PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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PARX Racing – 5-05-2025
Race 1-Female
3 – Moon Fleet – She ran 2nd in his last race at PARX Racing, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Sister Eve – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the claiming races he has a horse running in.
2 – Demolition Woman – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Wild Girl – She finished in the money in her last three starts, finishing 2nd in her last race.
Alternate:
5 – Sister Mary Lou
4 – Holy Kingdom
Race 2
5 – Probationer – He has won two races out of his last three starts, he has a trainer who wins 41% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
7 – Just Be Honest – He ran 2nd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Planet – He won one of his last three starts and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint.
Longshot:
1 – Whoosh – He has finished in the money in eight races out of his last ten races and he can handle the distance.
Alternate:
4 – Four Days Early
2 – Marine Patrol
$.50 Pick 4: 1,5,6,7/1,2,3,4,5,6/3/4,5,6,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
2 – Popthechampagne Ro – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Between Dreams – She won her last race at PARX Racing, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he likes the distance.
5 – Princess Cupid – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 13% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 86% of the races and winning 13% of the starts.
Longshot:
1 – Erin’s Enthusiasm – She ran 4th in her last starts after having problems during the race at PARX Racing and she has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
4 – Sweet Mischief
3 – Why Not Babe
Race 4–Female
3 – Sue Ellen Mishkin – She drops in class today, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Creative Copy – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 46% of the races, winning 29% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 57% of the races and winning 43% of the starts.
4 – Divine Romance – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Goldieness– She won her last race at PARX Racing, she has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and the rail post is winning at 23% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Mended We Stand
5 – Phone Eats First
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,6/6,8/1,2,3/3,5,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
6 – Okie Den Den – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Coach Knight – He has finished in the money in four races out of five career starts, winning his last start and he a high % winning jockey.
4 – Global Giant – He won his last race at Tampa Bay Downs and he likes the distance.
Longshot:
3 – Lightning Boss – He has a high % winning trainer and he has a good 4F workout on Apr-26.
Alternate:
1 – Scudetto
Race 6
2 – Jebologist – His early speed running style helps his chances so the shorter distance should help, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a bullet 4F workout on Apr-22.
3 – Super Constitution – He won his last race earning the highest last race speed rating.
1 – Boom Boom Kaboom – The rail post is winning at a 25% clip and he has a good 4F workout on Apr-25.
Longshot:
6 – Midnight Getaway – He drops in class today and has a good 4F workout on Apr-23.
Alternate:
8 – Big Brown Shoes
5 – Cousin Andrew
Race 7
7 – What a Blast – He has finished in the money in two races out of his last three starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Humble Joe – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Sophia’s Prince – He finished 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he likes the distance.
Longshot:
5 – Zippy Gizmo – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Curlins Cruzin
10 – Sam Wheat
$.50 Pick 4: #3,5,7,8/3,4/1,5/1,2,3,7,9,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
4 – Spikezone – He finished 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Buccherino – He has finished in the money in eight races out of his last ten starts, winning four races and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Ninetyprcentmaddie – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the allowance races he has a horse running in.
Longshot:
1 – Houghton Shuffle – He won his last race at PENN National and the rail post is winning at a 23% clip.
Alternate:
2 – Veeson
6 – Debit Card
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: 4 – $5.00 Exacta: 1,2,3,5/4 – $10.00 Exacta: 4/1,2,3,5
Race 9
1 – Harp’s Hot Corner – He won his last race at PARX Racing and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Divine Miracle – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 73% of the races, winning 23% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 73% of the races and winning 33% of the starts.
4 – Arrow Speed – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Big Boys Answer – He has won four races out of his last six starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
3 – Duke of Gloucester
Race 10
7 – Bullet Breeze – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer.
9 – Aaraj – He finished 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 33% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Borracho Concho – He has an early foot, his has his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Khopesh – He has a high % winning trainer, the rail post is winning at 23% clip and he likes the distance.
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #4 – Spikezone
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – MOON FLEET TLRSP# +6 – maybe better in 2nd up – lone YES
2 – DEMOLITION WOMAN – best chance to go wire to wire
7 – SISTER EVE – SIM FAV and top TOTAL PACE
1 – STAY OPPORTUNISTIC – Top CZONE and rides the strong rail – cut back in distance
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalker, 30% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – PROBATIONER – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE +7 -Left Arrow with top LS +6
3 – BAD ADVICE – pacesetter and better pace late in last – more distance helps?
4 – FOUR DAYS EARLY – Top C ZONE horse in the 3rd up – should be a rebound race
1 – WHOOSH – 3rd up with the most upside – see chart – rail edge
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 small Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
2 – POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO – TLRSP#+ 9 – SIM FAV – lone class dropper
4 – SWEET MISCHIEF – pacesetter with top C ZONE
1 – ERIN’S ENTHUSIASM – rides the hot rail and been regressing – some signs of life in last
5 – PRINCESS CUPID – ITM 6 of 7 at the distance – better fractions despite going longer
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Inside out, but 4-7 Worst
3 – SUE ELLEN MISHKIN – pacesetter with a 1 length ES edge – class dropper – Ness/Sanchez
4 – DIVINE ROMANCE – top C ZONE and it’s not close – every other forward – lone PC
6 – CREATIVE COPY – better EP in last – if she can run back to Feb 27th race – winner
1 – GOLDIENESS – tough call over the 5 – but a YES vs NO horse
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalker, 30% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – OKIE DEN DEN – TLRSP#+4 – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE +5
1 – SCUDETTO – top C-ZONE on the strong rail – maybe a little too fast in last – Z pattern
3 – LIGHTNING BOSS – 3rd up for Ness and Silvera
8 – COACH KNIGHT – same fractions at 1M70 as 1 mile – cuts back in distance
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 small Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
2 – JEBOLOGIST – only YES horse in the race – bullet and go work – most upside
1 – BOOM BOOM KABOOM – Top TOTAL PACE +7 – SIM FAV – but only won 1 of 39
3 – SUPER CONSTITUTION – TLRSP# +4 – better ATB in last
4 – BARGAINING POWER – Top C ZONE only horse with better EP and Fractions
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – JAKE BRAKE ALLEY – biggest class dropper – forward vs a field that is middle back – Top C ZONE – +9 ES
7 – WHAT A BLAST – PACO – better EP in last – by far best Jy/tr combo
8 – SOPHIA’S PRINCE – just missed at this level last out and highly consistent performer
10 – SAM WHEAT – should be close to the pace and has the most LS – tough call over the 4
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Inside out, but 4-7 Worst
4 – SPIKEZONE – TLRSP# +6 -ES +9 and Top TOTAL PACE +7.6 – only class dropper
2 – VEESON – should be better in 2nd up – a good start = a good race
6 – DEBIT CARD – can’t ignore a 92% – Top C ZONE – just missed at this level in last
1 – HOUGHTON SHUFFLE – rail edge and tough call over the 5
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – HARP’S HOT CORNER – TLRSP# +8 – pacesetter, +5 EP and Top TOTAL PACE +5
4 – ARROW SPEED – Ness and Paco in 3rd up – won the last two times PACO rode
7 – BIG BOYS ANSWER – smoked around the track in last – big wins usually followed by another good race
5 – DIVINE MIRACLE – scratch of 6 puts him
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 31% w2w – PP: Inside out, but 4-7 Worst
9 – AARAJ – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – pacesetter
7 – BULLET BREEZE – TLRSP# +3 – bounce back race would be hard to beat
3 – BORRACHO CONCHO – PACO – should be forward
2 – TIEMPO PERFECTO – lone E – if he gets out on the lead – look out at a price
