Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mountaineer Park
Parx Racing Picks and Comments
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
3 – Marvelousmoondance – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating, has a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Smooth Motion – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint and switches to a high % winning jockey.
2 – Kaique – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Texas Ted – He switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races in the maiden-claiming races that he has a horse entered in and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Private Cabana
6 – Lotsa Luck
Bet: $1.00 DD: 3,4/3,4,6,8 – Bet: $20.00 Win: #3
Race 2
3 – Gia’s Fuego – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning jockey, he can improve at the shorter distance, and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
4 – Assume Control – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race as the favorite but has a has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the starts when bringing beaten favorite back to race again and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Baci – She can improve while returning to dirt, drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 29% of the starts when dropping a horse down 2+ classes and can improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
8 – Sizzling Roma – She has a high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Kenai Cool
2 – B B’s Rocket
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 –2nd race #3,4,6,8- 3rd race #1,5 – 4th race #2,5,6 – 5th race #1,10
Race 3
5 – Perfect Silent Cat – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race after winning the race before, switches to a high % winning trainer, has a high % winning jockey and has a good 4F workout on June-29.
1 – Sight Unseen – He comes in from Aqueduct to try PARX Racing, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip, he switches to a high % winning jockey and can improve while returning to a sprint.
3 – Alonzo Mosely – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Minxzhippsdontleye – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the starts when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and the distance will not be a problem.
Alternate:
6 – Gimmebackmybullets
Bet: None
Race 4
6 – Laytown – She finished 3rd vs tougher (on Dirt) in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Crack the Code – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and switches to a high % jockey.
5 – Back East – He finished 3rd (on Dirt) in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Merging Traffic – He can improve in 3rd start since layoff and has a high % winning jockey.
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #2,5,6 – 5th race #1,10 – 6th race #1,3,5,6 – 7th #1,3,7
Race 5
10 – Bunny Bonus – She won her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Runnin Redbird – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Old Head – She finished 3rd in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Take It to the Max – She may improve while returning to dirt and she has a trainer who wins 50% of the starts when taking a horse from the turf to dirt and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Luna T
Bet: None
Race 6
1 – Big Boys Answer – He had trouble in his debut race and still ran 2nd, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
6 – Separate Ways – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races when using 1st time blinkers.
3 – Viral Video – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
5 – Warrior’s Payoff – He was well bet in his debut race and finished 3rd and has a high % winning trainer whose horses win 23% of the races the sprint races they are entered in.
Alternate:
7 – Upfor Parole
8 – Nicky Da Fox
Bet: None
Race 7
1 – Positively Awesome – He has finished in the money in his last three starts, running 3rd in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Healy’s Hope – He finished 3rd in his last race, and he has the highest last race speed rating.
7 – Tankinator – He has an early foot and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
8 – Causes Trouble – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps his chances so the shorter distance may help.
Alternate:
6 – Dangnabbit
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 7th #1,3- 8th race # 5,13 – 9th race # 2,6 – 10th # 1,6,8
Race 8
5 – Erin’s Enthusiasm – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, has a high % winning trainer whose horses win 27% of the races in routes and a trainer/jockey combo who in last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-1).
13 – Summer At the Spa – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning trainer whose horses win 23% of the races in 2nd start with the trainer and has a High % winning Jockey.
10 – Classy Miss – She has won two of her last three races at PARX Racing, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, and Jockey in the last 7 days has this record (15 4-3-0).
Longshot:
3 – Gingers Wish – She drops in class today and has a win at PARX Racing.
Race 9
6 – Wicked Sight – She was well bet in her debut and won that race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating.
2 – Girl Trouble – She finished 5th in her last race as the favorite but has a has a high % winning trainer who wins 37% of the starts when bringing beaten favorite back to race again and can improve while returning to a sprint.
8 – Avatal Hero – She finished 3rd in her last race, may improve at the shorter distance and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Celtic Tiger – She ran 2nd in her last race, can improve at the shorter distance and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Sundria
Bet: None
Race 10
1 – Takemetothemoon – He drops in class today; the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and has a high % winning trainer whose horses wins 36% of the starts when taking a horse from Turf to Dirt.
6 – Disturbed – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race and drops in class today.
8 – Mr Laoban – He finished 3rd vs tougher in last race, drops in class today, has a high % trainer whose horses whose horses win 27% of the races in routes and the trainer in the last 14 days has this record (31 13-6-4).
