PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks
Race 1
8 – Hoku – He ran 2nd in his last race, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Samyaza – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Makabim – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Et’s Magic Man – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 60% of the races and winning 20% of the races and the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money 57% of the races and winning 43% of the races.
Race 2-Female
2 – Aunt Berra – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 70% of the races and winning 20% of the races and the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money 100% of the races.
3 – Ayeartoremember – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Cloudy Times – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Angelic Storm – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
4 – All Hail Mo
9 – Wicked Lady
$.50 Pick 4: #2,3,4,7,8,9/4,8/6,7/3,4,5,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
8 – Summersattheshore – She finished 2nd in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Dixie Music – She finished 3rd in last his race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Driven to Success – She has the 2nd best Prime Power: 100.1 and a couple of decent workouts.
Longshot:
3 – Catalina Nina – She has a trainer who wins 19% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse in.
Alternate:
5 – Winbori
Bet: $6.00 Win & $10.00 Place: # 8
Race 4
6 – Rabbit – He drops in class today; he has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
7 – Cauteloso – He won the race before his last start at PARX Racing and at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – So Close So Far – He finished in the money in two of his last three races and his best dirt speed is close to the avg winning speed.
Longshot:
2 – The Grayt Pumpkin – He has a win at PARX Racing the race before his last race and has a jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (8 2-0-1)
Alternate:
1 – Keep Dem Talking
$.50 Pick 4: #2,4,6,7/4,5,7/6,7/2,4,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
4 – Harley’s Charly – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, switches to a high % winning trainer and has a high % winning jockey, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and blinkers are added today.
7 – Golden Wildcat – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 65% of the races, winning 13% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 87% of the races, winning 25% of the races.
5 – Runyonesque – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Summer Ash – He finished in the money in nine out of the last ten races, winning two starts and drops in class today.
Alternate:
6 – Porsupuesto
2 – Modern Midas
Race 6-Female
7 – Miss Cinnamon – She finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Royal Upstart – She ran 2nd in her last race, has a trainer who wins 29% of the maiden claiming races she has a horse in, has a high % winning jockey and she has a good 5F workout on Jun-08.
1 – Missuptowntoodelou – The rail post is winning at a 23% clip; she has a trainer who wins 29% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse in and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Napolitan – She is a first-time starter and has a lifetime high % winning trainer.
Race 7
4 – Kohler’s – He finished in the money in two of his three races at PARX Racing but has not raced for more than 7 months and returns with first time Lasix and has a bullet 4f workout on May 20th and has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Key Stat – He ran 2nd in his last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races the 1st time he runs a horse after he claims the horse and has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Craigh Na Dun – He ran 2nd in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
6 – Standpoint – He ran a couple of 3rds at PARX Racing and then last December must have bled and finished 34 lengths behind the winner and now he returns and gets 1st time Lasix and has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when using Lasix for the first time.
Alternate:
$.50 Pick 4: #2,3,4,5,6,7/1,2 /2,8/1,7,9,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
1 – Lazaretto – He finished in the money in his last four races, winning two of the starts, switches to a high% trainer and has the highest last race speed rating.
2 – Mischievous Jones – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Sea Trident – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – The Bearrish One – He switches a high % winning trainer and jockey and blinkers added today.
Race 9-Female
2 – Seeyouatthehop – She finished in the money in both of her career races, winning the last start and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Confirmed Star – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – On the Shortlist – She drops in class today; she has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races when shipping a horse in and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
1 – Nature’s Candy – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race the shorter distance may help; she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and blinkers are added today.
