Parx Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Presque Isle Downs
Parx Picks and Comments
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
6 – Road Call – He is a closer who ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has never been out of the money at today’s distance.
3 – Frugal Jude – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race after a slow start.
5 – Kane – He has a high % winning jockey Ruben Silvera is in the irons.
Longshot:
1 – Sette Stelle – He drops in class today and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Befriendtheenemy
4 – Majestic Lion
Bet: $1.00 DD: 6/1,3,4,6
Race 2
3 – Golden Eib Micrphn – She finished 4th beaten only 1-1/4 lengths vs tougher in her last start, switches to a high% trainer and has the highest last race speed rating.
6 – Powwa of Love – She tried to run differently in her last race by going to the front and faded at the end, switches to high % winning jockey Sofia Vives who may keep her close to the pace and close in the stretch to win the race using her preferred running style.
1 – Mazal Eighteen – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, the shorter distance may be a plus.
Longshot:
4 – Yellow Dress – She has won two out of her last three races at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Sweet Lilly Factum
2 – Frieder Fanatic
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 –2nd race #1,3,4,6 – 3rd race #1,3,4,6 – 4th race #2,4,5 – 5th race # 10
Race 3
1 – Sunny Saint – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip, and he has a trainer who wins 50% of the races in the second race after claiming a horse.
3 – Mississippi – He ran 4th vs similar in his last race after being wide in the race and returns after only a week off which may mean the connections think he can win as he has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Marco Island – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a bullet 4F workout on Jun-03.
Longshot:
4 – Therisastormbrewin – He drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Louie’s Wish
Bet: None
Race 4
5 – Laytown – He finished 2nd in his last two races, switches to a high % winning trainer and has a good 5f workout on June 02.
4 – Tequilamademedoit – He loves being the best man finishing 2nd in ten races at PARX Racing but may get married today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – First Money – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Chip’s Friend – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has won three out of three starts.
Alternate:
3 – Dudley Dickerson
1 – Doctor Magic
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race # 2,4,5 – 5th race # 10- 6th race #4,5,6 – 7th #3
Race 5
10 – Diesel – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer and the highest last race speed rating.
6 – Primordial Fear – He has won two out of his last four races.
3 – Hide the Ransom – He switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Refund Rigler – He drops in class today and returns to the turf where he has won his only start at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
Bet: None
Race 6
5 – Assume Nothing – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last start, he is a closer so the longer distance may help, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Not Normal – He ran 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in his last start, figures to improve while returning to dirt and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – DeSantis – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the route races he has an entry in.
Longshot:
2 – Alta Fox – She finished 3rd in his last race, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – My Imagination
3 – Battuta d’Oro
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 5,6/5,6/1,2,3,4
Race 7
3 – R Tenderoni – She finished in the money in nine out of her last ten starts, winning two of the races and has a high % winning trainer who wins 35% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Beyond a Million – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 2nd start after claiming a horse, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and returning to a route should help.
9 – Tribord – She likes the track finishing in the money in 53% of the starts, winning 27% of the races and likes the distance finishing in the money in 60% of the starts, winning 40% of the races.
Longshot:
5 – Fast Intentions – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
6 – Assume Control
8 – Penance
Bet: $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race #1,3 – 8th race # 2,10,13,14- 9th race # 9 – 10th #1,2,4,5,6,7,8,9
Race 8
14 – Ebben – He has won three races in a row, switches to a high % winning trainer, breeding suggests he will like the grass as his Dam has produced 2 Turf winners and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
2 – The King Cheek – He was beaten only 1-1/4 lengths vs similar in his last start, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint to a route and has a high % winning Jockey.
13 – Speightster Red – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
10 – French Toast – He has won three races out of the last four starts.
Alternate:
6 – Dalton
Bet: $6.00 Win: #14
Race 9
9 – Malibu Star – He has won four races in a row easily, has the highest last race speed rating (tie), has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Dreaming of Gerry – He has won two out of his last four races, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Loose Ends – He is always in the mix finishing in the money in all ten of his starts at PARX Racing, winning three of the races and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Simovitch – He ran 2nd in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Roan Mountain
10 – Eagles Cry
Bet: $25.00 Win: #9
Race 10
1 – Mr. Briggs– He finished 5th in his last race after a slow start and should do better with better start in this race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip, and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the claiming races she has an entry in.
9 – Hope for Gold – He has a high % winning trainer, and the distance will not be a problem.
5 – Maxim Moment – He takes a big drop-in class today and has a good 4F workout on Jun-03.
