PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks
Race 1
9 – Doctor Doom – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Hidden Promise – He finished in the money in his last three races at PARX Racing, finishing 3rd vs tougher in his last race and he drops in class today.
5 – Mucho Macho Eddie – He finished in the money in two of his last three races at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Corkman – He has shown that he can win at PARX Racing and he can handle the distance.
Race 2-Female
7 – Pontiffany – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Lean On – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Matty Bo – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 62% of the races and winning 44% of the races and the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money 66% of the races, winning 44% of the races.
Longshot:
3- So Swell – She has a win at PARX Racing and at today’s distance and has she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Mended We Stand
2 – Hidden Cache
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,4,6,7/1,2,4,6/1,6/2,3,5– Cost $45.00
Race 3
2 – Not Thistimerandy – He finished in the money in five out of his last six races, winning two of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Borracho Concho – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Nuedorf – He finished 2nd in his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Zoppi Fischbein – He finished 3rd in his last race at PARX Racing, and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
3- Road Call
7 – Spirit’s Hero
Race 4-Female
1 – Ree Nee’s Six – She won her last race at PARX Racing; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Designated – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Burning Embers – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in last 14 days has this record (5 2-2-1).
Longshot:
2 – Union Belle – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Problems Abound
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,6,7/2,3,5 /1,2,3,4/4,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
5 – Peach Perfect – She won her last race at PARX Racing, and switches to a high % winning trainer and has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Fast Mule – She has tried the turf one time in the past and showed she liked it and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Distorted View – Her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters; she has a trainer who wins 18% of the claiming race he has an entry in and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Getaway Palace – She has won two out of three races at PARX Racing; she is one for one at today’s distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Race 6
3 – Dreamwithinadream – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Allegrini – The rail post is winning at a 23% clip, he takes a major drop-in class today, has a trainer who wins 37% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Sir Palace Prince – He can improve while returning to dirt, drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Rory’s Orchard – He has the highest last race speed rating and has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez in the irons.
Alternate:
7 – Rossington
6 – Brasi
Race 7
8 – Check My Six – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races the 1st time a horse runs on grass and has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Between the Covers – He finished in the money in three out of his last four races, winning one of the starts and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
10 – More Than Work – He finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in his last race, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Dance a Dini – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Holy Moly Moses
$.50 Pick 4: #4,7,8,9,10/1,2/5,10/2,5,7,9,10 – Cost $50.00
Race 8
1 – Must Be Love – He ran 2nd in his last race at PARX Racing, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Jester’s Song – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – North Pole – He finished 3rd in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Longshot:
6 – Jewels in the Bay – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 53% of the races, winning 20% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 40% of the races.
Alternate:
5 – Professor Kool t
4 – Zamboni Warrior
Race 9
5 – Keeping It Country – He finished in the money in nine out of the last ten races, winning five starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Cupid’s Dude – He came in from Tampa Bay and won his first ever start at PARX Racing and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez in the irons.
8 – Street Glide – He finished 2nd in his last four races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Sophos – He finished 3rd in his last race, likes the distance and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
9 – My Last Mission
Bet: $6.00 Win & $10.00 Place: # 5
Race 10
2 – Hornbeam – He finished in the money in his last four races, winning two of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Brilliant Chase – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Silver Edge – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and has a high % jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Wind Ninety-Nine – He ran 2nd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Nostalgic Run
3 – Brindisi
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race
5 – Keeping It Country
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus
9 – DOCTOR DOOM – just missed at this level last out and was better from the middle out
5 – MUCHO MACHO EDDIE – top TOTAL PACE +5, by far best PAR+
1 – HIDDEN PROMISE – biggest class dropper, 2nd by a neck at this level 2 back
4 – JEBOLOGIST – likely pacesetter – distance works 3/0-2-0
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
1 – MENDED WE STAND – pacesetter and SIM FAV – rail bonus – top TOTAL PACE +5
7 – PONTIFFANY – 3rd up – winner of 2 in a row – some PEAK PAIR concerns but has run well in 3s
6 – MATTY BO – biggest class dropper, should be upfront and if she can run back 3 races – it’s over
3 – SO SWELL – most LS by a lot – winner, maybe not, but strong chance to rally into the money
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
1 – BORRACHO CONCHO – huge rail bonus – 3rd up and has the most back class
4 – NUEDORF – a little better fractions in his last and should be forward
2 – NOT THISTIMERANDY – track dropper and highly consistent performer
7 – SPIRIT’S HERO – stalking trip and enough late pace to get by at the end
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
1 – REE NEE’S SIX – track dropper and TLRSP# +6 in the last two
6 – DESIGNATED – 3rd up – will be closing
7 – BURNING EMBERS – just won at this level in her last win an easy win
2 – UNION BELLE – won at Penn last out for MCL win, but was a NYRA dropper
Race 5: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 8 Turf Routes, Stalkers, 3/8 w2w -PP: Huge Rail, 2/3, fairish, 4-7 Not Good, 8+ Bonus
5 – PEACH PERFECT – smoked everyone by 9 ½ lengths in her last
3 – DISTORTED VIEW – 3rd up class dropper – has a win and second in two PARX turf runs
4 – COLLIN’S GREY LADY – maybe too much early speed, bets chance to go w2w
7 – GETAWAY PALACE – PARX turf – 3/2-0-0 – this is the lowest level of her career
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Best
4 – SIR PALACE PRINCE – top TOTAL PACE +10, down in class – any of the last three would do
3 – DREAMWITHINADREAM – Ness class dropper – 2nd the only time he ran at this distance – only 4yo
2 – RORY’S ORCHARD – PACO just missed in this guy in his last – better ATB
1 – ALLEGRINI – biggest class dropper after coming in from AQ
Race 7: 1 1/16 Mile Turf – Bias: 4 Races, 1 w2w – closers the other 3 – PP: 1 from 2/3, another from 4-7, the other 2 from 8+
10 – MORE THAN WORK – Track Dropper, best turf record 7/1-3-1 – won last 1st up
9 – DANCE A DINI – just needs to rerun his last race with a powerful late move
8 – CHECK MY SIX – going to be forward – maybe best chance to go w2w
1 – MAJESTIC LION – borderline stakes level late pace – weight break – 1st turf is the question
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
2 – JESTER’S SONG – track dropper – consistent performer – going to make a move through the turn
1 – MUST BE LOVE – pace setter with top C-ZONE and rail bonus in 2nd at Parx after coming in from Oaklawn
3 – NORTH POLE – rerun last race and he has a real shot, does his best when close to the pace – should be there today
5 – PROFESSOR KOOL – another that sits right off the pace, has late legs and ran faster by about a second in his last
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 45% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Under Par, 8+ Best
6 – J D FACTOR – track drop, big drop – not in for a price – trainer intent – win and pay bills
10 – CUPID’S DUDE – drops in class after winning his last and 1st at Parx – PACO stays on
3 – MIDNIGHT CAT – either of the last two will do – possible regression with paired peak SP#s
8 – STREET GLIDE – seen enough Tampa shippers hit highly consistent performer
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Bad
7 – BRILLIANT CHASE – most back class – Ness and Sanchez
2 – HORNBEAM – should be right off the pace and has some solid late speed
10 – WIND NINETY NINE – want to rank higher on PACO and track drop – but post stinks
5 – NOSTALGIC RUN – becomes lone E with the 11 scratching – look out if he gets the lead
