PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks
Race 1
1 – Baton – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, he takes a major drop-in class today, has a trainer who wins 39% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Madison Luvs Duke – He drops down 2+ classes and he has a high % winning trainer and has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Uncle Water Flow – He has won one race out of two starts at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
8 – Imagine This – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Roman Empire
7 – Predominate
Race 2-Female
4 – She’s a Lino – She won her last race at PARX Racing; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Old Head – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 62% of the races and winning 19% of the races and has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when dropping a horse after claiming a horse.
3 – Bella Maria – She has finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and at today’s distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
5 – Akna – She drops in class today.
$.50 Pick 4: #1,4/1,2,4,5,6/1,6/1,2,4,5,7 – Cost $50.00
Race 3-Female
4 – Maximus Angelicus – She is a First-time starter whose sire wins 16% of the time with 1st time starters, her Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Exhale – She is a First-time starter; whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2- Mischief Maxey – She is a First-time starter whose sire wins 16% of the time with1st time starters, her Dam has 3 winners from 5 starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Hollywood Beauty – She is a First-time starter whose sire wins 20% of the time with1st time starters, Dam has 6 winners from 9 starters and 1 stakes winner and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Hopeforgreatness
Race 4
1 – Motskari – He has finished in the money in his last four starts, winning two races, the rail post is winning at 22% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Catire Vizcaya – He won his last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Masakado – He finished 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 29% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a good 4F workout on Jun-14.
Longshot:
3 – Eddie W – He won two out of his last three races at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Grated Coconut
2 – Bet the Line
$.50 Pick 4: #1,3,6,7/1,2,4,5,7/5/1,3,4,5,6 – Cost $50.00
Race 5-Female
7 – Bahama Pearl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and blinkers added today.
2 – Peacelovenkarma – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Rolls Royce Joyce – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 63% of the races, winning 10% of the races and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Shackleford County – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a good 3F workout on Jun-15.
Alternate:
5 – Awesome Pal
3 – Shesasuperfreak
Race 6
5 – Carnivore – He drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes, best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – First Money – He has won two races out of six starts at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Whiskey Prize – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Major Cam – He finished in the money in two out of his last three races, he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Jay’s Delight
3 – Thtwasthenthisisnw
$.50 Pick 4: #4,5/1,3,4,5,6 /1,2,3,6,9/2,10 – Cost $50.00
Race 7
4 – Baby Dukes – He is a First-time starter whose sire wins 16% of the time with1st time starters, Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Regalpains – He is a First-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Play the Gray – He is a First-time starter whose sire wins 17% of the time with1st time starters, Dam has 1 winner from 3 starter and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Highs N Goes – He is a First-time starter whose Dam has 5 winners from 5 starters and his breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Alternate:
3 – The Tire Man
Race 8
9 – Laytown – He finished in the money in ten out of his last ten races, winning four of the starts races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Margin of Air – He ran 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Roadtriptonowhere – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Thirsty Pappy – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 57% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 60% of the races.
Alternate:
2 – Eloquist
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,6,9/10/2,3,4,11/2,7,8,10,11 – Cost $50.00
Race 9-Female
10 – Dontlookbackatall – She has had three wins and three seconds in her last six starts, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Shoshanah – She ran 2nd in her last race, her best turf speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Disco Ebo – She has won three races out of the last seven starts, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Princess Runaway – She has won three races out of the last four starts, and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Midnight in Alaska
Bet: $5.00 Win: # 5 – $1.00 Exacta 10/2,7
Race 10
3 – Maximus Meridius – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the Non-Graded Stake races he has an entry in.
11 – Party At Sam’s – He finished in the money in six out of his last seven, winning two of the start’s races, and he has a high % winning trainer jockey.
2 – Carcharoth – – He ran 3rd in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Heavy Pour – He ran 3rd in his last race, his breeding suggests he will like the grass and he has a bullet 3f workout on jun-10.
Race 11
11 – It’s Game Time – He has won three out of his last four races at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Secret Path – He won his last race by 9-lenghts at PARX Racing and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
8 – Jarlian – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 48% of the races, winning 18% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 62% of the races, winning 25% of the races.
