PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Race 1-Female
2 – Lost in Thought – She ran 2nd in her last race, may improve at the shorter distance and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
9 – She’sallatwitter – She has a high % trainer who wins 17% of the races when taking a horse from dirt to turf, her Dam has 4 winners from 6 starters and 1 Turf winner and she has a high % winning jockey.
12 – Royal Upstart – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Chance Occurrence – She drops in class today; her Dam has 6 winners from 8 starters and 1 Turf winner and the longer distance may help.
Race 2-Female
5 – Divine Romance – She won her last race; she has a high % winning trainer who wins 47% of the races when dropping a horse down off a win.
2 – Goldieness – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Summary Judgment – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 52% of the races, winning 28% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 33% of the races.
Longshot:
7 – Chloe Rose – She finished 2nd in her last race at PARX Racing as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she has two wins out of four starts at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
4 – Unadulterated
3 – Amaterasu
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,5,7/6,7/2,4,6/5,8,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
7 – Cage Match – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
6 – Prince of Chill – He finished 2nd in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden claiming to maiden race and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Irish Wish – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races with first time starters and his breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Longshot:
3 – Separate Ways – His early speed running style helps chances at the shorter distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5- Addyson’s Dream
2 – Dirty Harry
Bet: $16.00 Win: # 7
Race 4-Female
4 – Wildcat Girl – She has been off almost a year after winning her last race, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Raichu – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race at PARX Racing, winning the previous race and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Ayeartoremember – She finished 2nd in her last race only losing by a nose and she has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
5 – Aztec Bay – She has a high % winning jockey and the distance will not be a problem.
Alternate:
1 – Bohemia Babe
$.50 Pick 4: #2,4,6/5,8,9,10/1,3,4,5/7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
9 – DeSantis – He finished 2nd vs tougher in his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 2nd start with this trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
10 – Rerally – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 70% of the races, winning 30% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 69% of the races, winning 25% of the races.
8 – Midnight Act – He drops in class today; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Awesome Launch – He won his last start at PARX Racing; he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse up 2+ classes.
Alternate:
6 – Dalton
7 – Hotpot
Race 6-Female
4 – Emily’s On Fire – She ran 2nd in her last race starts and his Prime Power: 113.5 (1st).
5 – The Girl’s No Joke – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 7 starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Lady Sriracha – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters and 2 stakes winners, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the maiden claiming races, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a good 4F workout on Jun-26.
Longshot:
3 – Daisy Believes – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters and her breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Alternate:
6 – Mikey’s Song
7 – Shudabeenacowgirl
Race 7-Female
8 – Valiant Majesty – She finished 3rd in her last race at PARX Racing as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Mended We Stand – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Six o’Clock Sarah – She has finished in the money in four starts out of the last five races, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
9 – Bucks Some – She has finished in the money in her last four starts, winning one of the races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Seeking the Dream – She ran 2nd in her last race starts and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Sister Supream
$.50 Pick 4: #7,8/1,2,3,9/2,3,6,10/1,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
2 – Osprey – He has won four races at PARX Racing and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Iconic Legacy – He drops in class today; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – The Bearrish One – He won his last start at PARX Racing and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Lucky Dude – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 17% of the races, the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races.
Alternate:
4 – Dathoss
8 – Mizzen Man
Race 9
6 – Midnight Award – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
10 – One Bite – He won his last race at Laurel, he has the highest last race speed rating, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he switches to a high% trainer.
3 – Brie’s – He has finished in the money in his last three races, winning the last race.
Longshot:
2 – Homer Jones – He has finished in the money in his last three races, winning the one of the races and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Wicked Secret
Race 10
9 – Khopesh – He finished 3rd in his last race, can improve while returning to a sprint and he has a high % winning trainer.
10 – Sueno Profundo – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a decent workout on May-10th.
