PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Race 1-Female
7 – Tiggy Thunder – She ran 2nd in her only race, and she has the highest last race speed rating.
1 – Instant Vision – She has finished in three races out of her last four starts, drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a 21% clip and she likes the distance.
2 – Edge of the Blade – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Weekend Honor – She first time starter, whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and her breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Alternate:
4 – Sperry Chalet
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5,7/1,2,4,5/1,2,4,5,6/6 – Cost $50.00
Race 2
2 – Nuedorf – He has won three races out of the last five starts, and he switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Jewels in the Bay – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 46% of the races, winning 14% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 30% of the starts.
5 – Ego Man – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1 – Poppy’s Pride – He has the highest last race speed rating, the rail post is winning at 21% clip, his early speed running style helps chances, the shorter distance may help and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-03.
Alternate:
6 – Zippy Gizmo
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,5/1,2,5,6/5,6/3,4,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
6 – Vicki Vale – She has finished in the money in six races out of her last seven starts, and she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Miss Jones – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Byebyejealouseye – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Wylda Wylde – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating and she likes the distance.
Alternate:
4 – Jess’s Moment
3 – Momma Pic
Race 4–
6 – Dr Bayter – He has finished in the money seven races out of her last eight starts, winning three starts, and he has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Alilnalot – He won his last race at PARX Racing, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Balantyne – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Grand Daniel – He has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Union Lights
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,6/3,4,5,7/1,2,7/3,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 5–
7 – Fluff the Pillow – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, winning the previous race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Zoppi Fischbein – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starter.
3 – Nimmo – He has finished in the money in four races out of six starts at PARX Racing, winning two races, drops in class today, and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
5 – Earl of Dassel – He switches to a high % winning trainer and his best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
2 – Marine Patrol
1 – Liberty Runner
Race 6-Female
1 – New Diamond – She has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and the rail post is winning at a 21% clip.
7 – Fifty Nine Fifty – She finished in the money in four races out of her last six starts, winning one of the starts and switches to a high % winning trainer.
2 – Classic Mystery – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and switches to a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Shudabeenacowgirl – She has a trainer who wins 25% in the 2nd start with the trainer.
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,7/3,4/2,3,5/2,3,4,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 7
3 – Guaponess – He finished in the money in eight races out of his last nine starts, winning three of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Final Shot – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 54% of the races, winning 17% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 54% of the races, winning 26% of the starts.
5 – Borracho – He has won 20% of his starts at Parx Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Yo Yo Candy – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he likes the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Sir Mi Tolee
6 – Whiskeyromeosierra
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: 3 – $15.00 Exacta Box: 3/4 – $5.00 Exacta Box:3,4,5
Race 8
2 – Mr. Bogan – He finished in the money in his last eight starts, winning three of the starts, winning his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – California Tiger – He has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey, his early speed running style helps his chances so can improve at the shorter distance.
5 – Just Step On It – He has a high % winning trainer, has the highest last race speed rating, and drops in class today.
Longshot:
6 – Duke of Gloucester – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
4 – Praetorian Guard
Race 9-Female
3 – Waitwaitdonttellme – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
8 – Erin’s Enthusiasm – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, her early speed running style helps her chances so the shorter distance should help and switches to a high % winning jockey.
2 – Avatal Hero – She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and she switches to a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Classy Miss – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 49% of the races, winning 17% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.
Alternate:
1 – Matoula
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #3 – Guaponess
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount but better than 4-7
7 – TIGGY THUNDER – 2nd race improvement and it’s a wrap
1 – INSTANT VISION – SIM FAV and the only YES in the field
5 – WEEKEND HONOR – 2.62 first timer vs the rest that are noes and maybes
8 – SHE’S JUSTIFIED – very likely pacesetter with the top C-ZONE
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,5,7,8/2,4/1,2,5,6/4,5,6
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,5,7,8
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount but better than 4-7
2 – NUEDORF – resume says a bounce back race could be coming after a bad start
4 – JEWELS IN THE BAY – PACO on the SIM FAV – some ES with cut back in distance
5 – EGO MAN – Top C ZONE and highly consistent performer – weight break today
1 – POPPY’S PRIDE – could be LONE E – 3rd up and cuts back in distance
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4/1,2,5,6/4,5,6/3,4,6,7
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2+ Fair
1 – MISS JONES – coming off the bench with best series and best published work
2 – BYEBYEJEALOUSEYE – PACESETTER with Top TOTAL PACE +5
5 – WYLDA WYLDE – TLRSP#+5 – regression risk is real – but same race is a W – can’t ignore
6 – VICKI VALE – only class dropper – ITM 5/6 at Parx and won two back in lone mile trip
$12 Win: 5
$1 Exacta Box: 4,5,6
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – ALILNALOT – Sanchez/Ness – strong work since last race – 4f in 47.2
6 – DR BAYTER – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE +5 and TLRSP#+3
4 – GRAND DANIEL – unbeaten in a pair at PARX since coming from Florida
1 – BALANTYNE – strong rail LONE PC vs a E and EP types – chance for good trip
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6/3,4,6,7/1,7/1,3,4,5
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – HEAT ALERT – 1 of 2 YES Horses – should be the PACESETTER, Top TOTAL PACE and biggest class dropper
4 – ZOPPI FISCHBEIN – SIM FAV with the biggest in race edge +6 LS and the other YES
7 – FLUFF THE PILLOW – missed by a nose at this level last out – faster fractions
3 – NIMMO – PACO – much better EP and FRACTIONS last out
$8 Win: 6
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 3,4,6,7
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount but better than 4-7
1 – NEW DIAMOND – Track Dropper form GP – SIM FAV – gets Sanchez – tell?
7 – FIFTY NINE FIFTY – maybe horse – top PAR+ – and Top TOTAL PACE
2 – CLASSIC MYSTERY – Top C-ZONE – and if she gets forward could be dangerous
3 – SHUDABEENACOWGIRL – tough call over the 5 – but more upside in 2nd up
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,7/1,3,4,5/2,3,5/2,3,7,8
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 35% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Discount but better than 4-7
1 – SIR MI TOLEE – TLRSP#+8 – Top TOTAL PACE and best published work getting ready
5 – BORRACHO – Ness/Sanchez – winner 10/22 at the distance – but Parx 10/2-0-0
3 – GUAPONESS – ITM 10/11 at PARX – lone small class dropper
4 – FINAL SHOT – SIM FAV – Top PAR+ and Paco rides – plenty of back class
$10 Win: 1
$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,3,4,5
Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2+ Fair
3 – CALIFORNIA TIGER – Paco/Ness – track dropper and potential pacesetter – ES+7
5 – JUST STEP ON IT – better ATB in last – biggest class dropper and Top TOTAL PACE
2 – MR. BOGAN – ITM 8 in a row – distance 3/2-1-0 – solid first up
6 – DUKE OF GLOUCESTER – Sanchez/Ness – crazy fast work between races 4f in 46.3 – but PARX 3/0-0-0
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 33% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – WAITWAITDONTTELLME – Pino off the claim – wins at 27% – and winning at 38%
8 – ERIN’S ENTHUSIASM – Top TOTAL PACE – Paco – won lone trip – Decent works prepping
7 – GOLDIENESS – speed of the speed with top PAR+ and C ZONE – 3rd up – Lone Dropper
2 – AVATAL HERO – SIM FAV – consistent performer – if she can get the lead – weight break
