PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 1-14-2025
Race 1
8 – Geebert – He has won 19% of his starts at PARX Racing, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Nuedorf– He was beaten only 1- length vs tougher in his last start and he has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Crypt – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
2 – Golden Wildcat – He drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a bullet 4F workout on Jan-08.
Alternate:
12 – Big Brown Shoes
10 – Lord Winsalot
Race 2-Female
5 – Miss M M – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
9 – Pontiffany – She has won four races in her last eight starts; she has a trainer who wins 20% of the races in the1st race after claiming a horse and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Erin’s Enthusiasm – She has finished in the money in four out of the last six starts, winning two of the starts, she has a high % winning jockey and she can handle the distance.
Longshot:
7 – Parisian Vibe – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Bright Kohana
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,7,9/3,4,5,6,7/5,9/6,7 – Cost $50.00
Race 3-Female
4 – Jess’s Moment – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she will improve while returning to a sprint.
7 – Spanish Girl – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, winning the previous race and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Neighbelline – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Red Haired Gal – She has finished in the money in seven out of the last ten starts, winning one of the starts and she has a trainer who wins 23% of the races when bringing a horse back after being 90+ days away.
Alternate:
3 – Mikey’s Song
Race 4-Female
5 – Bucks Some – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating, and she has a trainer who wins 17% % of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
9 – Akna – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and the trainer and jockey are doing well starting out in 2025.
4 – Mended We Stand – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 33% of the races, winning 33% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 40% of the races, winning 30% of the starts.
Longshot:
7 – Forest Maiden – She has a trainer who wins 18% % of the claiming races and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Creme Caramel
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,7,9/3,6,7,8/2,3,5/2,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
7 – Taliesin – She drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when using 1st time Lasix, can improve at the shorter distance, she has a high % winning jockey and has a good 4F workout on Jan-03.
6 – Bailout Billy – She ran 3rd in her debut race and at today’s distance.
3 – Melittlefrostgirl – She can improve while returning to dirt, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races in the1st race after claiming a horse.
Longshot:
8 – Holy Lady – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 5 starters, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a good 4F workout on Jan-08.
Alternate:
1 – Lil Sally
5 – Lily’s Time
Race 6-Female
3 – Aegean Sea – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Turn On the Charm – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 25% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 67% of the races, winning 68% of the starts.
5 – Golden Moonlight – She has won one race out of one start at PARX Racing, can improve while returning to a route and she has a good 4F workout on Jan-08.
Longshot:
6 – Girlfromouterspace – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Floge
7 – Social Lady
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,5,6/1,2,3,7,8/3,5/1,8 – Cost $50.00
Race 7
7 – Ohio Joe – He finished 3rd in his last race, he has an early foot so the cut back in distance is a plus and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Curious Soul – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Sircharlybrown – He finished 4th in his last race after getting off slow, he has a high % winning jockey and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
3 – Real Conviction – He has the highest last race speed rating; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Carnaby
11 – Sir Rob Roy
Race 8
5 – Minxzhippsdontleye – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Spotted Bull – He finished 3rd in his last race, he has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-1) and he has a good 4F workout on Jan-08.
4 – Ahsad – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Empire’s Score – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
11 – Catch the Smoke
2 – Majestic Tiger
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,4,5,11/1,8/4,7/3,7,8,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 9
8 – What Does It Take – He has finished in the money in eight out of the last ten starts, winning one of the starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Nifty – He finished 2nd in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Tycoon – He has won two races out of his last three starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Jardani – He has won two races out of his last three starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Rerally
Bet: $12.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #8 – $5.00 Exacta Box: #1,7,8 – $10.00 Exacta: 8/1,8,7 – $2.00 DD: 8/3,4,7,8
Race 10-Female
7 – La Tourista – She finished 3rd in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey, and she has a good 4F workout on Jan-08.
4 – R Tenderoni – She has finished in the money in ten races out of twelve starts at PARX Racing and her best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
3 – Obstinate – She ran 2nd in her last race, can improve at the shorter distance since she has an early foot, and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
8 – Bella Maria – She finished 3rd in her last race, and she has a good 4F workout (Jan-08).
Race 11
7 – Time Tested – He has won two races in a row at PARX Racing, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Khopesh – He won his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer.
11 – Double Nickel – He has finished in the money in eight out of the last ten starts, winning two of the starts.
