Parx Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Presque Isle Downs
Parx Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood: Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
6 – Mr. Tuttle – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Jokemeister – He has an early foot, and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Rockin Freebee – He finished in the money in his last three races at PARX Racing, running 3rd vs similar in his last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
1 – Vero Sun – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
4 – Frank N Ducky
Bet: $1.00 DD: 2,5,6/1,3 – $.50 Pick 5: 1st race #6- 2nd race- #3 – 3rd race- #2,6,7 – 4th race – #1,2 – 5th race – #1,3,6,8
Race 2
3 – Emerald – She ran 2nd in her last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 22% of races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Bet of the Century – She has finished in the money in two out of four starts at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer jockey.
5 – Elevenmonthslater – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has a high % jockey and a trainer who wins 50% of the races with a horse in its next race after its maiden win.
Longshot:
8 – Girlfromouterspace – She has a high % winning jockey, a trainer who wins 17% of the routes races he has a horse entered in and the trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-1-1).
Alternate:
6 – Island Belle
7 – Verdandi
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 2nd race- #3 – 3rd race- 2,6,7 – 4th race – 1,2 – 5th race – 1,3,6,8
Race 3
7 – Emperor’s Cause – He won his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today and the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – He’ssosubtle – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % trainer and jockey.
2 – Cape Hedge –He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a high % trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – I Saw It All – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race.
Alternate:
4 – Commissioner Dave
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: 2-6-7
Race 4
2 – Cajun Lover – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 57% of the races and winning 29% of the starts, drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Ima Pharoah – He has won two out of the last three races and has a good 4F workout on May-08.
4 – First Rule – He should improve while returning to dirt, the shorter distance should help, and he has a good 4F workout on May-05.
Longshot:
6 – Rejected Again – He won his last race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
5 – Little Harbour
3 – Mach Trial
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race # 1,2 – 5th race #1,3,6,8 – 6th race #1,3,7 – 7th #1,3,8
Race 5
3 – Boca Royalty – She finished in the money in five out of the last six races at PARX Racing, finishing in 2nd in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
8 – Starship Blanca – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Sizzling Roma – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has a winning high % jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Valerie First – She won her last race at PARX Racing and the rail post is winning at 23% clip.
Alternate:
5 – Sugar Streak
7 – Gavichi
Bet: $6.00 Win: #3
Race 6
3 – Sensible Jim – He ran 2nd in his last race, has a high % a trainer who wins 66% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Long Legged Boy – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 50% of the races and winning 13% of the starts, drops in class today and has a trainer who wins 17% of the routes races he has a horse entered in.
7 – Sir Cupid – He ran 2nd in his last race.
Longshot:
4 – Show Em the Lights – He has finished in the money in the last two races at PARX Racing, winning the last race.
Alternate:
2 – King Swansboro
Bet: $6.00 Win: #3
Race 7
3 – Catalon – She finished in the money in her last five races at PARX Racing, finishing 2nd in her last start and has high a % winning trainer.
1 – Scintillating Star – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and the trainer in the last 14 days has won two out of a four starts.
8 – Wishing Ona Prayer – She is undefeated in two career starts and has a good 4F workout on May-09.
Longshot:
7 – Cup of Life – She has won two races in a row, now going for a hat trick and has a high % trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Skerrett
9 – Peyton’s College
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 1,3 – 8th race # 2,4 – 9th race #6,7- 10th #3,5,8,10
Race 8
4 – Beachwalker – He finished in the money in his last five races at PARX Racing, winning his last start and has high a % winning jockey.
2 – Fast Bob – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, switches to a high % winning jockey, has a trainer who wins 35% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
7 – Jebologist – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the claiming races he has a horse in and a bullet 4F workout on May-08.
Longshot:
9 – Abuelo Nuno – He won his last race at PARX Racing, and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
1 – Khozy My Boy
6 – Hidden Promise
Bet: None
Race 9
6 – Castilleja – She has won two out of her last four races at PARX Racing, drops in class today and has a high % winning Jockey and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
7 – Et’s Moon Maiden – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race.
1 – Our Uptown Girl – She ran 2nd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and a good 4F workout on May-09.
Longshot:
8 – Emirates Affair – She finished 3rd in her last and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Darling Donna
2 – Spanikopita
Bet: None
Race 10
10 – Scoop Dawg – He switches to a high% trainer who wins 44% of the races in the 1st race when dropping a horse after claiming a horse.