Alternate:
7 – A Case of You
Race 10
7 – Secured Landing – He traveled to Aqueduct and finished 2nd in the race and now returns to PARX Racing where he won his only start there, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Prince Colton – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
11 – Costner – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Supreme Dominance – He comes in from Monmouth Park after winning the last race by 8-lenghts to try PARX Racing for the first time and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Top of the Street
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 3rd Race
8 – Summersattheshore
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: 5 Races, Early Speed, 2 w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2-7 Under Par, 8+ A Little Better than Par
8 – HOKU – is a nose away from winning both Parx turf races
9 – SAMYAZA – track dropper for Ness and Sanchez – will be closing
5 – MAKABIM – has some killer LS – ran plenty faster in his last
1 – WIZARD SERRAT
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
7 – ANGELIC STORM – might have the most back class – won last by 5 lengths, small step up
4 – ALL HAIL MO – first up record says an ITM finish is likely, distance is correct – 6/2-1-1 all others 9/0-0-2
8 – CLOUDY TIMES – some better fractions last out – 2nd at this level
3 – AYEARTOREMEMBER – certainly can’t overlook a horse Paco rides
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 17% w2w – PP: Rail Small Bonus, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Under Par
8 – SUMMERSATTHESHORE – Top TOTAL PACE +18 – going to be 1/5 odds
4 – DIXIE MUSIC – Z Pattern in last – better pace early and late
1 – DRIVEN TO SUCCESS – weight break and was better ATB on last
6 – NORHO’S GAMBLE – has some ES, improved late in last, maybe 10 pound weight break allows her to put both together today
Race 4: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
6 – RABBIT – all but maybe 1 of his races wins here on a giant class drop
4 – SO CLOSE SO FAR – left arrow horse – class dropper – just needs to run back a race
5 – MILAGROSO – Z Pattern in last maybe a little quicker early
2 – THE GRAYT PUMPKIN – more consistent than the rest
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 17% w2w – PP: Rail Small Bonus, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Under Par
5 – RUNYONESQUE – been the most consistent – regressed SP# In last 4 – signs of life late in last
1 – KABOD – on the rail and really benefits from the 8 scratching – GREEN GO horse
4 – HARLEY’S CHARLY – small Z Pattern in his last – a little faster at 6 1/2f v 6f
7 – GOLDEN WILDCAT – proper distance 8/2-2-3 – better in 2nd up?
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 30% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
7 – MISS CINNAMON – big class drop, most of her races win – PARX 11/0-4-5 – Distance 2/0-2-0
8 – BRILLIANT HALO – June 6th work of 47.4 and class drop – let’s see if it translates
4 – OUR LADY IN RED – was decently bet in debut, stopped in 2nd race – a pair of bullets prepping
1 – MISSUPTOWNTOODELOU – major rail bonus, only two races, both of which beat all but the 7
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
4 – KOHLER’S – some ES – 1st Lasix as a 3 yo – bullet and go
2 – KEY STAT – can you pass on a Ness horse at Parx? Typical 2nd race improvement is enough
1 – BRINDANO – 1st timer with 2.9 of 3 points
7 – CRAIGH NA DUN – rerun of last race – TLRSP# +8
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
1 – LAZARETTO – maybe too much early juice in a short field
3 – SEA TRIDENT – just missed at this level last out – weight break today would have been the difference
2 – MISCHIEVOUS JONES – winner of two in row – paired peak # concern
4 – THE BEARRISH ONE
Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: 9 Turf Routes, Stalkers, 4/9 w2w -PP: Huge Rail, 2/3, fairish, 4-7 Not Good, 8+ Bonus
8 – CONFIRMED STAR – turf is the only question
3 – ON THE SHORTLIST – drops from a 100K NGSTK for great friends of HRT Tyler Conner and Erin McClellan
4 – OUR STRONG VOWS – track dropper – bullet and go work
6 – VOLATILITY – some of the best turf breeding – with a little racing luck – could have won 3 of last 4 turf races
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus
7 – SECURED LANDING – run back to only PARX race and he’s an easy winner – drops in class
1 – SUPREME DOMINANCE – track dropper for an excellent tr Jorge Delgado – better in 2nd up
4 – TOP OF THE STREET – big drop in class after track dropping – bad trip in last – most of his other races compete for the win here
9 – PRINCE COLTON – easy win in MCL 50K – will try to get forward – where Kendrick wants to be
