PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Presque Isle Downs: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/in…
Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Race 1-Female
3 – Nature’s Candy – She ran 2nd in her last race, her first turf try and she has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Mosey – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
10 – Southampton Dock – She has finished in the money in five starts out of the last six races, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Payout Ratio – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and can improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
1 – Fullmoonmagic
9 – Pleasant Dreams
$.50 Pick 4: #3,4,10/2,4,5/1,4,5/4,5,7 – Cost $40.50
Race 2-Female
5 – Battalia – She has finished in the money in four starts out of the six races at PARX Racing, winning one of the starts and has she has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Nurse Caralyn – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the sprints he has a horse competing in and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Wine Goddess – She trainer who wins 33% of the races when taking a horse from the turf to the dirt, she has a high % winning jockey and the distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
8 – Unbridled Sass – She has a high % winning jockey and she has a trainer who wins 17% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in.
Alternate:
1 – Onthisharvestmoon
3 – Universal Design
$.50 Pick 4: #2,4,5/1,4,5/4,5,7/1,7,8 – Cost $40.50
Race 3-Female
5 – Lil’ Late Luck – She finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and she has the highest last race speed rating.
4 – Mollewantacracker – She has won two races out of the last four starts, drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Steal the Deal – She tried turf in her last race and did not take to it and returns to the dirt which she does better on, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when taking a horse from the Turf to Dirt.
Longshot:
2 – Secret Temptation – She drops in class today and the shorter distance offers hope for improvement.
Alternate:
3- Bruno Barber Girl
6 – Only Girl
Race 4
7 – Liberty Star – He won his last race at PARX Racing; he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Quick Return – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 58% of the races, winning 17% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 22% of the races.
5 – My Devils Child – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and a jockey and the distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
3 – Jova – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
Race 5
7 – Uncle Water Flow – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
1 – Runyonesque – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
8 – Doctor Doom – He has finished 2nd in the last two races at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
2 – Imagine This – He has a high % winning trainer and he can handle the distance.
Alternate:
9 – Runnin Joke
Race 6
8 – Party At Sam’s – He tried turf in his last race for the first time and did not seem to like it and returns to the dirt in which he has finished in the money in his last six races out of seven starts, winning two and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Ninja Prize – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Mr Sandman – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 61% of the races, winning 13% of the races, the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 40% of the races.
Longshot:
4 – Swing Oil – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Fuego Sos
9 – Bronx Boys
$.50 Pick 4: #2,4,5,8/2,3,4,6/6,7,9/1,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 7
2 – Talkin Pharoah – He won his first start at PARX Racing and is two for two at today’s distance and he has the highest last race speed rating.
3 – Dylan’s Ruby – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the Allowance races he has a horse competing in and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Respirator – He has won three races out of his last four starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Paradise Valley – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Keeping It Country
1 – Mr. Roundtree
Race 8-Female
6 – Disco Ebo – She can improve while returning to dirt, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when taking a horse from Turf to Dirt and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
9 – Royal Poppy – She drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and she has a bullet workout on July 3rd
7 – Miss New York – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Talk to the Judge – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Race 9
8 – Capo – He finished 2nd` in his last race and he has high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Elevated Game – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – More Than Work – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Nantasket Beach – He has won two races in a row and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
7 – Card Trick
9 – Retweet
Bet: $8.00 Win: # 8 – $1.00 Exacta Key Box: 8/All
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race
8 – Capo
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: 1 Race from Way Back, From PP: 4-7
10 – SOUTHAMPTON DOCK – lots of late pace and should not be too far from the pace
7 – PAYOUT RATIO – lone win came in only 2nd up race with huge improvement, w2w and will be upfront
3 – NATURE’S CANDY – any of her last three will do – upped SP# in the 3 after debut
4 – MOSEY – bounce back race coming in third up?
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount
5 – BATTALIA – lone E going to be on the lead, fade is real possibility
8 – UNBRIDLED SASS – since the rest are closers, let’s take the one with the most LS in 3rd up
4 – NURSE CARALYN – consistent performer, others will have to run to her level, but she is 3 and all others are older
7 – SWEETEST MOMENT – showed the most improvement in her last, a little more today is all she needs
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 18% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4+ Discount
4 – MOLLEWANTACRACKER – another LONE E candidate, will press for the lead, but gets this spot because she just needs to run back one race to make this easy – and that was on the lead
5 – LIL’ LATE LUCK –might be more forward than usual and has the most LS – best of the 4 yo
1 – STEAL THE DEAL – class dropper that could be closer to the front that usual here
2 – SECRET TEMPTATION – left arrow horse with a weight break
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bonus, 2+ Inside Out Edge
7 – LIBERTY STAR – tends to run well in bunches, either of the last 2 works – best Parx and Distance record
4 – QUICK RETURN – class dropper, PACO and most back class
6 – JEBOLOGIST – it’s a 5 horse race, Steven Fielder told us always take the longest shot on the board, I keep forgetting and they keep winning – didn’t forget today
5 – MY DEVILS CHILD – class dropper and his last race wasn’t as bad as it looked – was only about a ½ second slower than the prior race
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – Bias: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
1 – RUNYONESQUE – rail edge, just missed at this level in the last 2
7 – UNCLE WATER FLOW – consistent performer that does his best close to the front – he should be one of the co-pilots here
9 – RUNNIN JOKE – maybe too much ES for these – most dangerous on the lead – could get EZ lead
3 – PREDOMINATE – trending higher, showed some explosive LS In last
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bonus, 2+ Inside Out Edge
1 – BARTLETT – speed, first Lasix and Gelded as 3 yo – has the most upside with only 2 races – the May 20 work says he’s ready
5 – NINJA PRIZE – just missed at this level last out – maybe the extra ½ furlong helps
7 – FUEGO SOS – a run back to her MSW win two back and she’s the winner
2 – MR SANDMAN – most consistent horse in the race
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bonus, 2+ Inside Out Edge
2 – TALKIN PHAROAH – too much ES for the rest of these? Won both at the distance and lone trip at PARX would be another winner
6 – PARADISE VALLEY – PARX4/3-1-0 – was 1/9 fav in lone miss – 3sp # increases
5 – CAPITAL CONQUEST – similar fractions at 6 1/2f as 5 1/2f
4 – RESPIRATOR – getting incrementally better from race to race and won at this level last out
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Strong Rail Bonus, 2+ Inside Out Edge
6 – DISCO EBO – has absolutely crushed it at Parx and the distance on PPs – if she comes close to her Parx best, it’s an easy win
1 – FOGGY NIGHT – has been running in graded stakes, rail bonus and has fired off the bench before
7 – MISS NEW YORK – Track dropper for tr Jorge Delgado, teamed up w jy Jairo Rendon winner 4/8 for positive ROI of 1.75
9 – ROYAL POPPY – another track dropper from NYRA
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: 1 Race from Way Back, From PP: 4-7
5 – MORE THAN WORK – won his only PARX race with ease after coming from NYRA
8 – CAPO – should be better in 2nd up and PACO rides
1 – ELEVATED GAME – track dropper for Ness and Sanchez
3 – NANTASKET BEACH – another Track Dropper on a two race win streak