Longshot:
3 – Dos de Oros – He won his last race, and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
10 – Warrior’s Vow
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 10th Race – #1 – Pachelbel
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: 3 Races, 2 Closers, 1 w2w – PP: 1 from 2/3, 4-7 and 8+
8 – GEEBERT – better EP in last and drops – drops nearly a length in class
9 – NUEDORF – maybe too much ES for the rest – speed held yesterday
2 – GOLDEN WILDCAT – resume says big move ahead in 2nd up is possible
1 – HOTPOT – usually run hot off the bench – winner 2/4 at the distance
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 25% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Discount
9 – PONTIFFANY – speed, might be better in 2nd start after a layoff
1 – BRIGHT KOHANA – speed and fade in first up – maybe more stamina today
7 – PARISIAN VIBE – better ATB and early fractions last out
4 – ERIN’S ENTHUSIASM – just needs to run back two races to score here
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: 3 Races, 2 Closers, 1 w2w – PP: 1 from 2/3, 4-7 and 8+
5 – RED HAIRED GAL –track dropper with some of the most upside
6 – NEIGHBELLINE – has run well off the bench – decent works getting ready + 8 TOTAL PACE
7 – SPANISH GIRL – PARX 8/1-4-1 – better ATB in last
3 – MIKEY’S SONG – another that runs well off the sidelines
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 25% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Discount
5 – BUCKS SOME – TLRSP#+5 – 3SP# Increases – 3rd up
9 – AKNA – been off since NOV 29th – OK works prepping
4 – MENDED WE STAND – All or Nothing type at Parx 12/4-0-0
3 – CREME CARAMEL – heading up the speed ladder with much better LP in last
Race 5: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 2/4 w2w – PP: 2 from 1 and 2 from 2/3
8 – HOLY LADY – None have hit PAR – taking the top 1st timer – decent works
7 – TALIESIN – MSW dropper has ES – should be forward and 1st Lasix should help
3 – MELITTLEFROSTGIRL – track dropper and came closest to hitting par so far
10 – WYLDA WYLDE – MSW dropper and chance to be much better in 2nd career start
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Outside In – But None from 8+ or Rail
5 – GOLDEN MOONLIGHT – consistent performer – ITM 16/26 at PARX
3 – AEGEAN SEA – TLRPS#+6 – early speed – held longer last time
2 – TURN ON THE CHARM – winner 2/3 at the distance – dropping a length in class
7 – SOCIAL LADY – Ness and Silvera – been strong at the PARX and the distance
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 2/5 w2w – PP: Outside In
7 – OHIO JOE – speed and fade in debut – 2nd race improvement – was well bet
2 – CURIOUS SOUL – consistent performer and should be one of the pacesetters
1 – SIRCHARLYBROWN – not the biggest fan of PENN starters, but the PARX works are there
6 – COACH KNIGHT – best of the 1st timers
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 2/5 w2w – PP: Outside In
3 – SPOTTED BULL – better EP in his last and has one of his best published works since
5 – MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE – just needs to rerun his last race – just missed in his last
2 – MAJESTIC TIGER – biggest class dropper – 1 length easier – 1 of 2 at PARX
11 – CATCH THE SMOKE – highly consistent performer – catches a weight break
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Outside In – But None from 8+ or Rail
8 – WHAT DOES IT TAKE – Sanchez/Ness – class dropper – could be forward PARX 4/1-1-1
1 – NIFTY – consistent performer – will be coming at the end
7 – TYCOON – 3rd up and could be ready for a bounce back race
2 – RERALLY – better early speed, run back to two races gets the job done
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Closers, 2/5 w2w – PP: Outside In
3 – OBSTINATE – TLRSP# +8 – only horse with a PAR Race – better MP and LP in last
4 – R TENDERONI – PARX 12/0-6-4 – will be closing – has run some of her best off the bench
7 – LA TOURISTA – PARX 2/0-1-1 – wight break – consistent performer
12 – MISS ALEX – better ATB in last – a little better EP and fractions in last
Race 11: 7 Furlongs – Bias: 3 Races, 2 Closers, 1 w2w – PP: 1 from 2/3, 4-7 and 8+
3 – DOS DE OROS – TLRSP#+6 – regression is a real risk – but same race is an EZ winner
10 – WARRIOR’S VOW – just missed at this level last out – extra distance helps?
8 – KHOPESH – better ATB in last – usually pairs strong outings
7 – TIME TESTED – winner two in a row – better fractions early in last
