PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 2-11-2025
Race 1
6 – Aaraj – He has finished in the money in six out of the last seven starts, winning the last starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Hey Brother – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Track of My Tears – He has won two races out of her last three starts and he switches to a high% trainer who wins 23% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
Longshot:
2 – Bobby’s Candy – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he likes the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Rennie
7 – Jake Brake Alley
Race 2-Female
3 – Bella Estrela – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race after stumbling badly at the start and she has a trainer who wins 22% the 2nd start with this trainer.
6 – Streets of Paris – She finished 9th in her last race after having plenty of trouble during the race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 37% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Charm of the Song – She has a high% trainer and jockey and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Whiskey and Rain – She has the highest last race speed rating and she can go the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Momma Pic
2 – Dixie Music
$.50 Pick 4: 3,6/3,4/1,3,4,6/1,3,4,5,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
4 – Callie Rae – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Keystormrising – She ran 2nd in last her race and she has a good jockey.
5 – Dreamingoffreedom – She has a high% trainer who wins 22% of the Maiden Claiming races he has a horse competing in and the longer distance offers hope for improvement.
Longshot:
2 – Her Ticket to Ride – Her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed and she has a good 4F workout on Jan-29.
Alternate:
1 – La de Peluche
6 – Winbori
Race 4-Female
3 – Designated – She has won two races out her last four races and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Khozy Colby – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip.
6 – Del Rey Dolly – She has won one race out of three starts at PARX Racing, drops in class today and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
4 – Jezebel Jade – She has a high % winning trainer and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
7 – Rob the Rich
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,6/1,3,4,6,7/1,3,7,8/8– Cost $48.00
Race 5
5 – Pylon – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Hotpot – He has finished in the money in five out of the last six starts, winning the last start, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Neigh Dude – He was beaten only 2- lengths vs tougher in his last start, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Power Agenda – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Rob the Rich
6 – Mastermind
Race 6
3 – Omaha Eight – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Stay Funny – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he can improve at the shorter distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Unswayed – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
Longshot:
7 – Separate Ways – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Bear Or Bull
Race 7-Female
8 – Been Real Busy – She has a perfect record winning both of her starts at PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Jess’s Moment – She has finished in the money in her last seven starts, winning two of the races including the last starts and she can handle the distance.
2 – Melody’s Kiss – She finished in money in five races out of the last six starts, winning two of the starts and her best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Longshot:
4 – Miss Cinnamon – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, can improve at the shorter distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Thearcherortheprey
7 – Maria Says So
$.50 Pick 4: #2,6,8/2,6,7/5,6/1,2,4,6,7– Cost $45.00
Race 8-Female
7 – La Cienega – She has won two races in a row and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Haleigh B – She finished 2nd in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Rolls Royce Joyce – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 61% of the races, winning 10% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 57% of the races, winning 21% of the starts.
Longshot:
5 – Road to Dreams – She has a high % winning jockey, her early speed running style helps chances and she can handle the distance.
Race 9-Female
5 – Pachelbel – She finished in money in nine races out of the last ten starts, winning two of the starts and and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Bustin Down Doors – She won her last race at Monmouth Park, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Alcala – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 89% of the races, winning 33% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
Longshot:
1 – Bella Queen – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
7 – Cocoa’s Vivian
4 – Eclair Blanc
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: #5 – $5.00 Exacta: #1,3,6,7/5 – $10.00 Exacta:5/1,3,6,7
Race 10-Female
2 – Miss M M – She finished in money in nine races out of the last ten starts, winning one of the starts and she can handle the distance.
4 – Take Time to Dream – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Frosted Diamond – She drops in class today, she has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Bright Kohana – She switches to high % jockey Paco Lopez and her early speed running style helps her chances.
