PARX Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for PARX on a $100 Budget
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Parx Racing Picks and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
2 – Singinthruthestorm – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 50% of his starts, winning 17% of the races and likes the distance, finishing in the money in 50% of the starts, winning 30% of the races and has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Ouch Ouch Ouch – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
4 – Teewinot Pass – He has a high % winning trainer and the 2nd highest Prime Power number.
Longshot:
1 – Load Up Moe – He has a high % winning trainer, the rail post is winning at a 18% clip, and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
7 – We Be There
5 – Dadashev
Bet: $2.00 DD: 2/3,4,5,6,8,9
Race 2
3 – Pecan Pattie – She has finished in the money in her last four races, winning two races, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – B B’s Rocket – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last two races, drops in class today and the distance will not be a problem.
4 – Mercy Mercy– She takes a major drop-in class and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Juliet’s Music – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint and can improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
9 – What a Beaut
6 – Assume Control
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Key: 3/4,5,8 – $1.00 Exacta: 3/4,5,8
Race 3
7 – Beyond Best – He has the highest last race speed rating; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Grand Pick – He won his last race at Delaware Park, switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when shipping a horse in to race.
4 – Laytown – He won his last race at PARX Racing easily and has a high % winning trainer who in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-0-1).
Longshot:
5 – Titanium Reckage – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Rex Kwon Do
8 – Battuta d’Oro
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 1,4,7/1,7/1,2,4,5,7
Race 4
2 – It’s Game Time – He has won two races in a row and is going for a hat trick, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Brett’s World – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Senior Investment – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Causalistic – He has finished in the money in five out of his eight starts at PARX Racing, winning one of the starts and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Sacred Rider
1 – Crypt
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race #2,3,8 – 5th race #1,3,8 – 6th race #3,5 – 7th #1,2,3,7
Race 5
3 – Olympic Romp – He returns to the turf where he has done well in the past, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and switches to a high % winning trainer who in the in last 14 days has finished in the money in seven out of nine starts, winning three of the races.
8 – City Rage – He drops in class today; his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint.
1 – Mr. Einstei – He finished in the money in four out of his five starts at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Sound the Charge – He finished in the money in three out of his five starts at PARX Racing, winning two and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
10 – Et’s Magic Man
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Key: 3/1,8
Race 6
3 – Let It Flow Joe – He won his last race at PARX Racing easily and has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Circle Me Madden – He tried turf in his last race at PARX Racing and did not take to it and now returns to the dirt where he has won a race easily and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Exclusive Order – He finished 2nd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Southern Runner – He finished 3rd in his last race.
Alternate:
1 – Kane
6 – Runnin Joke
Bet: None
Race 7
7 – Harley’s Charly – He has finished in the money in his last three starts, running 2nd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning jockey and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
2 – Indybound – He should improve while returning to a sprint and has a high % trainer.
3 – Texas Ted – He won his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Little J P – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Clash A. J.
8 – Muttley
Bet: None
Race 8
1 – Ninetyprcentmadd – She finished 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 35% of the starts when bringing beaten favorite back to race again, and he has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Uncle Dar- He finished 2nd in his last race at Penn National and returns to PARX Racing where he has finished in the money in three races out of four starts, winning one and he has a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has won four races out of nine starts.
3 – Capital Conquest – He switches to high % winning jockey Ruben Silvera who was the regular rider and has won on the horse in the past.
Longshot:
6 – Onlygodcanjudgeme – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has not raced for more than 8 months, but has several good workouts in a row including 3 bullet workouts out the last four workouts.
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 8th #1 – 9th race # 4,5,6,8,11 – 10th race # 3,5,7,9 – 11th # 4 – Bet: $20.00 Win: #1
Race 9
4 – R Funny Bizness – She drops-in class today, returning to a sprint will help and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
8 – Flashing Diamond – She has finished in the money in twenty-three races out of twenty-nine starts, winning ten of the races and has a high % trainer and jockey.
5 – Miss Peppina – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, has a high % trainer and switches to a high % jockey.
Longshot:
11 – Shesasuperfreak – She has finished in the money in two out of her last three races, winning one of the races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (10 4-2-0).
Alternate:
6 – Tara’s Talent
Bet: None
Race 10
7 – Amaterasu – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Instinctive – She drops in class today; she has won four races out of five starts at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – No Valla – She has won her only start at PARX Racing and drops in class today.
Longshot:
5 – Erin’s Enthusiasm – She won her last start at PARX Racing by 13 lengths and has a high % jockey.
Alternate:
14 – Baby Gundin
11 – Gold Rush Kizzie
Bet: None
Race 11
4 – Classy Sadie – She has finished in the money in nine out of her last ten starts, winning three of the races, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer.