Longshot:
7 – Moon Dog – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer
Alternate:
2 – Midnight Act
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race
10 – Dontlookbackatall
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus
1 – BATON – has the most back class and drops in class
5 – UNCLE WATER FLOW – drops back to a level where he won with ease
7 – PREDOMINATE – drops in class after upping his early pace
9 – ROMAN EMPIRE – probably most consistent performer in the field
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
4 – SHE’S A LINO – most ES, drops and should be better in 2nd up
1 – OLD HEAD – drops to the lowest level in last 9, weight break in 3rd up
5 – AKNA – two maintenance works getting ready, just missed in last race after some rest
3 – BELLA MARIA
Race 3: 4 ½ Furlongs – Bias: No Races
4 – MAXIMUS ANGELICUS
5 – HOLLYWOOD BEAUTY
2 – MISCHIEF MAXEY
3 – BITCOIN BABY
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Tactical Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-6 Big Discount, 8+ Best
4 – JUST STEP ON IT – won at this level before with only PAR race in the field
7 – MASAKADO – only running 2nd race at PARX, last PARX race was good enough
3 – EDDIE W – his best works getting ready for the 2nd start after a layoff – won lone at the distance
6 – CATIRE VIZCAYA – track dropper with Paco riding
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
1 – ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE – missed by a nose at this level 2 back
5 – AWESOME PAL – similar fractions at 6 1/2f v 6f in the prior start, going back to 6f helps
4 – SHACKLEFORD COUNTY – maybe the best record in the field, 9 yo, last few races show a lack of interest but a recent works suggests she might be back
7 – BAHAMA PEARL – should be forward, likes PARX 8/0-3-3
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Tactical Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Big Discount, 8+ Best
2 – WHISKEY PRIZE – sits right off the pace here and tries to beat the closers to the line
4 – FIRST MONEY – 3rd up, record says it will be better that last and drops to lowest level of career
5 – CARNIVORE – running at the lowest level in last 10, should be forward
6 – MAJOR CAM – been regressing but showed some signs of life in his last with better fractions
Race 7: 4 ½ Furlongs – Bias: No Races
4 – BABY DUKES
6 – PLAY THE GRAY
3 – THE TIRE MAN
5 – REGALPAINS
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Bonus
1 – MARGIN OF AIR – at his best, the winner in the 3rd up with better fractions and pace in last
9 – LAYTOWN – can’t argue with PARX 12/4-4-3, like the works pattern prepping for first since April
2 – ELOQUIST – faster fractions despite going longer, distance 8/4-1-0
3 – ROADTRIPTONOWHERE – highly consistent horse with the most upside -1st up is spotty
Race 9: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: 2 Races – one from Co-Pilot Position, the other Closed – PP: Rail and 4-7 wins
10 – DONTLOOKBACKATALL – track dropper, solid first up record, going to be heavy favorite
2 – SHOSHANAH – second to Future is Now is last, who came back to win a GII at Toga
7 – DISCO EBO – only horse with 100s on his speed chart – wins if she can run back to that level
4 – MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA – first grass go, has the early speed, lookout if she can carry it into the stretch
Race 10: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Closers, 1/5 w2w – PP: Rail None, 2-7 Under Par, 8+ By Far The Best
3 – MAXIMUS MERIDIUS – drops from a GI – question is turf – off record says he can handle it
11 – PARTY AT SAM’S – best work comes on the lead, that’s where he should be
14 – TIME TESTED – strange class rise, hasn’t won yet in two, but showed amazing LP in last – a better start in 2nd off the bench and second career race, plenty of upside in 3rd career race
10 – CAPO – first on grass, should stalk and has enough LP to close it out
Race 11: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Under Par, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
7 – MOON DOG – going to take a chance here, has triple digit speed figure ability, last was first up after more than a year off, showed a ton of heart, stumbled and came again
11 – IT’S GAME TIME – faster by more than a second in his last
10 – SECRET PATH – crushed in his last with PACO, who rides again
5 – DIVINE MIRACLE – upped speed# in last 3, wanted to rank higher, but barn is Ice Cold
