PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 7-23-2024
Race 1
4 – Prince Colton – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has high % winning trainer.
10 – Traffic Master – He finished in the money in his last four races, running 2nd vs similar in his last start.
8 – Ice the Kicker – He can improve while returning to dirt, switches to a high % jockey Paco Lopez and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Check My Six – He tried turf in his last race, did not take to it and now returns to dirt where he has been doing well recently and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Dance a Dini
Race 2-Female
3 – Shackleford County – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
8 – Wishing Ona Prayer – She switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-0-0) and she has a good 4F workout on Jul-15.
1 – Liplock – She has a trainer who wins 22% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes and she has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
4 – She’s Got Game – She has a high % winning jockey, a trainer who wins 21% of the races when taking a horse from a route to a sprint and the shorter distance may help.
Alternate:
5 – Peacelovenkarma
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,4,8/1,4,6,8/3,7/7,8,10– Cost $48.00
Race 3
6 – Mister Moore – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a trainer who wins 18% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route.
8 – Carnivore – He drops in class today, can improve while returning to a route, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
4 – Edge of Glory – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
1- Major Cam – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 21% clip and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Wilkinson Warrior
Race 4
3 – Secret Path – He finished in the money in his last four races, winning two starts and running 2nd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Sheriff Ronnie – He comes in from Pimlico to PARX Racing where he has two wins out of three starts, drops in class today, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Kingsville – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Roman Empire – He won his last race at PARX Racing and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
5 – Pit Boss
6 – Rerally
$.50 Pick 4: #3,7,8/7,8,10/1,3,5/2,5,7– Cost $40.50
Race 5-Female
7 – Shell Belle – She has won two of her last three races, she drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Lean On E – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and, she drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Peyton’s College – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and the distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
3 – Matty Bo – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 57% of the races, winning 29% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 40% of the races.
Alternate:
4- Pearls and Heels
Race 6
1 – Scamp Walker – He finished 3rd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters the rail post is winning at a 23% clip and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
5 – My Man Woody – He ran 2nd in last his race, has the highest last race speed rating, and he has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Checking Boxes – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the sprints he has a horse running in and has a good 4F workout on Jul-03.
Longshot:
6 – Liberty Runner – He cuts back to a shorter distance which will help and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint.
Alternate:
2 – Fenwick Jack
7 – Milagroso
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,5,6/2,7/1,5/1,4,6,7,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 7-Female
7 – Frosted Diamond – She finished in 4th after being bumped and she has high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a bullet 4F workout on Jul-16.
2 – Love to Eat – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Princess Cupid – Her early speed running style helps her chances, switches to a high % winning jockey and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Tempest Rising – She finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, her a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the sprints he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
3 – Sundria
6 – One of the Ones
Race 8
1 – Fast Bob – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 23% clip and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Mr. Roundtree – He drops in class today; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Ego Man – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Kate’s Golden Dude – He drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer and he switches to a high % jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Leader of Men
Race 9
9 – Fire Pit – He ran 2nd vs similar in his only start, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Curious Soul – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – The Tire Man – He finished 3rd vs similar in his only start and is trained by Louis Linder, Jr.
Longshot:
10 – Chill Boss – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 6 winner from 7 starter and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-09.
Alternate:
4 – Analog Jones
$.50 Pick 4: 4,6,7,9,10/6/1,5/1,2,3,4,6,7,8,11,12,13 – Cost $50.00
Race 10-Female
6 – Mia Tosca – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has high % winning trainer.
3 – Yesternight – She has high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the of the races when shipping a horse in to compete, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has high % winning jockey.
4 – Aoife’s Magic – She has won four out of five races at PARX Racing and the distance will not be a problem as she has one win at one start and Lasix is added.
Longshot:
1 – Emirates Affair – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 78% of the races, winning 22% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 100% of the races.
Alternate:
5 – Beneath the Stars
2 – Turn On the Charm
Race 11
1 – Loose Ends – He ran 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and, he has high % winning jockey.
5 – Bestsugardaddyever – She has three wins out of his four starts, including winning the last race and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Adero – He finished 3rd in his last race, he has high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the Allowance races he has an entry in and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
7 – Windsor Gold – He ran 2nd in his last race at PARX and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Irish Cork
6 – Ridin With Biden
Race 12
11 – Runyonesque – He has been knocking at the door running 2nd in his last three races and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Dixie’s Two Stents – He drops in class today, switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and he has trainer Scott Lake.
