PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Race 1-Female
4 – Anna Rocks – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Canoodle – She switches to a high% trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – A Bit Bad N Boujee – She drops in class today and her early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
1 – Sirenetta – She drops in class today; the distance will not be a problem and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – She’s Got Game
Race 2
7 – Wizard Serrat – He tried the turf in his last race and did not seem to like it and now returns to the dirt where he won the race before trying the turf and at a distance he can handle.
4 – Sensible Jim – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 63% of the races, winning 17% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 53% of the races, winning 16% of the races.
2 – Suigu Star – He drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races when taking a horse from turf to dirt and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Zip It Scotty – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and the rail post is winning at 21% clip.
Alternate:
3 – True Dakotan
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,4,7/4,5/1,2/1,3,6,7,8– Cost $50.00
Race 3
5 – Navy Rules – He won his last race at PARX Racing by 9-lenghts, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Bluey – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
2 – Almond Cider – He ran 2nd in last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6- Boom Boom Kaboom – His early speed running style can help his chances, can improve while returning to dirt, he drops in class today and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
3 – Tough Workout
Race 4
2 – Connecting – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Runnin’ Block – He won his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today and has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Mister Moore – He finished 3rd in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Financial Strength – He can improve while returning to a sprint, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), he has a trainer who wins 17% of the claiming races he runs a horse in.
Alternate:
3 – Food Foodie
4 – Starship Gotham
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2/1,3,6,8/1,2,4,5/1,2,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
1 – Gabe – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, the rail post is winning at 19% clip, and he switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
8 – Captain Chazz – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
6 – Lord Uhtred – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 47% of the races, winning 20% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 41% of the races, winning 12% of the races.
Longshot:
3 – Petulant Delight – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Jack Beanstalk
2 – Porsupuesto
Race 6
4 – Chasing Stardom – He has won his last start at PARX Racing; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Bobby’s Candy – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at 19% clip, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
5 – Warrior’s Vow – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Catty’s Uncle – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Race 7
4 – Charlie Showtime – He won his debut race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the sprint races and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Prom Knight – He finished 3rd vs similar in last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Warrior Ted – He won his last race; the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Trumpet Call – He has a high % winning trainer who 25% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint -route- sprint and can improve while returning to a sprint.
Alternate:
6 – Jesus’ Dream
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,4,5/1,4/5,12,13/5,6,8,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
4 – Respectfully – She has finished in the money in his six out her last eight starts, winning four and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Dancing On My Own – She finished 3rd in his last race, her early speed running style helps chances and she has a bullet 4F workout on Jun-25.
5 – Mia Tosca – She won her last race and she switches to a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Mary Q – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 62% of the races, winning 38% of the races, the distance will not be a problem as she has won two races out of two starts.
Bet: $6.00 Win: # 4 – $5.00 Exacta: 4/1,5
Race 9
12 – Coalville- He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
13 – Cupid’s Dude – He has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Chelonian – He comes in after winning his last race at Laurel to try PARX Racing for the first time, and he has high % winning trainer Jamie Ness.
Longshot:
1 – Swift Tap – He won his last start at PARX Racing and at today’s distance and the rail post is winning at 32% clip.
Alternate:
10 – Kingsville
Race 10-Female
6 – Kindred Hearts – She has a bullet 4F workout on Jun-24 and blinkers are added today.
10 – Eclair Blanc – She has finished in the money in three out of her last four starts.
8 – Bossy Kate – She has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Leretha – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race
4 – Respectfully
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
6 – CANOODLE – first off the claim for Ness, already working with a bullet workout
4 – ANNA ROCKS – TLRSP# +10, doesn’t win much at PARX though – 7/0-1-0
7 – SHE’S GOT GAME – should be part of the early pace
1 – SIRENETTA – class dropper that has some exceptional LP at times
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
1 – ZIP IT SCOTTY – rail bonus and 41% w2w – should be the pacesetter with top C-ZONE
7 – WIZARD SERRAT – just needs to run back to his last dirt race – drops in class
4 – SENSIBLE JIM – down in class to lowest level in last 10, was better early but barn doesn’t win much
5 – SINGINTHRUTHESTORM – maybe the last race wasn’t as bad as it looks with better fractions
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 51% w2w – PP: 1-3 Penalty, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Best
5 – NAVY RULES – most upside by a lot – been off for 10 months – if he’s ready, works says yes
2 – ALMOND CIDER – weight break and has some early pace where 50% go w2w
4 – BLUEY – most LS by a decent amount if the early runners go too fast
6 – BOOM BOOM KABOOM – class dropper that can show some early speed
Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 18% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, Discount 4+ Inside Out Better
5 – MISTER MOORE – track dropper, better early pace in last
1 – RUNNIN’ BLOCK – TLRSP# and should be better in the 2nd up
6 – FINANCIAL STRENGTH – last race was better than it looks with similar fractions at 1m vs 6 1/2f – , cut back in distance helps
2 – CONNECTING – been close in the last 3, catching a weight break, could be the difference
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Discount
5 – STAR WEAVER – most back class – only horse that improved last out – signs of life?
1 – GABE – Z pattern, can close or be forward – PACO
8 – CAPTAIN CHAZZ – 3rd up – should be out front, can he hold on?
7 – JACK BEANSTALK – will be coming at the end
Race 6: Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Discount
4 – CHASING STARDOM – most consistent performer – should be upfront where he does his best work
5 – WARRIOR’S VOW – upped speed figure in last three – only one not moving up in class
1 – BOBBY’S CANDY – solid at Parx 11/1-5-3, and distance 6/1-2-2
2 – CATTY’S UNCLE – upped speed figure in last 4, much better fractions in last
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Small Discount
4 – CHARLIE SHOWTIME – regular 2nd race improvement would make him the winner
1 – WARRIOR TED – rail edge, some early speed in his last – 3 solid works between races
6 – JESUS’ DREAM – big class dropper, a neck away from winning his last two at this level
2 – PROM KNIGHT – just missed by a neck at a higher level last out, upped speed figure in both after debut
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
4 – RESPECTFULLY – gets to the lead and never gives it up
5 – MIA TOSCA – Jamie Ness off the claim, 2nd up and puts Ruben Silvera on – usually a solid team
1 – DANCING ON MY OWN – just needs to rerun two races back – distance 3/1-2-0
3 – MARY Q – a lot of bold black type in front of her, but she has beaten some too
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – OFF – 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
1 – SWIFT TAP – usually has some early pop – last out showed stakes level LS – rail is hot
5 – CHELONIAN -drops in class with TLRSP# +3 for Ness
13 – CUPID’S DUDE – has the most upside – consistent performer – trainer doesn’t race or win much
12 – COALVILLE – just missed at this level last out – got to think PACO had a choice between this and the 13 – he rides here
Race 10: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – OFF – 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Best
5 – LERETHA – too much early speed for what’s left?
6 – KINDRED HEARTS – room to be better in 2nd up and has her best workouts between starts
10 – ECLAIR BLANC – return to lone run at 1m at Parx would be enough
1 – PEACH TEA – rail edge and some early tempo too
