PARX Full Card Tips, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
$100 Challenge – Suggested Wagers for PARX on a $100 Budget
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Horseshoe Indianapolis
Parx Picks and Plays
Terry “Hollywood” Hay’s Handicapping
Race 1
1 – Excitable Lady – She has the highest last race speed rating and drops in class today.
8 – Live Aid – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Ms. Malevolence – She drops in class today and has a has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Anginetti – She has finished in the money in 40% of the races at PARX Racing, winning 13% of the races and has done well at today’s distance finishing in the money in 52% of the starts, winning 24% of the races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Kenai Cool
2 – J J Loves Billy
Bet: $1.00 DD: #1,6,8/ #3,6
Race 2
3 – Blunt Force – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Knock Out Kid – She won her last race at PARX Racing and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
8 – Afleet Diva – She has won two out of her last three races and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Fast Intentions – She won her last race at PARX Racing and likes the distance winning 33% of the starts.
Alternate:
5 – Reiterate
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 3,6/3,6,8/1,3,5,6,8
Race 3
6 – Aztec Queen – She has the highest last race speed rating; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a trainer who wins 20% of maiden claiming races he has an entry in.
2 – Escandalo – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Gladiatora –She drops in class today and she has a trainer who wins 20% of races when bringing a horse back after being 90+ days away.
Longshot:
4 – Queenpin – She drops in class today and the shorter distance offers hope for improvement.
Alternate:
5 – Cousin Marie
1 – Charly’s Choo Choo
Bet: $10.00 Win # 6
Race 4
3- Yellow Dress – She has won two races in a row and is going for a hat trick and has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Powwa of Love – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, switches to a high % winning trainer and a high % winning jockey and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
1 – Frosted Wild Ride – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and can improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
6 – Don’t Tell Frankie – She has finished in the money in 36% of the career, winning 14% of the races.
Alternate:
5 – Sweet Lilly Factum
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 4th race # 1,3,6,7 – 5th race #,3,6 – 6th race #5,7,8,9 – 7th #2,3
Race 5
6 – Relishment – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Screen Saver – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Drena’s Bullet – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
4 – Samurai Saint – He drops in class today and has a has a high % winning trainer and switches high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Off the Meds
Bet: $1.00 DD: #2,3,4,6 / #5,9
Race 6
5 – Blame Catalaya – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race and Lasix is added.
9 – Little Doyle – She drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey and has a bullet 4F workout (Apr-27).
7 – Wildcat Girl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race at PARX Racing and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Back to D’ Future – She finished 2nd in her last race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
6 – Bet the Howes
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 5,7,9 /5,7,9 /5,6,7,8,9
Race 7
3 – Enraged – He has finished in the money in the last nine starts, winning three races running 2nd in his last race and has high a % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Manahawkin – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
10 – Magnetron – He ran 2nd vs similar in last race and has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
4 – Traders Luck – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
12 – Positively Awesome
5 – Splitzville
Bet: – $.50 Pick 4 – 7th race # 2,3,4,10 – 8th race # 2 – 9th race #5,8- 10th #7,8,10
Race 8
2 – For the Dreamers – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
7 – Mitropanos – He won his last race at PARX Racing, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
8 – Dance Code– He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has the best dirt speed among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
5 – Captain Chazz – He has won two of his last three races and the shorter distance will be a plus.
Alternate:
3 – Talented Man
1 – Royal King
Bet: $10.00 Win # 2
Race 9
8 – Golden Tabby – She has been off for 5-months but has been steadily working out for today’s contest and has won five out of seven starts at PARX Racing.
5 – Centre Court Champ – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Early Edition – She has won two races in a row and is going for a hat trick.
Longshot:
1 – Shero – She ran 2nd in her last race at PARX Racing and switches to a high % jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Hey Mamaluke
7 – Deco Strong
Bet: $.50 Trifecta: 5,8 /4,5,8/1,3,4,5,8
Race 10
8 – Run for Karl – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Norlander – He has high a % winning trainer, and the shorter distance can help.
10 – Secret Thunder – He has high a % winning jockey, has a trainer who wins 20% of races in the 2nd after race after claiming and blinkers added today.
Longshot:
6 – Stormy Fire – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race.