4 – Dalton – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, can improve at the shorter distance
as he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
12 – Kabod – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX, has the highest last race speed rating and he has high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Modern Midas
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 10th Race
6 – Mia Tosca
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
4 – PRINCE COLTON – winner two in a row w2w – should be on the lead here too – #3sp# increases
10 – TRAFFIC MASTER – not all that far from winning 4 in a row
2 – DANCE A DINI – most of his recent dirt races are good enough to beat most of these most of the time
9 – THE GATEKEEPER – huge jump in his last, better ATB
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 19% w2w – PP: 1-3 Bonus, 4+ Inside Out
3 – SHACKLEFORD COUNTY – just needs a little improvement in 2nd up, maintenance work between
1 – LIPLOCK – TLRSP# and drops in class with a weight break, will be coming late
8 – WISHING ONA PRAYER – most dangerous on the lead, could be there today in 3rd up
5 – PEACELOVENKARMA – better ATB in last has PAR back class for this level
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Big Discount
6 – MISTER MOORE – much better fractions last out and drops in class
3 – GAMERUN – similar fractions despite going longer – better ATB
7 – WILKINSON WARRIOR – drops in class after not getting involved in his last, OK works since
4 – EDGE OF GLORY – most consistent horse in the race – Ness/Silvera
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
3 – SECRET PATH – rerun any of his last four races would be enough – Paco
2 – ROMAN EMPIRE – resume says he will be better in 2nd up – TLRSP# in last
7 – SHERIFF RONNIE – winner 2/3 at PARX – including a 7 ¼ length scores at the distance
6 – RERALLY – ITM 7/11 at Parx – enough back class to bounce back here
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Discount a little from Inside Out
Wide Open Race
7 – SHELL BELLE – Ness/Sanchez – better fractions last out – 2nd up improvement coming
3 – MATTY BO – a good chance to be forward – winner 4/10 at the distance – none in 10 at others
8 – LEAN ON E – really consistent, race to race to races – 4 incremental SP# increases
5 – CHLOE ROSE – last race better than it looks, similar fractions, Parx 5/2-1-0 – Paco rides
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Penalty, Better Inside Out
1 – SCAMP WALKER – major rail edge and major signs of life in his last
5 – MY MAN WOODY – almost hit at this level last out – much better late
3 – CHECKING BOXES – drops in class after better EP in last – 2nd up 50/50
7 – MILAGROSO – top TOTAL PACE +5 – most LS and should be mid pack forward
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Discount a little from Inside Out
3 – SUNDRIA – considerable class drop – bounce back coming at a price?
7 – FROSTED DIAMOND – bullet wok between races after chasing fast fractions last out
2 – LOVE TO EAT – speed and fade hard in last, cut back in distance could help
5 – PRINCESS CUPID – speed and fade in first up following more than a year off, switch to top jockey Mychel Sanchez is a tell
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Penalty, Better Inside Out
1 – FAST BOB
9 – EGO MAN – 3SP# increases for Ness/Silvera – rerun last race – also missed by a neck at this level
4 – KATE’S GOLDEN DUDE – drops in class after running a better race than it looks, quicker times
7 – LEADER OF MEN – track dropping flyer – best published work at PARX – a hidden horse for the course?
Race 9: 4 ½ Furlongs – Bias: 2/4 w2w – yesterday co-pilot – 2 wins from 2/3 the other two 4-7
9 – FIRE PIT – a touch better in 2nd career start and the others will have to do something special
4 – ANALOG JONES – 3/3 first timer – the only one – July 2nd work is the key – 5f in 59.1
1 – FRIDAY SURPRISE – back bullet on July 5 – 4f in 47 – breezing from the gate
10 – CHILL BOSS – another 1ster with great breeding, trainer hits, but works are only OK
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Big Rail Edge, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Penalty, Better Inside Out
3 – YESTERNIGHT – track dropper from CD – 2nd in 250K NGST in only PARX run
6 – MIA TOSCA – TLRSP#+8, 3rd up should be about the same
1 – EMIRATES AFFAIR – first off the sidelines – won last fresh run by 8 ¼ lengths
5 – BENEATH THE STARS – another NESS horse with Sanchez, plus 7 ES
Race 11: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
5 – BESTSUGARDADDYEVER – most consistent racing at a level that wins here
8 – ADERO – 3rd up and difficult to beat at this level – crazy LP at times
4 – IRISH CORK – another with stakes level LS at times – Tom type at the distance 13/1-9-1
7 – WINDSOR GOLD – could get a big enough lead vs a field that wants to be middle back to steal it
Race 12: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 19% w2w – PP: 1-3 Bonus, 4+ Inside Out
12 – KABOD – tr doesn’t enter many, wins when he does – better ATB
11 – RUNYONESQUE – held speed longer at 1 1/16 miles – cut back to 7f helps
3 – DIXIE’S TWO STENTS – dropping in class after claiming two back at 12.5 – Paco rides, lowest level in last 10 and profitable on the win
4 – DALTON – trainer is cold 0/27 – claim and drop to lowest level in last 10 – could make the 0 go
