PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 11-12-2024
Race 1
6 – Rossington – He has finished in the money in three out of six starts at PARX Racing, has a trainer who wins 19% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse competing in.
7 – Cauteloso – He finished 3rd in his last race at PARX Racing, he has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Boys of Summer – He is a first-time starter who has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the with 1st time starters he has a horse competing in and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Hoppertullio – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the race’s maiden claiming races he has a horse competing in, returning to dirt offers hope for improvement.
Alternate:
2 – Don Tequilas
5 – Marine Patrol
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,6,7/1,2,5,6/1,4,6/4,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 2
2 – Villanito – He drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Surfboard – He switches to a high % winning jockey, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Khopesh – He drops in class today and he can handle the distance.
Longshot:
1 – First Squad – He has a win at PARX Racing and is trained by Scott Lake.
Alternate:
3 – Bointheback
4 – Mendelsfly
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6/1,4,5,6/4,6/1,5,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3 -Female
6 – Liam’s Kiss – She finished 2nd in her last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Sirenetta – She finished 2nd in her last two races at PARX Racing and she has the highest last race speed rating.
1 – Gormley Girl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Connelmaura – She has a trainer who wins 18% of the dirt starts he has a horse competing in and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Alternate:
3 – Amalfi Lady
2 – Mo Town Annie
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,6/1,2,4,6/1,5,8/5,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 4
6 – Pylon – He ran 2nd vs tougher in last race, drops in class today and he has high % winning trainer.
4 – Lookin’ Super – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Spotted Bull – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and likes the distance.
Longshot:
2 – Almond Cider – He was beaten only 1-3/4 lengths vs tougher in his last start, drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Mundo Mix
7 – Captain Chazz
$.50 Pick 4: #1,4,6/1,3,5,8/3,5,8,9/1,3 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
5 – Whiskey Prize – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 47% of the races, winning 21% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has won one race out of one start.
1 – Olliemeister – He was beaten only ½ length vs similar in his last start, the rail post is winning at a19% clip, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Golden Wildcat – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
3 – Wizard Serrat – He has high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the claiming race’s he has a horse competing in and the shorter distance should help.
Alternate:
4 – Catch My Vibe
6 – Mucho Macho Eddie
Race 6
5 – Rabbit – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey.
8 – So Close So Far – He won his last race by 8-lenghts, drops in class today and he has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
3 – Nuedorf – He drops in class and the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 30% of the starts.
Longshot:
9 – Scamp Walker – He has finished in the money in seven out of the last ten starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Warrior’s Vow
$.50 Pick 4: #3,5,8,9/1,3,5,6/2,3/3,5,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 7
1 – Tricolour – He ran 3rd in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and he high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
3 – Atrocious – He finished 2nd in his last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Harbour Bridge – He finished 2nd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has high % winning trainer who wins 41% of the starts when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – St Pete’s Passion – He has finished 2nd in his last two starts and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Carry Grant
4 – Lecanto
Race 8
3 – Prince of Chill – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 86% of the races, winning 29% of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Secured Landing – He has finished in the money in four out of the last six starts, winning two of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Traffic Master – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Patriarchal – He has finished in the money in his last three starts, winning one of the races and he has a high % winning training and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Motskari
6 – Zoppi Fischbein
Bet: $20.00 Win & $30.00 Place: #3 – $1.00 Exacta Box: #2,3,4,5 – $4.00 Exacta: 3/2,4,5 – $5.00 DD: 3/1,3,5,8
Race 9 -Female
3 – Chelsea Wall – She has won three out of her last five races, she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey and has a bullet 4F workout on Nov-01.
8 – Ifihadachance – She has finished in the money in seven out of the last ten starts, winning three races and she can handle the distance.
5 – Peyton’s College – She has finished in the money in her last five races, winning three of the races at PARX Racing and she can handle the distance.
Longshot:
1 – Road to Dreams – She ran 2nd in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and she has a high % winning jockey.
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #3 – Prince of Chill
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
1 – BOYS OF SUMMER – not much to beat for this 2.7/3 first timer
7 – CAUTELOSO – only horse in the field with a PAR race – TLRSP# +8
6 – ROSSINGTON – aggressive LP edge over the rest – consistent performer Z Pattern
3 – HARRISON C – tough call over the 2 – both forward – better chance to improve in 2nd up
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
5 – SURFBOARD – Top TOTAL PACE +9 – just needs to rewind one race
2 – VILLANITO – drops to his lowest level of career – pacesetter
4 – MENDELSFLY – by far best C-Zone – much better Early & Late –
6 – KHOPESH – lowest level of his career
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Fair
6 – LIAM’S KISS – Lone PC – PARX 5/1-4-0 and Distance 7/3-4-0
4 – SIRENETTA – TLRSP#+7 and top TOTAL PACE +6
3 – AMALFI LADY – should be closing and not too far from the pace here
1 – GORMLEY GIRL – early speed on the rail – if she gets the right fractions
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 58% w2w – PP: Outside In – No Big Edge or Discount
4 – LOOKIN’ SUPER – just missed at this level last out
6 – PYLON – class drop – last race better than it looks – same fractions as w2w two races back
3 – MARATHONER – class dropper to lowest level in last 10 – not too successful at Parx 6/0-0-1
1 – SPOTTED BULL – 10 pound weight break – most back class and chance to be better in 2nd up
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 24% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Plus, 4+ Similar Discount
1 – OLLIEMEISTER – bad start last out – rallied hard – could be at his best in 3rd up
8 – GOLDEN WILDCAT – Top TOTAL PACE +8
7 – JEBOLOGIST – should be forward with a Q30 score of 33 and TLRSP#+5
5 – WHISKEY PRIZE – lowest level in last 10
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 8+ Only Under Par
5 – RABBIT – will be coming at the end with strong LP and SIM FAV
8 – SO CLOSE SO FAR – won at this level by 8 in his last – was claimed and first since June 18
3 – NUEDORF – should be forward and give it a crack at going w2w – drops, 2nd at this level – Q30
6 – TOUGH WORKOUT – tough call over the 2 – just missed at is level last out
Race 7: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: 1-3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ By Far Best
1 – TRICOLOUR – 3sp# Increases with TLRSP#+4 – strong LP
6 – HARBOUR BRIDGE – aside from the 1 – most back class and has a par race
3 – ATROCIOUS – definitely been facing the toughest – but looks like he prefers AW
5 – ST PETE’S PASSION – 3sp# increases and could be even better in 3rd up
Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: 1-3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ By Far Best
2 – SECURED LANDING – only horse with a par race on recent resume – a neck from being 3/3 at PARX
3 – PRINCE OF CHILL – Kendrick coming into ride – just missed at this level last out
4 – TRAFFIC MASTER – Ness/Sanchez on a highly consistent performer – no Ws at Parx in 11
5 – PATRIARCHAL – much better EP in last with much better fractions
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 35% w2w – PP: Inside Out, 8+ Only Under Par
3 – CHELSEA WALL – been off for more than a year – workouts have been fast for Ness and Sanchez
7 – MISS M M – watchout for PACO here in 2nd race after track dropping and missing as the 1/5 fav in last
5 – PEYTON’S COLLEGE – catching a weight break today – should forward as SIM FAV
9 – VALIANT MAJESTY – won the last two times she ran at or close to this level – winner 8/20 at PARX
