PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Terry’s Picks:
Race 1
4 – Faux Pas – She ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Risky Day – She finished 3rd vs similar in his last race at PARX Racing, and she has high % winning jockey.
6 – Lady Tozi – She drops in class today, she has a trainer who wins 18% of the Maiden Claiming races she has a horse running in and the shorter distance should help.
Longshot:
1 – J J’s Honor – She drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a18% clip and a bullet 3F workout on (Jun-11).
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,6/2,3,5,6/1,2/2,3,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 2-Female
5 – I’m a Lucky Girl – She ran 2nd in last her race, she has the highest last race speed rating and her early speed running style helps her chances.
6 – Silver City Kitty – She has finished in the money in two races out of her four career starts PARX Racing, wining one of the races and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
2 – Fifty Nine Fifty – She has finished in the money in four of her last five starts, wining one of the races and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
3 – Miss Raucus – She won her last race by 14 lengths and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Classic Mystery
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6/1,2/2,3,6/2,3,5,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
2 – You Know Me – She has finished in the money in three of her last four starts, wining one of the races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1- Tariba Dream – She won her last race at Tampa Bay Downs, the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Midway Vow – She won her last race by 8-3/4 lengths, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Persuasive – She won her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and she has a good 4F workout on (Jun-08).
Alternate:
4 – Momma Pic
6 – To Be Loved by You
Race 4-Female
6 – Quarterflash – She won her last race, and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
3 – Tiz Race Day – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 64% of the races, winning 36% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races and winning 33% of the starts.
2 – Beyond a Million – She has finished in the money in eight of her last ten starts PARX Racing, winning the last race and she can go the distance.
Longshot:
1 – Cindy’s Song – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Summersattheshore
4 – Classy Miss
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,6/2,3,5,7/4,5/1,3,4 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
5 – Bobby’s Candy – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 10% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Normandy Hero – He drops in class today; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Rabbit – He has three wins at PARX Racing, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Tiempo Perfecto – He won his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and can go the distance.
Alternate:
8 – Zippy Gizmo
4 – Dream Knight
Race 6
5 – Sunday Spirit – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 20% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races and winning 29% of the starts.
4 – Freakazoid – He won his last race, drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 100% of the races when dropping a horse off a win and has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Heat Alert – He finished in the money in five races out of six starts at PARX Racing, winning two of the races and he and likes the distance.
Longshot:
6 – Modern Era – He won his last race, he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
7 – Exclusive Dancer
2 – Ryan’s Fleet
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5/1,2,3,4,6/2,3,4,5,6/3,5 – Cost $50.00
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: 5 – $15.00 Exacta Box: 4/5 – $5.00 Exacta Box:1,4,5
Race 7
4 – Speedyness – He ran 2nd in his last race at PARX Racing, and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Far Mo Power – He won his last race, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Big Boys Answer – He has won four of his last six races, the rail post is winning at a18% clip and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
6 – Shake Em Loose – He ran 2nd in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – One More Scoop
Race 8-Female
6 – Jump a Fox – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 73% of the races, winning 27% of the starts, she has won two out of two starts at today’s distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
2- True Phenomenon – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and switches to high % winning jockey.
3 – Imperio Azteca – She won her last three races in a row, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Moonboots – She has the best dirt speed among today’s starters, and she likes the distance.
Race 9-Female
5 – So Swell – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3- Sue Ellen Mishkinl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race as the favorite in her last race but has a trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she switches to a high % winning trainer.
4 – Bucks Some – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her early speed running style helps chances and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
2 – Creme Caramel – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race at PARX Racing and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Popthechampagne Ro
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #5 – Sunday Spirit
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
4 – FAUX PAS – TLRSP# +16 – Top LS + 15 and Top TOTAL PACE +11 – 1 of 2 YES horses
1 – J J’S HONOR – the other YES horse – going to send today based on 3f work
6 – LADY TOZI – could be better in the 3rd up
5 – RISKY DAY
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4+ Similar Discount
2 – FIFTY NINE FIFTY – SIM FAV – top TOTAL PACE +1 length – Left Arrow only Maybe – biggest drop – could be on the lead and +5 LS
6 – SILVER CITY KITTY – won the only other time in 4 that Paco rode
5 – I’M A LUCKY GIRL – TLRSP#+ 5 – not sure going longer helps
3 – MISS RAUCUS – tough call over the 4 – but grades better in just about every Smart Sheets category
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Discount
3 – MIDWAY VOW – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE and TLRSP#+5 – track dropper – by far best PAR+
5 – PERSUASIVE – could be on the lead – absolutely hammered the comp in first at PARX after coming from AQ
2 – YOU KNOW ME – biggest class dropper – switch to Mychel Sanchez helps?
1 – TARIBA DREAM – consistent and another track dropper
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Best
6 – QUARTERFLASH – closer vs a bunch of speed – +8 LS edge – PACO
3 – TIZ RACE DAY – SIM FAV and should be forward – Top TOTAL PACE
1 – CINDY’S SONG – Sanchez gets off the 2 that he rode in the last 5 for this track dropper – must be live
4 – CLASSY MISS – tough call over the 2 – but beat the 2 the last 3 times they met
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4+ Similar Discount
7 – NORMANDY HERO – fairly aggressive ES edge and top C-ZONE – Ness/Sanchez – but off the board in 4 at Parx – by far lowest level in last 10
5 – BOBBY’S CANDY – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE of 2 lengths – tends to hang late 10 seconds in 21 races
2 – RABBIT – PACO and trainer Brandon Kulp wins 30% first after a claim
3 – TIEMPO PERFECTO – better EP and fractions in last
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Small Discount
4 – FREAKAZOID – TLRSP#+7, third up, crushed in first at PARX after coming from Gulfstream, 1 of 2 YES horses with the…
5 – SUNDAY SPIRIT – the other YES horse – ITM 10 in a row – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE
2 – RYAN’S FLEET – going to take a flyer here – strong chance to be Pacesetter with +10 ES edge – better ATB and Fractions – strong C ZONE
7 – EXCLUSIVE DANCER – most consistent horse in the race – better early fractions in last
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Almost Fair
4 – SPEEDYNESS – SIM FAV – LONE E vs field of mid and back types – should be on the lead with a top PAR+ by far – Ness and Sanchez
3 – FAR MO POWER – resume says that the 2nd up should look like the first – has crazy LP at times
2 – ONE MORE SCOOP – 3rd up – first off the claim at this price – best published work after moving to new barn
1 – BIG BOYS ANSWER – Lone PC – should be forward – rail bonus – 2nd best PAR+
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4+ Similar Discount
2 – TRUE PHENOMENON – I know Sanchez has become 1st call for Ness, nonetheless, he gets off the three – which he rode the last 6 times including 3 wins in a row
3 – IMPERIO AZTECA – as I mentioned won three in a row, none were close – 3 SP# increases – but maybe a peak and big regression coming – explains Sanchez Decision?
5 – MOONBOOTS – Only YES horse and Steven Fielder’s longest shot in a 5 horse race
6 – JUMP A FOX – tough call over the 4 – just more consistent
4 – CAROUSEL QUEEN
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4+ Similar Discount
3 – SUE ELLEN MISHKIN – catch me if you can – Lone E – Top C ZONE – maintenance work for more stamina
8 – POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO – SIM FAV – lone class dropper – Top TOTAL PACE +5 – 3rd up and has 5 seconds in 5 at the distance – where else would you put her
5 – SO SWELL – missed by a neck at this level last out – better EP
2 – CREME CARAMEL – better ATB Fractions and Sanchez takes the mount
