Parx Horse Racing Tips. Comments, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Thistledown
Free Parx Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks
Race 1
7 – Bluey – He drops in class today, may improve while returning to a sprint, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Mil Doscientos – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has an early speed running so the shorter distance should help and he has a good 5F workout (May-25).
4 – Katie’s Notion – He finished 6th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he can close to catch the front runners.
Longshot:
1 – Connecting – He won his last race at PARX Racing; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Tough Workout
5 – Give Me My Money
Race 2
6 – Hometown Hero – He finished 3rd in his last three races and he has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Coles Conundrum – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 45% of the races and winning 18% of the races, the distance will not be a problem and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Disturbed – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
2 – Dream Knight – He comes in from Tampa Bay Downs to try PARX Racing and gets high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
1 – Eddiemush
$.50 Pick 4: #2,5,6,7/2,5,6/3,6/3,5,6,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
2 – Nuedorf – He is going for a second win in a row, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Gamerun – He has been knocking at the door finishing in the money in the last three races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – My Man Woody – He has won one out of two starts at PARX Racing, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Z’s So Good – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
1- Sueno Profundo
Race 4-Female
races, winning 20% of the races.
6 – Obstinate – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Bunny Bonus – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has won five out of fifteen starts at PARX Racing.
4 – Pachelbel – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 58% of the races and winning 25% of the races and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Irie Empress – She has two wins at PARX Racing.
Alternate:
$.50 Pick 4: #All/1,3,6,7,8,9/5,7/1,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
9 – Zihuatanejo – He comes in from Southern California to try PARX Racing with a lot of turf racing experience, drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and a good 4F workout on May-29 at PARX Racing.
6 – Dirty Harry – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races in the 1st start on the grass, his breeding suggests he will like the grass and Lasix is added.
3 – New Spell – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the races when taking a horse from a Maiden race to a Maiden Claiming and drops in class today.
Longshot:
8 – Sky’s No Limit – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races in Maiden Claiming races and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Impazible Prince
1 – Evasive Moves
Race 6-Female
5 – Reiterate – She finished in the money in nine out of the last ten races, drops in class today, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Gavichi –She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 46% of the races and winning 15% of the races and the distance will not be a problem as he has won 57% of the races, winning 14% of the races.
1 – Luna T– She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 24% clip and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
Longshot:
4 – Erin’s Enthusiasm – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and can improve at the shorter distance.
Alternate:
2 – Leviosa
3 – More Ransom
Race 7
1 – My Brother Charlie – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes, the rail post is winning at a 24% clip and has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Rory’s Orchard – He has finished in the money in three out of the last four races, returning to a sprint may be a plus and he switches to a high % jockey.
8 – Birthday Bond Rob – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
10 – Checkitup – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Bubby Papermaker
$.50 Pick 4: #1,6,8,10/1,2 /8/All – Cost $44.00
Race 8-Female
1 – Miss Pretender – She ran 3rd vs similar in her only start, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has high % winning trainer Brad Cox and high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
2 – Eclair Blanc – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and her breeding suggests she will like the grass.
6 – Queen Rocket – She ran 2nd in her last race and she has a trainer who wins 33% of the Maiden Sp Wt. races he has a horse competing in.
Longshot:
10 – Bossy Kate – She ran 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Keep It Sweet
8 – My Hunny Bunny
Race 9-Female
8 – Twentyeighttothree – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Chasing Stardom – She has an early speed running style helps her chances and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Borracho Concho – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse, she has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Dos de Oros – She switches to a high % winning jockey and the rail post is winning at a 18% clip.
Alternate:
3 – Hot Love
Bet: $5.00 Win: # 8 – $1.00 DD: 8/All
Race 10
9 – Golden Wildcat – He won his last race at PARX Racing; he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 4F workout on May-29.