Longshot:
4 – We Ready – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Tankinator
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
4 – MAJESTIC LION – TLRSP# and drops in class, could be hard to pass what you can’t catch
6 – ROAD CALL – Chris P angle, much better LP in last
1 – SETTE STELLE – top C-Zone and should be close to the Pace and has rail bonus
5 – KANE – top Overaly in the field, needs to rebound
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,5,6
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 37% w2w – PP: Fairish 1-7, 8+ Bonus
3 – GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN – TLPRSP#, drop off the claim, purse and price make a win profitable, concerned with works
1 – MAZAL EIGHTEEN – best combo or ES and C-Zone, faster fractions 7f v 6f, better EP
6 – POWWA OF LOVE – held her speed longer last out, weight break with Sofia Vives should help
7 – SWEET LILLY FACTUM – most consistent performer in the race outside of the 3
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick: 1,3,6,7/1,2,3,7/2,3/10
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
1 – SUNNY SAINT – should be better in 2nd Parx race, 2SP# increases – bullet work since
3 – MISSISSIPPI – 3rd up with much better 2/4f pace#s, sometimes has brilliant LP
2 – ILLUSTRIOUS – a little drop in class, help speed a little longer, but slower fractions
6 – MARCO ISLAND – TLRSP# and Drops from AQ, bullet work but Parx 7/1-0-0 – the win was at this level
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2,3/1,3/1,2,3,4,6
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
2 – FIRST MONEY – TLRSP#, MSW dropper from NYRA, top SIM ES and C-Zone
3 – DUDLEY DICKERSON – missed by a neck in this lone try at this level at AQ, MSW dropper otherwise
4 – TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT – 2 SP# increases in a row, Parx 30/0-10-9, Distance 11/0-6-3
5 – LAYTOWN – track dropper but class riser, consistent performer, Parx works – blah
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Superfecta: 2,3/2,3/ALL/4,5
Race 5: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: 1 Race w2w – from 2/3 – OFF TURF
10 – DIESEL – +6 EP/LP edge, w2w in last with some better LP but slower fractions
7 – REFUND RIGLER – could be pacesetter and drops in class, trainer and owner are the same
11 – BIG CITY BOB – similar fractions at 7f as 6f, cutting back in distance should help
6 – PRIMORDIAL FEAR – better fractions in last out, a neck from winning three in a row
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,10/7,10,11/3,6,7,10,11
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
6 – NOT NORMAL – our good friends Tyler Conner and Erin McClellan – tie TLRSP#, won maiden with ease in lone trip on Parx dirt
5 – ASSUME NOTHING – going long for the 1st time, class drop in race 2 off the bench, huge improvement in only other 2nd up
4 – DESANTIS – best combination of EP and C-zone, not the biggest fan of MCL risers
2 – ALTA FOX – tough call over the 1, but should be more forwardly placed
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 5: 5,6/3/2,10,13,14/1,3,8,9/2,4,7
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
3 – R TENDERONI – Silvera/Ness, Parx 4/0-1-3, distance 13/4-4-4, Ness down 2+ wins at 35%
5 – FAST INTENTIONS – just missed in last with faster times at 7f v 6f
6 – ASSUME CONTROL – better ATB in last and is a candidate to improve in R2 off the sidelines
1 – BEYOND A MILLION – got to have this one in here, PARX 15/6-0-0, and distance 7/4-1-0, tr Bobbi Hawthorne 25% second off the claim vs 14% overall and hot rail
Race 8: 1 Mile Turf (OFF) – no data
14 – EBBEN – winner 3 in a row, TLRSP# by a wide margin, +6 EP/LP edge
2 – THE KING CHEEK – best combo of ES and C-Zone
13 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – how do you keep Paco off your tickets after yesterday
10 – FRENCH TOAST – is a length away from winning three in a row, better fractions last out, cutting distance should help
Suggested Wager: $1 Pick 3: 14/1,3,8,9/2,4,7
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Penalty
9 – MALIBU STAR – strong C-Zone and big overlay in SIM, PARX 10/7-2-0 – can put together some high, high quality starts
3 – ALLEVARE – unbeaten in 2 at the distance at Parx – drops in class
1 – DREAMING OF GERRY –going back to a route should help, Distance 8/4-2-1, rail edge
8 – SIMOVITCH – interesting that Frankie Pennignton is here and not on the 3, last race was better than it looks with better fractions
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Close to Fair
2 – TANKINATOR – TLRPS# – better ATB in last, question will be stretching out after giving up leas at 5 ½ f last our
4 – WE READY – 2nd off the claim for tr Mario Dominguez 28%, distance 3/1-1-1, better fractions early in last cut back helps
7 – CAUSES TROUBLE – best combo of SIM EP and Top C-Zone
5 – MAXIM MOMENT – big drop in class following two bad races in a row, has most upside, did bounce back the last time he had two bad one’s in a row