Longshot:
9 – Stormy Fire – He drops in class today; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Road Call
4 – Just Divine
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
3 – MARVELOUSMOONDANCE – missed by a neck in his first try at this level, 26 chances to win
4 – SMOOTH MOTION – Paco rides on a horse that ran fractions at 1m70 last out that could win at this level
2 – KAIQUE – 3rd up and ran better fractions last out – nice mid race improvement
5 – TEXAS TED – track dropper coming in from CD, Kee and OP, up in class with a decent Parx work
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/2,3,4/1,2,3,4,5
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
3 – GIA’S FUEGO – TLRSP#, resume says she should be as good in 3rd off the bench
6 – BACI – down multiple classes after running similar fractions at 1m70y on Turf as 6f, cut back in distance helps here
4 – ASSUME CONTROL – strongest C-Zone – just needs to get off to a better start
5 – KENAI COOL – tough call over the 8 and PACO, but has an aggressive +9 LP edge over the rest
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,6/1,2,5/2,5,6/1,6
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 better than 8+
5 – PERFECT SILENT CAT – down in class – lowest level in last 10 – with a couple of works between races
2 – MINXZHIPPSDONTLEYE – lone EP horse in a race with most that want to be forward
1 – SIGHT UNSEEN – track dropper, has back speed, rides hot rail with Paco
6 – GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS – has the best C-Zone score – Parx 6/1-1-2 Distance 4/1-1-1
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,5/2,5/1,2,3,5,6
Race 4: OFF TURF – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
6 – LAYTOWN – 3rd up – 31% winner for trainer Jacinito Solis, only other 3rd start was best of three race cycle
5 – BACK EAST – lightly raced with the much better last race number that first, down in class
2 – CRACK THE CODE – track dropper – just missed at Monmouth last out – Distance 2/0-1-1
3 – ZOPPI FISCHBEIN – down in class and TLRSP# – better 2/4f pace#s last out
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,6/5,6/2,3,5,6,12
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: 1-3 Above Par, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Fair
10 – BUNNY BONUS – strong chance to be on the lead as one of two E horses, TLRSP# by a decent margin
6 – LUNA T – Paco in 2nd start off the break, ran by far fastest fraction in her last 10 in 1st off the bench
1 – RUNNIN REDBIRD – left arrow horse making third start after a layoff – regressed in only other 3rd up
5 – BAY AND GOLD – at her best, can run away from these, at her worst, might walk across the line
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,5,6,10
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
6 – SEPARATE WAYS – tie TLRSP#, better final 6f time last out with more stamina late
9 – SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE – bullet work between races and improved a lot from race 1 to race 2, similar move forward with weight break could get this one
1 – BIG BOYS ANSWER – looks like a step up in class but is it? Ran vs open company last out and moves to state breds today
5 – WARRIOR’S PAYOFF – not the biggest fan of Penn shippers, has two good works since debut and could be your pacesetter
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,9/6,9/1,5,6,7,9
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ Bonus
8 – CAUSES TROUBLE – lone EP type and top total pace horse
3 – HEALY’S HOPE – TLRSP# with a +16 LP edge, that’s too big to ignore
7 – TANKINATOR – much faster early fractions last out, cutting back from 6 1/2f could help
1 – POSITIVELY AWESOME – best combo of EP and C-Zone
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,7,8/5,10,13/2,6,10/1,6
Race 8: OFF TURF – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
10 – CLASSY MISS – +10 Total Pace edge – last 3 races probably good enough to get this one
5 – ERIN’S ENTHUSIASM – left arrow horse – tie TLPRSP3 for Ness and Pennington – likely pacesteer
13 – SUMMER AT THE SPA – potential lone E, lookout if she gets the lead
14 – COMPLETE – better ATB in last – some potential back speed on dirt
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 50/50 – 33% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Three, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Almost Fair
6 – WICKED SIGHT – lone PC horse with a +12 Total Pace edge, tied for TLRPSP in crushing maiden win
2 – GIRL TROUBLE – lone EP horse, back to Parx where she is 5/3-1-1 – turning around in a week
10 – WORST BEHAVIOUR – coming off maiden win at Parx after track dropping – good work between races
9 – CELTIC TIGER – tough call over the 8, could improve second off the break
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 2,6/1,6
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
1 – TAKEMETOTHEMOON – down in class, 50/50 he improves in 2nd up – rail bonus
6 – DISTURBED – tried to go forward for the first time in 9 races last out and faded at the end, many times the 2nd or 3rd time running a new style is the winner
8 – MR LAOBAN – TLRSP# with small drop for Jamie Ness, curious that Silvera or Pennington not riding
9 – STORMY FIRE – decent shot to be on the lead with top C-Zone and gets a weight break with Sofia
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,8/1,6/1,4,6,8,9