5 – Fire’s Finale – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Market Development – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Large – He drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Henrythethird
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
5 – JOKEMEISTER – most likely pacesetter and Mondays, especially the earlier races tend to favor speed
7 – MISCHIEVOUS JONES – TLRSP, no published works between races, hasn’t found the winners circle in his last 8
1 – VERO SUN – last race was better than it looks in the PP, fractions were too fast for most in here
6 – MR. TUTTLE – 2nd by a neck at 5 ½ f with much better LP, theoretically, extra furlong should help
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,5/1,3,5,6
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Big Bonus
3 – EMERALD – TLRSP# and drops in class, 3 OK works between races
1 – BET OF THE CENTURY – has some EP, been regressing, maybe weight break today helps with class drop
8 – GIRLFROMOUTERSPACE – Sofia Vives been winning at prices, weight break and sizable drop
6 – ISLAND BELLE – much better late in her last despite ducking out at the start
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,8/1,7/1,2/1,3,8
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Tactical Speed – 33% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Big Bonus
7 – EMPEROR’S CAUSE – 1st off the claim for tr Michael Simone – 25% vs 11% overall, TLPRSP and Drop, +8 EP/LP edge
1 – I SAW IT ALL – really benefits from the 5 scratching, especially if speed is the way today
6 – HE’SSOSUBTLE – ITM Parx 12/2-2-4 and Distance 11/2-2-2, getting a weight break today
2 – CAPE HEDGE – strong late pace, was closer to the front last out with a little better pace #s
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,7,6/1,7/1,2,4,6,7
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ a Little Bonus
2 – CAJUN LOVER – down in class with early speed and Sofia Vives weight break, plenty of EP
1 – IMA PHAROAH – Ness/Silvera 6-1? First off the claim, 35% for Ness vs 24% overall – Alpha Angle
6 – REJECTED AGAIN – upped SP# in last 4, TLRSP#, up multiple classes, maybe too big a move up
5 – LITTLE HARBOUR – a little better late in last, should be close to the front all the way around the track
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,6/1,3,6,8/3/1,3,8
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias, 4+ Penalty
3 – BOCA ROYALTY – TLRSP# and strong mid to late in race numbers, distance 2/1-1-0
8 – STARSHIP BLANCA – sizable class drop, closer to the front when she runs at this level
1 – VALERIE FIRST – won running away at this distance last out, Sofia again with weight break
6 – SIZZLING ROMA – distance 5/1-1-2, tough call over the 7, but more consistent
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 1,3,6,8/3,8
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 50% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Edge, Inside Out
3 – SENSIBLE JIM – missed by a neck in the first up, resume says 2nd up will likely be better
1 – LONG LEGGED BOY – better ATB in his last, similar fractions despite going 70 yards longer, drops
7 – SIR CUPID – just missed at this level last out and has +5 LP edge
2 – KING SWANSBORO – much better early in last versus this class, the next two are coming off MCL 10k wins
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3/1,3,7/1,2,3,5,7
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
8 – WISHING ONA PRAYER – undefeated in two and the last wasn’t close, nice work between races
3 – CATALON – a little better faster at 6 ½ f v 6f – PARX 10/2-4-2, Distance 5/1-2-1
1 – SCINTILLATING STAR – an overlay should be close to lead with strong C-Zone
4 – XENATOWN – showed more pace early in her last and has two maintenance works since
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,8/1,2,7/1,6,8/8,10
Race 8: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Bias, 4+ Penalty
7 – JEBOLOGIST – 2nd up – resume says strong likelihood he’ll be better, PARX 2/1-0-1, weight break
2 – FAST BOB – first off the claim for tr Jamie Ness, 35%, consistent closer with Ruben Silveria on board
1 – KHOZY MY BOY – track dropper from GP, strong rail and decent works getting prepped
4 – BEACHWALKER – really tough call over the 9, but inside seems better than outside
Suggested Wager: $1 Exacta: 7/1,2,4
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
8 – EMIRATES AFFAIR – ran the best at this level last out, 2nd off the claim for tr Robert Mosco – 24% and was better ATB in first at Parx after arriving from GP
1 – OUR UPTOWN GIRL – TLRSP# with massive mid move in her last and better ATB, decent work between – lone PC
6 – CASTILLEJA – down in class at the right distance 3/2-0-0, tends to win big or run OTB
7 – ET’S MOON MAIDEN – hard call over the 4 as both should compete for the lead, but has better LP
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,6,8/1,8/1,4,6,7,8
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Little Penalty
8 – LARGE – biggest drop in the field, last was awful, but this level should provide some relief
10 – SCOOP DAWG – TLSRP# and drops in class, a little better fractions, less weight with Sofia Vives
3 – MARKET DEVELOPMENT – chance to be on the lead and top EP/LP horse in the field
5 – FIRE’S FINALE – tough call over the 2, been better of late and better Parx/Distance #s
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,8,10/8,10/2,3,5,8,10
