PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
Race 1
2 – Stay Funny – He ran 2nd vs similar in only start and he has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Pacific States – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Jaknava – His best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Longshot:
5 – Omaha Eight – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse from Turf to Dirt.
Alternate:
8 – End the Violence
Race 2
11 – Zihuatanejo – He came in from Santa Anitia and finished 3rd in his first start at PARX Racing, he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
9 – Ike’s Gamble – He has increased his speed rating in the last three starts and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the route races he has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Zio Salino – He finished 2nd in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer and a bullet 4F workout on Jul-09.
Longshot:
10 – Freedom Eagle – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Starlord
$.50 Pick 4: #7,9,11/2,3,4,5,7/1,3,4/4,7– Cost $45.00
Race 3
4 – In Spades – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Big Boys Answer – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 72% of the races, winning 18% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 33% of the races.
5 – Carcharoth – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from the Turf to Dirt and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Winnin’onweekends – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2- Roan Burgundy
6 – Lost and Confused
Race 4
4 – Afraidofthebunny – He finished 3rd in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Catty’s Uncle – He finished in the money in his last three races, winning the last start and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Capo – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 23% clip and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a route to a sprint and his early speed running style helps chances should improve while returning to a sprint.
Longshot:
6 – Burn the Evidence – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Jester’s Song
7 – Jewels in the Bay
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,4,6/4,7,8/8,9/1,3,4,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
7 – Screen Saver – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, he has a high % winning trainer, and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Crypt – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
8 – Makabim – He has won two races out of the last four starts, drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from Turf to Dirt and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Awesome Launch – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the routes races he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
5 – Grand Pick
Race 6-Female
9 – Pure Lure – She finished in the money in five races out of six career starts, winning two of the starts and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Thegoddessofsnakes – She switches to a high % jockey and is trained by Scott Lake.
10 – So Fully Sue – She has finished in the money in her last three races, running 2nd (on Dirt) in her last race.
Longshot:
4 – True Phenomenon – She has won two out of the last three races and she has a high % winning trainer.
Race 7
1 – Sueno Profundo – He won his last race at PARX Racing, the rail post is winning at 20% clip, and he drops in class today.
3 – Navy Rules – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Boom Boom Kaboom – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Bluey– He has been knocking at the door finishing 3rd in his last three starts and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Mr. Tuttle
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,8/1,8/2,4,6,7/1,8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
1 – Divine Miracle – He finished in the money in his last three races, winning two of the starts and he has high % winning trainer.
8 – Vine Jet – He finished in the money in six races out of his last seven starts, winning two of the starts and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Speightster Red – He has won two races out of the last four starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Sophos – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, he drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Yes Sir Colonel
4 – Teewinot Pass
Bet: $16.00 Win: # 1
Race 9
7 – Talented Man – He won his last race at Pimlico and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Scaramouche – He ran 2nd in last race, he has high % winning trainer and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
6 – Smooth B – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has high % winning trainer and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
4 – Traders Luck – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Race 10
8 – The Angry Man – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Henrythethird – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, and the distance will not be a problem.
9 – Jacohare – He drops in class today and he has a bullet 4F workout on Jun-21.
Longshot:
11 – Ahsad – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Elvirus
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race
1 – Divine Miracle
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 55% w2w – PP: 1-3 Discount, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Best
2 – STAY FUNNY – 2nd race improvement is enough to graduate
9 – PACIFIC STATES – has the most back class and likely to improve in 2nd up
7 – JAKNAVA – 0/10 at PARX, 3 of his last 5 would be winners versus these
4 – MAKE MINE CHROME – take a flyer, was decently bet in debut a long time ago, drops from MSW – May 21ist work says there is some talent there
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – OFF – 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus
11 – ZIHUATANEJO – 2nd up improvement and another that should be forward
13 – TRICOLOUR – maybe the top pick on turf, will be closing
9 – IKE’S GAMBLE – 2nd in his lone trip at Parx, 3SP# increases
3 – STARLORD – top TOTAL PACE +5
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus
4 – IN SPADES – distance 6/2-2-2, only question is first up record, work on June 28 says he is ready
6 – LOST AND CONFUSED – 3rd up, one of his strongest works between races
3 – WINNIN’ONWEEKENDS – tremendous late pace at times, All or Nothing type 14/4-0-1
7 – BIG BOYS ANSWER – close call with the 5, but should be more forward
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 32% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Penaly, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
1 – CAPO – 3rd up, small drop in class – fast dirt is the key 4/3-0-0
5 – JESTER’S SONG – consistent performer that should be better in 2nd Parx race
3 – CATTY’S UNCLE – 5 SP# increases – including TLRSP#
6 – BURN THE EVIDENCE – both wins came off the bench, like today and one of his best published works prepping
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Small Penalty, 4-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Big Discount
7 – SCREEN SAVER – think this might be the better of the 2 Ness horses, 2 wins and a second the race following a better ATB outing – like last race
4 – CRYPT – the other Ness horse, much better early pace in last
8 – MAKABIM – tremendous LP and really not all that far off the pace here
9 – AWESOME LAUNCH – if he gest the early lead, lookout and data says he has a solid chance to be pacesetter
Race 6: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – OFF – 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Best
9 – PURE LURE – has a +5 EP edge and the most LS by a point, +6 Total Pace
8 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – should be one of the co-pilots and has some of the best LS
4 – TRUE PHENOMENON – lone EP – highly consistent performer
5 – TWIST HER – fast track is the key 8/1-2-3 – weight break
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
3 – NAVY RULES – good chance to be the pacesetter and +7 TOTAL PACE
1 – SUENO PROFUNDO – rising speed figures and distance 2/1-0-1
9 – FINANCIAL STRENGTH – has the back class to win, signs of life in his last with better ES
8 – BLUEY – some solid LS and some extra distance today could help
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus
1 – DIVINE MIRACLE – GREEN GO horse, do work about paired peak SP# and regression
8 – VINE JET – class drop with the most upside in the race – better EP in last
6 – YES SIR COLONEL – first up following some rest, nice work on June 27 and then a maintenance
2 – CENTURION – let’s take a flyer on the class drop, ITM the last 3 race closest to this level
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
7 – TALENTED MAN – top TOTAL PACE +5
4 – TRADERS LUCK – 5 horse field, maybe the 2nd longest shot, good chance to be on the lead
6 – SMOOTH B – drops form a pair of NGSTK races
2 – SCARAMOUCHE – winner 6/12 at PARX – last race a little better than it looks
Race 10: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 19% w2w – PP: 1-3 Bonus, Inside Out 4+
9 – JACOHARE – could be lone E with a good chance to be on the lead – seen it too many times
13 – RUDY ROD – Always a reason trainer with AEs want in – Solid at Parx 19/4-4-3
8 – THE ANGRY MAN – just missed at this level last out with better EP
6 – ELVIRUS – another flyer, huge ES jump in last and 3rd up – better ATB
