PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 11-05-2024
Race 1 -Female
5 – Paint Me Beautiful – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in her last race, her early speed running style helps chances and she high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and she has a trainer who wins 17% of the Maiden Claiming races a horse he trains competes in.
3 – Hyacinth Bucket – She finished 3rd in her last race, she has a Trainer/Jockey combo who in the last 14 days has this record (6 2-1-1).
2 – Dreamingoffreedom – She finished 3rd in her last race, drops in class today and she has a trainer who wins 17% of the Maiden Claiming races with a horse he trains competes in.
Longshot:
1 – Dixie Music – She finished in the money in two of her last three starts and she likes the distance.
Alternate:
7 – Bahamian Baby
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5/4,5,6,7/5,6/1,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 2
4 – Jw’strickymischief – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a trainer who wins 25% of the races when dropping a horse down 2+ classes.
6 – Pylon – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Thundering March – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick.
Longshot:
5 – Justinspeightofit – He has finished in the money in three of his last four starts, winning two of the races and he has high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Rustys Gfivefifty
1 – Shadow Box
$.50 Pick 4: 4,5,6,7/5,6/1,6,7/2,3,5,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
5 – Scudetto – He finished 3rd in his last race, switches to a high % jockey and he has a trainer who wins 18% of the races when taking a horse up one class.
6 – Wild Captain – He drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Master of Tweets – He drops in class today; the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and he has a bullet 4F workout on Oct-30.
Longshot:
1 – Brother Vinny – He drops in class today; the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and he has a bullet 4F workout on Oct-30.
Race 4
7 – Big Beemster – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Ferrari Kid – He switches to high % jockey Paco Lopez and his early speed running style helps chances.
1 – Group Ticket – He has high % winning trainer and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
2 – Majestic Lion – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
5 – Dance a Dini
4 – Renegade Serenade
Race 5
2 – Zanduhoc – He ran 2nd in his last race only beaten by a neck, he has high % winning trainer and he has a bullet 4F workout on Oct-03.
5 – Exploration – He finished 3rd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Jolly Grey Giant – He ran 2nd in his only race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Latta– He ran 2nd in his last race, switches to high % jockey Paco Lopez, has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
4 – Elvis Himself
7 – D Day
$.50 Pick 4: #2,3,5,8/3,6/3,5/1,2,5,6,7,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 6
3 – Smoke Wagon – He has finished in the money in nine of his last ten starts, winning two of the races, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Soze – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick. and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Ejtimaa – He has won two races out of his last three starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Curlins Cruzin – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Twentyeighttothree
2 – Ryan’s Fleet
Bet: $20.00 Win & $30.00 Place: #3 – $1.00 Exacta Box: #3,4,5,6 – $4.00 Exacta: 3/4,5,6 – $10.00 DD: 3/3,5
Race 7
5 – Celestial Moon – He ran 2nd in his last race, drops in class today, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Excellorator He has finished in the money in seven of his last eight starts, winning four of the races, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Movisitor – He has won five races out of his eight starts at PARX Racing, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Eloquist – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 57% of the races, winning 22% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 17% of the starts and and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Ninetyprcentmaddie
6 – Praetorian Guard
Race 8 -Female
1 – Flamingo Way – She has finished in the money in five out of five races at PARX Racing, winning three of the races and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Hot Fudge Warrior – She won her last race at Delaware Park and she has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
7 – Disco Ebo – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Midnight in Alaska – She has won three races out of his seven starts at PARX Racing, she has won five races out of his seven starts at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Dewey Doit
9 – Mary Q
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6h Race – #3 – Smoke Wagon
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL – TLRSP# +7 – Top TOATL PACE +15 – Lone E
3 – HYACINTH BUCKET – catching 1st Lasix and drops
9 – PICARDY – similar fractions despite going longer
1 – DIXIE MUSIC – get the strong rail – better 2/4f pace
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 58% w2w – PP: Small Outside in Bias
4 – JW’STRICKYMISCHIEF – TLRSP# +3
1 – SHADOW BOX – better 2/4f pace – cutting back in distance could help
6 – PYLON – speed figures picking up in the last two
5 – JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT – probably most consistent performer in the field
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – BROTHER VINNY – MSW dropper with bullet work between races – by fast the fastest
5 – SCUDETTO – held speed longer in a route and cuts back to a sprint
6 – WILD CAPTAIN – MSW dropper – maintenance work
2 – MASTER OF TWEETS – decently bet in debit – works since are blah
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Fair
1 – GROUP TICKET – drops in class – a little quicker early fractions
5 – DANCE A DINI – highly consistent – Z patterm
6 – FERRARI KID – Paco on horse with ES – he’s usually good at pacing –
7 – BIG BEEMSTER – drops to the lowest level in last 10 – Parx 10/0-1-6
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – EXPLORATION – strong Par + – any second race improvement would be more than enough
7 – D DAY – track dropper from Kentucky in 2nd up
4 – ELVIS HIMSELF – rerun debut with the aid of first Lasix
2 – ZANDUHOC – improved plenty in his 2nd start – missed by a neck
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – SOZE – TLRSP# +11 – maybe too much ES – Q30
5 – CURLINS CRUZIN – Paco gets off the 1 to stay here – a tell?
3 – SMOKE WAGON – Parx 4/0-4-0 – might need a rest – but a just needs to run back 2 races
1 – TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE – maybe improves in the 2nd up and gets a rail boost
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Posts 1-3 Small Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
3 – EXCELLORATOR – bog PAR+ and only C-Zone over 50 – Distance 6/5-0-0 – Paco/Ness
5 – CELESTIAL MOON – drops from a NGST – Ness/Sanchez
1 – ELOQUIST – resume says best coming in 3rd up
2 – MOVISITOR – string of goods works getting prepped – PaRX 8/5-0-0
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – DISCO EBO – winner 6/12 at Parx – usually solid off the bench
1 – FLAMINGO WAY – never off the board in 6 races, consistent performer
6 – MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA – finally healthy horse – first time making 2 starts in a row for the first time in more than a year
8 – EMPRESS DEONA – good chance to be on the lead – 3rd up – let’s see what happens