Alternate:
6 – Sweet Mischief
8 – Miss Alex
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #5 – Pachelbel
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount
6 – AARAJ – speed is the way lately at PARX – should be one of the pacesetters – PARX 5/1-4-0
4 – TRACK OF MY TEARS – Paco – could go forward and best published work – 4f 47.3
5 – HEY BROTHER – TLRSP# +5 – and drops nearly 1 ½ Lengths in class – track dropper
1 – RENNIE – tough call over the 7- rail is better and Ness and Sanchez
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 3/10 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Rough, 8+ Bonus
6 – STREETS OF PARIS – only class dropper – down 1 ½ lengths and track dropper from Ky
5 – CHARM OF THE SONG – strong chance to be the pacesetter – maybe better in 2nd Parx go
4 – WHISKEY AND RAIN – TLRSP# +7 – better middle out in last and seen that momentum carryover
3 – BELLA ESTRELA – tough start in her last – probably faced tougher overall
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Stalkers, 0 w2w – PP: Outside In
4 – CALLIE RAE – maybe too much early speed – top TOTAL PACE +17 – Lone PAR horse
3 – KEYSTORMRISING – just missed at this level last out
5 – DREAMINGOFFREEDOM – could ride shotgun behind the 4 all the way around the track
1 – LA DE PELUCHE – chance to improve in 2nd up
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount
1 – KHOZY COLBY – TLRSP# +4 – probably the pacesetter – Parx ITM 6/7
3 – DESIGNATED – Top TOTAL PACE +6 – better EP and early fractions last out
6 – DEL REY DOLLY – biggest class dropper – down 1 ½ lengths – run back 1 race
4 – JEZEBEL JADE – much better EP in last despite wide trip
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Discount
4 – NEIGH DUDE – class dropper that missed at a higher level last out – couple of OK works
5 – PYLON – fairly consistent – should be forward – not sure going extra distance helps
3 – HOTPOT – resume says 2nd up should look like 1st and tied TLRSP#
1 – POWER AGENDA – rail -speed -top COMFORT ZONE – better ATB
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 5/9 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Fairish, 4-7 Bad, 8+ Like the Rail
3 – OMAHA EIGHT – TLRSP# +7 – off since August though – 1st up spotty – Paco a tell? Decent works
8 – STAY FUNNY -catch me if you can and shortening up helps
1 – UNSWAYED – on the strong rail – a little faster last out and SP#s heading in the right direction
7 – SEPARATE WAYS – run back to Nov 18th race – yes – but 1st up record is not encouraging
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 3/10 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Rough, 8+ Bonus
8 – BEEN REAL BUSY – TLRSP# +5 – better late half last out and should be on the front – 2/2 at PARX
2 – MELODY’S KISS – better pace and better fractions early last out – done well at Parx – ITM 5/6
5 – THEARCHERORTHEPREY – been a while since she made two starts in a row – finally healthy
4 – MISS CINNAMON – SIM FAV – should be forward – highly consistent
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
7 – LA CIENEGA – Top TOTAL PACE +7 – even money SIM FAV – huge LP Edge and not far from pace
2 – HALEIGH B – Ness – Sanchez – likes to hang late
6 – ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE – Paco – raced competitively versus many of these
5 – ROAD TO DREAMS – 4th of 4
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
3 – ALCALA – big bump in EP last out – ITM 8/9 at PARX
6 – BUSTIN DOWN DOORS – TLRSP# +8 – probably on the lead – doesn’t need it
7 – COCOA’S VIVIAN – Paco – 2nd up after being better ATB in last
5 – PACHELBEL – strong LP edge – +7 – with the most back class
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
4 – TAKE TIME TO DREAM – 3SP# increases – just missed at this level after being a little better ATB
7 – BRIGHT KOHANA – Paco – 3rd up – stumbled at the start of her last – clean trip today on the drop
2 – MISS M M – inside speed, huge EP ump – 3SP# increases – PARX 5/0-2-3
1 – FROSTED DIAMOND – won the last time she class dropped – like today 1 ½ lengths
