Parx Racing Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for Parx on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Finger Lakes
Parx Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
3 – Lucky Breeze – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has a good 4F workout on May-10.
6 – Rose Legacy – She has a high % winning jockey and a trainer who wins 21% of starts in claiming races.
4 – Angelofthegalaxy – She ran 2nd in her last race and the distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
7 – Queen Lucky – She has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
5 – Nana’s Boopa
Bet: $1.00 DD: 2,3,4,5,6,7/1,2
Race 2
2 – My Boy Colton – He ran 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 28% of races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and has a high % trainer and jockey.
1 – Tequilamademedoit – He drops in class today; the rail post is winning at 19% clip, and he has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
6 – Golden Wildcat – He drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey and has a trainer who wins 21% of the maiden claiming races.
Longshot:
7 – Supreme Being – He drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
5 – Doctor Magic
4 – Principe
Bet: – $1.00 Exacta Box 1,2,6
Race 3
1 – Liberty Runner – He ran 2nd in his last race, the rail post is winning at 19% clip, and he has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Esor – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has a high % jockey.
4 – Drum and Drummer – He switches to a high % winning jockey, has a trainer who wins 25% of races in the second start with the trainer.
Longshot:
2 – Major Cam – He has finished in the money in four out of eight races at PARX Racing, winning one of the races.
Alternate:
3 – Exclusive Order
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 1,4,5/1,4,5/1,2,4,5
Race 4
6 – Somebody – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning a trainer.
5 – Social Group – He drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Grit’n’grind – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Kith – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 56% of the races and winning 19% of the starts and can handle the distance.
Alternate:
3 – Weekend in Court
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race # 2,5,6 – 5th race #2,3,5,7 – 6th race #5 – 7th #2,5,6,7
Race 5
7 – America’s Pride – She won her last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Scarf – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has a high % winning trainer who wins 40% of races in the second start with the trainer.
3 – Advocate Harbor – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, should improve while returning to a sprint and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
2 – Pearlbdancing – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
4 – Miss Alex
6 – Bella Maria
Bet: None
Race 6
5 – Diane’s Comet – She is going for a second win in a row at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and a high % winning trainer.
1 – Classy Miss – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 50% of the races and winning 25% of the starts, can improve while returning to a route and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Creme Caramel – She has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Speightster’s Gold – She was extremely wide in the turn which severely affected her finish and switches to a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Valuable Breigh
4 – Hey Dewzpots
Bet: $10.00 Win: #5
Race 7
5 – Baci – She drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 28% of races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Show Some Skin – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and has a trainer/jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (4 2-0-1).
6 – Field Letters – She likes the distance and should improve while returning to the sprint.
Longshot:
7 – Risque’s Jewel – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
1 – J J Loves Billy
3 – Southern Cents
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 2,5,6,7 – 8th race # 3,4,7,9 – 9th race #1- 10th #1,2,4,6
Race 8
4 – Whatsagizmo – She finished in the money in both of her races at PARX Racing, finishing 2nd vs similar in her last race.
7 – Lilbitsocial – She is a first-time starter who she has a high % winning a trainer and jockey and a bullet 3f ft :36.4 B ¼ on May 11th.
9 – Tempest Rising – She ran second in her last race.
Longshot:
3 – Miss Hoppertunity – She is a first-time starter; her dam has 7 winners from 10 starters, and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Include the Munny
5 – Fine Whining
Bet: None
Race 9
1 – Vitaemi – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 18% clip, and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Baby Fade – She drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of races in dirt starts.
6 – Systemic Risk – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a good 4F workout on May-09.
Longshot:
4 – Frame This – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 73% of the races and winning 16% of the starts and likes the distance finishing in the money in 80% of the races and winning 20% of the starts.
Alternate:
3 – Bells On Her Toes
5 – Manuela
Bet: $10.00 Win: #1
Race 10
10 – Big City Bob– He drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 28% of races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Magnetron – He has finished in the money in three out of the last four races at PARX Racing and drops in class today.
2 – R Goodtime Charlie – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 46% of the races and winning 15% of the starts and likes the distance finishing in the money in 61% of the races and winning 22% of the starts.