8 – Caddy Man – He has won three starts at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
7 – Disco Devil – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Porsupuesto – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and the rail post is winning at 24% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Boys and Bullets
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race
8 – Twentyeighttothree
Rich’s Picks
Race 1: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 50% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Not as Bad, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Best
6 – MIL DOSCIENTOS – good shot to be on the lead, like the works since his last race
4 – KATIE’S NOTION – most often runs a race that’s good enough to win at this level
7 – BLUEY – cut back in distance helps, big drop in class
1 – CONNECTING – better fractions last out at 7f v 5 1/2f – cut back in distance helps
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 28% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
7 – COLES CONUNDRUM – has the upside potential, seems to find trouble, no trouble and he wins
2 – DREAM KNIGHT – PACO on a Florida invader, lazy Park work – should be right off the pace and try to close
5 – DISTURBED – missed by a neck at this level last out – will be closing – worked yesterday
6 – HOMETOWN HERO – consistently 3rd at this level in 5 of last 6, fourth in the other
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Similar and Under Par
2 – NUEDORF – TLRSP#+4, pacesetter, let’s hope speed holds today
5 – GAMERUN – if speed doesn’t hold, closer with +10 LS edge over the rest
6 – MY MAN WOODY – if he can run back to his maiden win 3 back, would be an easy winner
1 – SUENO PROFUNDO – track dropper – 3rd up – rides the strong rail
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Best
3 – BUNNY BONUS – really benefits from the 2 scratching – on the lead with the best C-zone by a lot
6 – OBSTINATE – the other potential leader – resume says a big jump could be coming in 2nd up
4 – PACHELBEL – much better early in her last – we’ll see if getting more distance helps or hurts
5 – IRIE EMPRESS – 3rd up and somebody has to be fourth of four
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: First Race – who knows?
9 – ZIHUATANEJO – most of his races would win here
3 – NEW SPELL – any of his all weather races are good enough – does it translate?
2 – TIME TESTED – 5/2 favorite in MSW debut as a 2 yo – back as a 3 yo with 1st Lasix
6 – DIRTY HARRY – could have a lot of upside with only a pair of races, run back to debut is good enough
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 28% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
8 – PEYTON’S COLLEGE – TLRSP#+4, could be even better in 3rd up and tends to run well in bunches
5 – REITERATE – sizable drop in class – last race better than the finish as final time about 1.5 seconds faster
1 – LUNA T – strong rail and going to be coming hard at the end
3 – MORE RANSOM – will be coming the hardest at the end – a win and 2nd in her pair at the distance
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 28% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
1 – MY BROTHER CHARLIE – class dropper, signs of life in last
8 – BIRTHDAY BOND ROB – better fractions in last despite going a little longer
10 – CHECKITUP – turning this horse right around May 27th – track and class dropper
6 – RORY’S ORCHARD -scratched into this pick
Race 8: 7 ½ Furlong Turf – Bias: First Race – ????
1 – MISS PRETENDER – typical 2nd race improvement and she is a run away winner
2 – ECLAIR BLANC – any of the last three race will do
9 – DETERMINED JUSTINE – first time starter with the best pedigree for turf – 2.5 of 3 points
4 – SLIVER OF SUNSHINE – we’ll toss the last, looking for more in 2nd up and just 3rd career start
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4+ Small Discount
7 – BORRACHO CONCHO – speed and fade in 1st off a layoff, Ness claim – will be better today
8 – TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE – coming off the maiden win – PACO stays on
2 – CHASING STARDOM – distance 8/0-5-1 – early speed that needs to hang on
3 – HOT LOVE – more speed in his last – just needs a little more at the end
Race 10: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 28% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Discount
8 – CADDY MAN – should be close to the pace – most LS – left arrowish – PACO
4 – KABOD – won his only race at the distance – cut back in distance helps
3 – SMART AND FAST -maybe most upside, drops in class and you cannot overlook any horse Mychel Sanchez in riding
7 – DISCO DEVIL – decent work – distance 3/0-1-2 – going to show more in 2nd up