Alternate:
4 – Jsk Pharaoh’sreign
2 – Pop Socks
Bet: None
Rich’s Ranks
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Bonus
1 – EXCITABLE LADY – drops in class after the TLRSP and catches a weight break today
8 – LIVE AID – top EP horse according to SIM, better fractions at 7f versus 6f
5 – ANGINETTI – last race was better than it looks with better mid-to-late numbers, drops from NW2 to NW1
6 – MS. MALEVOLENCE – potential to be lone E, drops in class and from Laurel, Sofia Vives been on fire
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,5,8/1,8/1,4,5,6,8
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Bonus
8 – AFLEET DIVA – strong chance to have the lead and strong C-Zone and small overlay
3 – BLUNT FORCE – favorite according to SIM and top EP/LP combo
1 – FAST INTENTIONS – Lone EP horse, first off the claim for Tr Patricia Farro, 15% angle for 5% trainer
2 – ADHWAA – consistent performer that should be closing at the end, closers did well last week
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,8/2,3,6/1/1,3,6
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed – 35% w2w – PP: Strong Inside 3 Edge, 4+ Way Under Par
3 – GLADIATORA – track dropper from GP and biggest class dropper
6 – AZTEC QUEEN – TLRSP# with a better, but not good, 6f time by about 2 seconds, +11 EP/LP edge
2 – ESCANDALO – chance to be close to the front, has the top C-Zone score, not a good one, and inside 3 post
4 – QUEENPIN – hasn’t been as bad as the rest, and more lightly raced
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 3,6/2,3,6/2,3,4,5,6
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Bonus
1 – FROSTED WILD RIDE – strong overlay, strong chance to be on lead and top C-Zone
3 – YELLOW DRESS – TLRSP# and winner two in a row with Jammie Torrres and weight break
7 – POWWA OF LOVE – has the most upside in the race, TR James Noble and jy Mychel Sanchez winners 3/8 and ITM 6/8 with +$4.13 ROI
8 – LULINDA’S HEART – TLRSP#, but distance is a concern 5/0-0-1, at times has superior LP
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 1,3/1,3,6/5,7,9/3,10,12
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed – 29% w2w – PP: Rail Edge, 2-7 Fair, 8+ Under Par
3 – SCREEN SAVER – Ness/Silvera – strong LP and drops to lowest level in last 10
6 – RELISHMENT – TLRSP# and another Michael Simone claimer, much better fractions last out
1 – DISTRACTANDATTACK – chance to be upfront with 2nd best C-zone, strong rail edge
4 – SAMURAI SAINT – 3rd after a layoff, drops in class and Frankie Pennington stays on
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 1,3,6/3,6/1,2,3,4,6
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Bonus
9 – LITTLE DOYLE – straight MSW dropper, double bullets and go, been off since October
7 – WILDCAT GIRL – TLRSP#, since two OK works, usually well bet
5 – BLAME CATALAYA – top EP/LP combo – comes in from Laurel, some EP and gets 1st Lasix
3 – JSK LUCKY’S PUSHPA – another straight MWS dropper, Scott Lake is a good trainer, 17f works since last
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,9/5,7,9/3,5,7,8,9
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Bonus
3 – ENRAGED – TLRSP# – much better in the 2nd half of his last, PARX 13/3-4-3, moving up in class
12 – POSITIVELY AWESOME – could be pacesetter and one of the top C-Zone, PARX 6/0-0-4
10 – MAGNETRON – been sharp in the last 3 – Distance 8/0-4-2,
9 – JARLIAN – really much improved early in his last, could continue with strong work since
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Pick 4: 3,10,12/2,3,5/3,4,5,8/7
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Bonus
2 – FOR THE DREAMERS – top EP/LP horse, overlay tie top C-zone, runs well fresh – good sized class hike
5 – CAPTAIN CHAZZ – much faster fractions last out at 7f vs 6f, move back to 6 could be the difference maker
3 – TALENTED MAN – kind of have to throw this guy in here, all or nothing type, strong works, if he breaks sharply and fights for the lead early, he’s probably going to win
8 – DANCE CODE – hard choice over the 7, but been competing versus much tougher comp competitively
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 2,3,5/2,5/2,3,5,7,8
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Bonus
5 – CENTRE COURT CHAMP – TLRSP# and drops in class, distance 6/4-1-0, all others 12 with just 2 wins
8 – GOLDEN TABBY – loves Parx, 7/5-0-1, but most of the wins at lower levels or vs state breds, this is open company, different bunch of cats to tame here
4 – EARLY EDITION – won three of the last four and they weren’t close
3 – HEY MAMALUKE – just won and OC62.5 at AQ, this has to be at worst the same level, good works since the last, but the off the bench record in shaky
Suggested Wager: $1 Double: 5,8/7,8
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed – 36% w2w – PP: 1-7 Fair, 8+ A Little Bonus
7 – NORLANDER – lone straight MSW dropper, cannot pass, did show a little more life in his last with rebound in 2/4f numerbs
8 – RUN FOR KARL – could be pacesetter with strong C-zone and overlay
10 – SECRET THUNDER – not sure what happened in last, but trainer Richaed Vega goes back to jockey Jamie Torres, finished 2nd in lone ride
4 – JSK PHARAOH’SREIGN – only one race, with some chance for upside
Suggested Wager: $0.50 Trifecta: 7,8/7,8,10/4,6,7,8,10