1 – Scamp Walker – The rail post is winning at a 19% clip; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Sir Cupid – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – The Grayt Pumpkin
5 – My Man Woody
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 3rd Race
7 – Cage Match
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: 2 Races – Closers, none w2w – PP: Rail Won Both
2 – LOST IN THOUGHT – a rerun of her last race would be a winner, better ATB and 3rd up
9 – SHE’SALLATWITTER – MSW dropper and her racing record suggest a move forward in second off the sideline
5 – SPOKEN VOW – MSW dropper after debuting as 2 yo – now 3 and getting 1st Lasix – Top jock rides
12 – ROYAL UPSTART – has one turf race, any improvement on it and she could win
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
5 – DIVINE ROMANCE – Top TOTAL PACE +7, drops to lowest level in last 10 after winning last
2 – GOLDIENESS – won both of her races at the distance and just 2 wins in 15 at any other
6 – GAMESTONKS – biggest class dropper, better fractions and Z Pattern, Tom horse?
7 – CHLOE ROSE – signs of life with much better early pace last out
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Discount
4 – IRISH WISH – got to take a shot at beating the ML 3/5 horse with a 3/3 firster
7 – CAGE MATCH – track dropper from NYRA – 1st MSW – both races so far win this
6 – PRINCE OF CHILL – maybe finally healthy? Make two starts in a row for the 1st time
5 – ADDYSON’S DREAM – could get the lead and gets a weight break today
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Small Discount
2 – AYEARTOREMEMBER – missed by a nose at this level last out
4 – WILDCAT GIRL – been off since last July – if she is ready – last work says yes, first up record says maybe
6 – RAICHU – if she can run back two races, could be the upsetter
5 – AZTEC BAY – Z pattern in her last, was a little better late in her most recent effort
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
10 – RERALLY – all of his most recent races at Parx and this level are potential winners
9 – DESANTIS – first, second or off the board – worried about speed and fade
1 – RUNNING RIVER – Ness/Sanchez in 2nd at PARX after track dropping, down in class today
7 – HOTPOT – tr Michael Pino solid off the claim – better EP in his last
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 51% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Discount, 4+ Outside In Edge
5 – THE GIRL’S NO JOKE – 3/3 First Timer
2 – CANDOTHIS – 2.8/3
1 – LADY SRIRACHA – 2.7
4 – EMILY’S ON FIRE – Best of the experienced horses
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Discount
8 – VALIANT MAJESTY – expecting a bounce back race after regressing in last 3 – should be forward again
4 – R FUNNY BIZNESS – Kendrick comes in to ride – showed Stakes Level LP in last
1 – GLADRIEL track dropper that – fast track is the key 4/3-0-1
3 – SIX O’CLOCK SARAH – ITM 11/12 at the distance – small cut back in distance should help
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Small Discount
6 – AHSAD – signs of life in his last and has some of the most upside in the race – tr Richard Vega doesn’t claim many but won 4/11 when he does – decent maintenance work between
9 – ICONIC LEGACY – lowest level in last 10, most consistent performer at a level that would beat most of these most of the time
2 – OSPREY – small class drop, ran better fractions last out
4 – DATHOSS – tough call over the 3, but has more potential with faster fractions at 6 1/2f v 5 1/2f
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 16 Route Races, Stalkers, 25% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Underperforms, 8+ Bonus
10 – ONE BITE – just needs to rewind and run his last race, potential to be better in 2nd up
4 – WICKED SECRET – his best race by far was his lone run on Parx grass
7 – ACTION HERO – Top Total Pace +8 and could be lone E with tie for most LS – lookout if he is on the front
2 – HOMER JONES – GP track dropper and gets the top jockey
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Discount
9 – KHOPESH – 2nd start at PARX after coming in from GP – two solid works between races
1 – SCAMP WALKER – most upside in the race and has the benefit of the rail – needs a cleaner start
10 – SUENO PROFUNDO – same story as the 9, minus the maintenance works between starts
5 – MY MAN WOODY – if he can run back to his MCL win 4 races back – better EP in last – weight break should help late today