Longshot:
6 – San Antone – He has a high % winning trainer and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
3 – King’s House
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ a Little Bonus
4 – ANGELOFTHEGALAXY – better fractions at 6 1/2f v 6f and better 2/4f pace#s
3 – LUCKY BREEZE – is coming off her maiden and tends to have some late run
6 – ROSE LEGACY – first off the claim and workout since – held speed a little longer in last
5 – NANA’S BOOPA – ran better times last out despite going a little longer too
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,4/3,4,6/2,3,4,5,6,7
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Little Penalty
7 – SUPREME BEING – tie for TLRSP and pure MSW Dropper
1 – TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT – tie TLRSP# was better ATB in last – right distance to graduate 10/0-5-3
2 – MY BOY COLTON – held speed longer in last and has a nice workout between races
6 – GOLDEN WILDCAT – drops back to a class where he was competitive – PARX 9/0-2-4
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,7/1,4,5/6/2,5,7
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Little Penalty
5 – ESOR – 3rd off the break – Sofia Vives and has some back speed with a bullet work on May 6
1 – LIBERTY RUNNER – TLRSP# and rides the hot rail, upped speed # 7 in a row
4 – DRUM AND DRUMMER – pretty good drop in class, decent work between races, maybe better in 2nd Parx race after coming from GP
2 – MAJOR CAM – last race better than it looks with stronger in race numbers in second half last out
Suggested Wager: $1 Trifecta: 1,5/1,5/2,3,4
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 28% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Little Penalty
6 – SOMEBODY – +12 EP/LP edge, won last by 7 ¼ lengths, TLRSP#
2 – GRIT’N’GRIND – closed hard in last with powerful LP#s – consistent performer
5 – SOCIAL GROUP – claim and drop, with a decent work between races, tr Patricia Farro did it once before and won
4 – KITH – has some EP, likely to be close to the front, very dangerous if he holds lead into the stretch
Suggested Wager: $1 Trifecta Key: 6/2,4,5
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
7 – AMERICA’S PRIDE – just beat open company and now meets NW3, a lot more juice early in last
5 – SCARF – upped SP# 3 in row, similar fractions at 7f as 6f in first start for tr James Noble, quick TO in 14 days
2 – PEARLBDANCING – considerably quicker times last out, TLRSP#
3 – ADVOCATE HARBOR – continues to show more pace late and cuts back in distance, which should help
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,7/5,7/1,2,3,5,7
Race 6: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed – 50% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Edge, Inside Out
7 – VALUABLE BREIGH – 50% go w2w – going to likely be pacesetter with 8+ EP edge, drops in class
6 – CREME CARAMEL – probably has the most upside in the field, been regressing, could bounce back by stretching out today
5 – DIANE’S COMET – TLRSP# – 2nd up could be as good or maybe a little regression according to resume
1 – CLASSY MISS – strong overlay with a top C-Zone Score
Suggested Wager: $1 Trifecta Key: 7/1,5,6
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ a Little Bonus
5 – BACI – moving down in class, 30% angle for tr Miguel Penaloza
2 – SHOW SOME SKIN – Tie TLRPS# – weight break with Sofia Vives, usually runs well from start to finish
7 – RISQUE’S JEWEL – the other to tie for TLRSP#, better in first half mile last out, likely better in 2nd up
3 – SOUTHERN CENTS – maybe most upside and third off the bench
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,7/4,5,7/1,2/2,6,7,10
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ a Little Bonus
4 – WHATSAGIZMO – two decent races, better fractions in second start at 6 ½ v 6, one of the first timers will have to run a good race to beat her
7 – LILBITSOCIAL – bullet and go, shipped up from GP
5 – FINE WHINING – probably has the best work pattern for the 1st times
2 – INCLUDE THE MUNNY – debuted on grass at GP, bombed, tr Guadalupe Preciado 27% with shippers and 25% Turf to Dirt – we’ll see
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 4,5,7/4,7/2,3,4,5,7
Race 9: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 34% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
1 – VITAEMI – plenty of EP, on the rail, better fractions at 6 1/2f v 6f in last
2 – BABY FADE – down in class after running better times and 2/4 EP#s in last
5 – MANUELA – TLRSP# and down in class, weight break, struggles to win
6 – SYSTEMIC RISK – Parx 11/0-3-3, lots of EP and has some nice works getting ready for first race since November
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,2/1,2,5/1,2,3,5,6
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: Fair 1-7, 8+ a Little Bonus
2 – R GOODTIME CHARLIE – 3rd Up, better time by more than 2 seconds in last
10 – BIG CITY BOB – good sized drop in class, PARX 12/2-4-2, was improved in 2/4f pace #s
7 – MAGNETRON – distance 9/0-4-2, another dropping in class and maybe has the most upside
6 – SAN ANTONE – TLRSP# -very consistent performer
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,7,10/2,10/2,6,7,9,10
