PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 11-04-2024
Race 1 -Female
6 – Vicki Vale– She ran 2nd in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Imperio Azteca – She finished 2nd in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and a bullet 3F workout on (Oct-30).
4 – Laguardia – She ran 2nd in her last race by closing and the added distance today may be the key to winning.
Longshot:
7 – Vivi Rose – She drops in class today and can improve with blinkers added today.
Alternate:
3 – Miss Jones
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6/3,6/1,2,3,4/3,5,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 2
3 – Aaraj – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a trainer who wins 50% of the races in the 1st after claiming a horse.
6 – Try Harder – He finished 4th in his last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Strasse – His early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance should be a plus and the rail post is winning at an 18% clip.
Longshot:
7 – Jiggery Pokery – He drops in class and he has a bullet 5F workout on Oct-23.
Alternate:
4 – Onlygodcanjudgeme
$.50 Pick 4: 3,6/1,2,3,4,6/1,3,5,6,7 /5,6 – Cost $50.00
Race 3 -Female
4 – Peacelovenkarma – She won her last race; the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 40% of the races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Chloe Rose – She won her last race; she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Gavichi – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 44% of the races, winning 15% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Cedar Valley – She won her last race and the rail post is winning at a 21% clip.
Alternate:
6 – Gangster Rap
5 – Shell Belle
Race 4 -Female
6 – Heart Light – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 80% of the races, winning 30% of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Mercy Mercy – She drops in class today, switches to a high % jockey, can improve while returning to dirt and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
5 – Bonita Lassie – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and she drops in class today.
Longshot:
7 – Tomarie – She has finished in the money in 46% of her starts at PARX Racing, she drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
1 – Sirenetta
4 – Anna Rocks
$.50 Pick 4: #3,5,6,7 /5,6/2,3,5,8/1,4,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
6 – Real Talk – He has finished in the money in all four starts at PARX Racing, winning one of the races, drops in class today, and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and he has a high % winning trainer.
5 – What Does It Take – He finished 3rd vs tougher in last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, drops in class today and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
3 – Mac Daddy Too – He ran 3rd in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Enforcer – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – B B Bad
Bet: $16.00 Win & $30.00 Place: #6 – $6.00 DD:6/2,3,5,8 – $1.00 Exacta Box: #1,3,5,8 – $3.00 Exacta: 6/1,3,5 – $2.00 DD: 3,5,6/5,8
Race 6
5 – Play the Gray – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Gun Trader – He ran 7th in his last race having plenty of trouble so I will throw that race out, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has the best Prime Power: 116.9 (1st).
3 – Entente – He finished 3rd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – We Miss Neil – He was bumped at the start and finished poorly in his last race so I will ignore the race, the longer distance offers hope for improvement and he has high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the races in the 1st race at a route a horse he trains runs in.
Alternate:
6 – The Tire Man
1 – Au Some Warrior
$.50 Pick 4: #2,3,5,8/5/3,4,7,8/1,6,7,8,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 7 -Female
5 – Miss Easy – She has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, drops in class today and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Alcala – She has never been out of the money in seven career races, winning three races and she switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez she has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Pachelbel – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at a18% clip, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
7 – For Sale – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Center Stage
3 – Missy Sixtysix
Race 8
8 – Mr. Antonelli – He won his last race at PARX Racing; he has a high % winning jockey and he has a bullet 5F workout on Oct-24.
7 – Normandy Hero – He won his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Midlaner – He won his last race at PARX Racing has a high % winning trainer and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
4 – Tuskegee Airmen – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Race 9 -Female
7 – Son of Thor – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Alchemism – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a trainer who wins 25% of the 2-year-old races he has a horse competing in.
10 – Dream Talk – She can improve while returning to a sprint, has the best dirt speed among today’s starters, blinkers are added today and she has a bullet 4F workout on Oct-29.
Longshot:
9 – Centaur Central – She finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a good 3f workout on Oct 25th.
Alternate:
6 – My Military Hero
1 – Marvelous Mo
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 5th Race – #6 – Real Talk
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – VICKI VALE – +3 LRSP# – better ATB in last
5 – IMPERIO AZTECA – Better ATB in last
7 – VIVI ROSE –
4 – LAGUARDIA – better fractions last out late
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – TRY HARDER – faster fractions
3 – AARAJ – better ATB in last – faster fractions
7 – JIGGERY POKERY – Top TOTAL PACE
4 – ONLYGODCANJUDGEME – faster fractions
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – CHLOE ROSE – better ATB in last
2 – GAVICHI – maybe too much early speed
1 – CEDAR VALLEY – faster fractions
5 – SHELL BELLE – plenty back class – 2nd up
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Fair
6 – HEART LIGHT – held speed longer – better 2/4 pace
5 – BONITA LASSIE – drops of tying for TLRSP
3 – MERCY MERCY – better ATB in last and faster early fractions
4 – ANNA ROCKS – SIM most likely toe Run Pard
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – REAL TALK – Green Go Horse – Top TOTAL PACE +9
5 – WHAT DOES IT TAKE – Sanchez/Ness – Parx 2/1-1-0
3 – MAC DADDY TOO – better ATB in last
1 – ENFORCER – faster ¼ mile fractions
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Fair
8 – GUN TRADER – SIM FAV with by far best PAR+
1 – AU SOME WARRIOR – better ATB in last
6 – THE TIRE MAN – better ATB
3 – ENTENTE – better ATB and fractions
Race 7: 7 Furlongs- Bias: Stalker, 24% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Same Discount
7 – FOR SALE – +8 LRSP# – better ATB
1 – PACHELBEL – strong rail – big SIM FAVE
4 – ALCALA – Q30 – strong chance to be pacesetter
5 – MISS EASY – Better ATB – faster early fractions
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – MR. ANTONELLI – Better ATB – faster fractions first 1/2
3 – MIDLANER – better fractions first 1/2
7 – NORMANDY HERO – Better ATB – SIM FAVE
2 – MEET ME AT MUNDIS – should be forward with a weight break
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
8 – ALCHEMISM – Top TOTAL PACE +12
1 – MARVELOUS MO – 2.5/3 First Timer
6 – MY MILITARY HERO – much better LP in last
10 – DREAM TALK – Bullet work and just needs to rerun debut
