE OF CHILL – probably better in 2nd up – nice maintenance work between
6 – TOP OF THE STREET – if the 1 isn’t on the lead – this one will be – resume says better in 2nd up
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – DUELA DENT – good chance to be forward – EZ win in last – much better EP and times
7 – GOLDEN MOONLIGHT – could ride shotgun – maybe most consistent – cut back in distance helps
5 – REE NEE’S SIX – TLRSP# +4 – plenty of back class – 1st up record is spotty
4 – SNAPPY RIDE – tough call over the two – little better total pace
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – LADY ZETA – pacesetter – rail rocks – better EP in last
8 – OLD HEAD – Top TOATL PACE +5 with +8 LS edge and not too far from the pace here
2 – AEGEAN SEA – will be upfront with the 1 – drops in class
3 – TARA’S TALENT – really consistent – distance works 11/0-4-4 – Tom horse
