PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Mahoning Valley – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 3-31-2025
Race 1
1 – Yes Point – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Third Watch – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Ferrari Kid – He has a trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint- sprint -route and his early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
9 – Dos de Oros – He has a high % winning jockey and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
5 – Plenty of Time
7 – Villanito
Race 2-Female
1 – You’re Forever – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
2 – Flag Song Flyin – She has a high % winning trainer, she can improve while returning to a sprint, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
8 – Treasure Peace – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Wild Girl – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
3 – Stella d’Amore
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,7,8/1,3/1,3,4/1,3,4,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
1 – Callie Rae – She has finished in the money in her last five races, winning one of the races, the rail post is winning at a 20% clip and she has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
3 – Lady Robo – She ran 3rd in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating (tie), her early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance should help and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
5 – Jayce and Liam – She has finished in the money in six races out of his last eight starts, winning one of the races and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Eleanor Rigby – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and can do the distance.
Alternate:
2 – Wicked Cloud
4 – Red Haired Gal
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: #1 – $5.00 Exacta Key Box: #1/3,5,6 – $10.00 Exacta:1/3,5,6
Race 4-Female
1 – Job’s Not Finished – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 29% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the starts.
4 – Namora – She has won two races out of her last four starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Dorothy’s the Boss – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races in dirt starts and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Amalfi Lady – Her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed and she can handle the distance.
Alternate:
6 – My Jo Jo
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4/1,3,4,6/3,7/3,5,7,8– Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
6 – Giant’s Audible – She switches to a high % winning trainer and she has a good jockey who in the last 7 days has this (12 4-4-1).
3 – Miss Raucus – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – With Every Dream – The rail post is winning at a 22%, Lasix is added clip and she has a good 4F workout on Mar-25.
Longshot:
4 – Bad Girl Betty Lou – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Kiwi’s Gotyourback
Race 6-Female
7 – Fifty Nine Fifty – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
3 – Lil Sally – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Justcallmetwoshoes – She has a high % winning trainer and can handle the distance.
Longshot:
1 – Melittlefrostgirl – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the Maiden Claiming races he has a horse running in and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Lily’s Time
Race 7
8 – Cauteloso – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Majestic Lion – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Top of the Street – He switches to a high % jockey, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and can improve while returning to a route.
Longshot:
7 – Imaginized – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and his best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
2 – Hey River
1 – Bold Hoppertunity
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,5,7,8/5/2,3,4,6,7/4,8,9 – Cost $45.00
Race 8
5 – Showtime Matinee – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a bullet 4F workout on Mar-25.
7 – Never Till Now – He Finished 3rd in last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Byrde of War – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Chilling Zensation – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Donnelly’s Hollow
6 – Dancing On Air
Race 9-Female
3 – Pachelbel – She ran 2nd in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 35% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Been Real Busy – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Ringer Card – She has finished in the money in six of her seven career races, winning the last race and and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Leftover Sushi – She is another horse in this race who has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a good 4F workout on Mar-25.
Alternate:
7 – Et’s Moon Maiden
1 – Missy Sixtysix
Race 10
4 – Pardsy – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
8 – Almond Cider – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 8% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 62% of the races, winning 15% of the starts.
9 – Hidden Promise – He has won 15 % of his starts at PARX Racing, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Eddiemush – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Pressing Concern
1 – Quickening
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 3rd Race – #1 – Callie Rae
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
6 – THIRD WATCH – TLRSP#+3 and biggest in race edge with +13 LP edge
4 – FERRARI KID – very likely pacesetter – little weight break today
1 – YES POINT – rail bonus – closer 2/0-1-1 at PARX since track dropping
9 – DOS DE OROS – doesn’t look like it on paper but should be forward – better ATB
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4+ Discount with Outside being a little better
1 – YOU’RE FOREVER – Only horse with a PAR race, better LP and Early Fractions, Top TOTAL PACE with 2 race length edge
8 – TREASURE PEACE – strong early pace advantage – Top C-ZONE
2 – FLAG SONG FLYIN -if the 8 doesn’t get the lead – this one could
7 – WILD GIRL – 3rd start after a layoff and shows some ES – better middle out in last
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
2 – WICKED CLOUD – Top TOTAL PACE almost 2 lengths, 1 lengths LS and should be forward – lone class dropper
1 – CALLIE RAE – SIM FAV – much better early in last – 3rd up for only the 2nd time – Finally Healthy
7 – SPANISH GIRL – consistent and not a lot of speed in here – should be well positioned with Top C-ZONE
4 – RED HAIRED GAL – only horse with a PAR RACE – rerun that and it’s over
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
1 – JOB’S NOT FINISHED – good chance to be forward on strong rail – better middle out
3 – DOROTHY’S THE BOSS – faster by about 3 seconds in last
2 – AMALFI LADY – tied for SIM FAV with 5 scratching – and with the 1 – the only other with a PAR RACE
4 – NAMORA – 3rd up – Ness horse, interesting that he takes the Sanchez off
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4+ Discount with Outside being a little better
6 – GIANT’S AUDIBLE – only horse with a PAR Race – track dropper and class dropper
4 – BAD GIRL BETTY LOU – top rated 1st timer versus a field of Nos
7 – GO ALICE GO – biggest in race edge – 1 length and 1 length Top TOTAL PACE
5 – KIWI’S GOTYOURBACK – other first timer against nos
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4+ Discount with Outside being a little better
3 – LIL SALLY – most consistent performer in the race – should be forward – rerun last and it’s a wrap
7 – FIFTY NINE FIFTY – TLRSP#+3 and biggest in race advantage – 1 ½ Lengths LS
1 – MELITTLEFROSTGIRL – only horse with a PAR race – rail helps?
4 – JILLYS WAY – has the most ES and someday she might forget to stop running
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 31% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
5 – MAJESTIC LION – by far the most consistent runner in the race – Top LS by a little more than a length – biggest in race edge
3 – TOP OF THE STREET – PACO – run back to his last 1m70y race and it’s a lock – weird drop after being claimed for 16k – needs to win to be profitable if claimed
6 – E T’S EVASIVE MOON – if he gets the lead lookout – if not – oh no
7 – IMAGINIZED – just missed in his last – much better EP and cuts back in distance
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – DONNELLY’S HOLLOW – since none have hit PAR – two first timers get the top spots
5 – SHOWTIME MATINEE
7 – NEVER TILL NOW – TLRSP# +7 – has a 1 ½ length LS advantage – track dropper
4 – BYRDE OF WAR – should be in the lead and only horse to stay in MSW ranks
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Small Bonus, 4+ Discount with Outside being a little better
4 – LEFTOVER SUSHI – TLRSP#+7 – rerun and it’s a wrap – big concerned about regression after a peak race
6 – BEEN REAL BUSY – horse for the course – unbeaten in 3 at PARX – no wins anywhere else in 7 races with just a pair of seconds – Pennington rode in all three
3 – PACHELBEL – Kendrick on the most consistent horse and most of her races good enough to win
7 – ET’S MOON MAIDEN – PACO – 3sp# increases – cut back in distance is questionable
Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 48% w2w – PP: Big Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Hit Hard, 8+ Bonus
4 – PARDSY – has a PAR Race with the 9 – should be better in 2nd up
9 – HIDDEN PROMISE – run back to FEB 27th race and he wins – weight break
8 – ALMOND CIDER – should be on the lead – very consistent – much better EP
6 – PRESSING CONCERN – better middle out and faster early fractions