10 – Epicurean – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in her last race and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Cup of Life – She won her last race at PARX Racing, and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
9 – Fast Intentions – She has won five races out of twenty starts at PARX Racing, and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
$1.00 Exacta: 4/2,9,10
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Ding
2 – SINGINTHRUTHESTORM – ran the TLRSP# at this level last out, but the fractions were a little dull
3 – OUCH OUCH OUCH – could be forwardly placed and steps up in class – small cut back might help
5 – DADASHEV – probably a stretch, but he’s been facing winning company in a lot of key races – like MASROUR who was an easy winner yesterday
4 – TEEWINOT PASS – 2nd best C-Zone and lone PC – but PARX 4/0-0-0
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,5/2,3,4,5,7/2,3,5
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias, Inside Out 4+
3 – Pecan Pattie – drops in class after TLRSP# – better ATB 2 sp# increases
4 – Mercy Mercy – sizable drop in class – should be near the front and lone EP
6 – Assume Control – a little better early last out, some hope for more improvement here
8 – B Bs Rocket – ITM 6 of 8 at the distance, better pace through first half of last, 2nd up
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4,6/2,3,4,6,8/3,4,6
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Ding
7 – BEYOND BEST – big time SIM fav with top C-Zone, TLRSP#, drop and little better fractions
4 – LAYTOWN – big MCL win last out with significant improvement late
1 – GRAND PICK – consistent performer with Paco on hot rail
8 – BATTUTA D’ORO -running at the lowest level of his career and speed numbers fit
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,4,7/1,4,5,7,8/1,4,7
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 30% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Ding
2 – IT’S GAME TIME – w2w at this level last out, tie TLRSP# – plenty of good works between races
3 – BRETT’S WORLD – Ness/Silvera – quality start after quality start – good works
8 – SENIOR INVESTMENT – left arrow horse, should be involved early – improved final 1m70y time by about a second last out
4 – SACRED RIDER – could be pacesetter, drops in class and catches a weight break
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,8/2,3,4,6,8/2,3,8
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: just 3 races, Closers – 0w2w – PP: 1 win from the rail the other 8+
3 – OLYMPIC ROMP – 1st off the claim for tr Michael Pino – 25% and Paco rides
8 – CITY RAGE – Ness/Silvera, strong turf pedigree
10 – ET’S MAGIC MAN – lone EP vs field that wants to be middle back – distance 5/3-0-0 no wins in 7 at any other length
2 – YES SIR COLONEL – lone trip on grass and off dirt record suggests this is the right surface for him
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,8,10/2,3,5,8,10/3,8,10
Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w -PP: Inside 3 and 8+ Bonus, 4-7 Squeezed
3 – LET IT FLOW JOE – some robust LP numbers at time and should be close to the front with this group
2 – EXCLUSIVE ORDER – resume says second after a layoff could equal major step forward today
5 – CIRCLE ME MADDEN – been off since May, drops in class, if gets the lead, look out
6 – RUNNIN JOKE – don’t feel like anything separates the rest, so we’ll take highest odds
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,5/1,2,3,5,6/2,3,5
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fairish 1-7, 8+ Bonus
7 – HARLEY’S CHARLY – TLRSP#, better ATB – distance 4/1-3-0
6 – CLASH A. J. – NYRA track dropper, good works including a bullet getting prepped
3 – TEXAS TED – upped speed figure in last two, Paco rides, but he is yet to win, DQd into MCL win last out
8 – MUTTLEY – has EP edge, weight break with sofia, expecting more in round two off the bench
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6,7/2,3,6,7,8/3,6,7
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 31% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
1 – NINETYPRCENTMADDIE – lone PC horse, all else want to be forward except the 8
7 – UNCLE DAR – speed of the speed? With a weight break
3 – CAPITAL CONQUEST – consistent performer, last race better than it looks, better times 6 1/2f v 6
8 – PROFESSOR KOOL – decent works getting set to return after 3 months off, lone closer so we’ll take the chance
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,7/1,3,6,7,8/1,3,7
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fairish 1-7, 8+ Bonus
8 – FLASHING DIAMOND – Parx 29/10-11-2, distance 27/8-9-3
5 – MISS PEPPINA – tie TLRSP#, faster fractions at 7f v 6 ½, cut back helps and switch to Paco
11 – SHESASUPERFREAK – Ness/Silvera, plenty of early juice as lone E, question is outside post and can she clear the 8 and 1
4 – R FUNNY BIZNESS – lone trip at Parx didn’t go so well, improving works suggest a better effort here
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 5,8,11/4,5,6,8,11/5,8,11
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf: Bias – 50/50 – 1 of 6 w2w – PP: none from rail, 2/3 and 8+ penalty, 4-7 Best
9 – INSTINCTIVE – Parx grass – 5/4-0-0, anywhere or on anything else, 4 wins in 29 tries
7 – AMATERASU – 3rd after a layoff and second grass go, tr Michael Pino winner 3/8 – third in lone turf race but off track record says it should be a fit for her
3 – NO VALLA – class and track dropper for Kent Sweezey, did win lone trip on Parx grass
6 – CONNELMAURA – ran at the track/distance/surface once, ran 2nd but DQd into win
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,7,9/3,5,6,7,9/3,7,9
Race 11: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 31% w2w – PP: 1-3 Bonus, 4-7 Squeezed, 8+ Fair
4 – CLASSY SADIE – lone PC facing the rest that want to be forward – top total pace horse
2 – CUP OF LIFE – blazed to the win last out, claimed, tr Angel Castillo Sanchez 32% v 20% overall
10 – EPICUREAN – Ness/Pennington – flipping of grass back to dirt – should show EP
9 – FAST INTENTIONS – distance 7/1-4-1 – ITM in last three with Silvestre Gonzalez riding
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,4,10/2,4,6,9,10/2,4,10
