PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 11-25-2024
Race 1
7 – Sunday Spirit – He finished in the money in the last four races, winning the last start, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Tricolour – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Double Your Money – He drops in class today, switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 66% of the starts in the1st race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Missouri River – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he is one for one at today’s distance.
Alternate:
9 – Humble Joe
2 – Exclusive Dancer
Race 2
5 – Master of Tweets – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
6 – Carnaby – He is a first-time starter who has a high % winning trainer and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Fridayswithmurray – He finished 5th after being bumped at the start and checking at the ¾ pole, drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a19% clip and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
2 – Marchin Into April – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race and has a decent 4f workout on Nov.09.
Alternate:
7 – Brother Vinny
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6/4,5/3,4,8,9/1,2,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
4 – Jackson Road – He won his last race but was disqualified and placed 2nd, he has a high % winning trainer, he has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
5 – Earl of Dassel – He drops in class today and switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the starts in the1st race after claiming a horse.
2 – Curlin Gunner – He drops in class today, switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this (12 3-3-0).
Longshot:
7 – Ike’s Gamble – He won his last race and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Amore d’Oro
6 – Onlygodcanjudgeme
Race 4
8 – Splendor Beauty – His early speed running style helps chances and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – New Commission – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he can handle the distance.
3 – Level Up – He has won two races out of the last five starts, and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Amatteroftime – He beaten only 1-3/4 lengths vs tougher in his last start, drops in class today and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance
Alternate:
2 – Vine Jet
$.50 Pick 4: #3,4,8,9/1,2,6/1,2,4,5/8,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
1 – Zap Motion – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the starts in the 2nd horse’s race off a layoff and he can handle the distance.
6 – Midnight Act – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
2 – Rackataptap – He drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Chip’s Friend – He drops in class today and his early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
8 – Mucho Macho Eddie
Race 6 -Female
4 – Ourdaydreaminggirl – She was beaten only 1-1/4 lengths vs similar in her last start, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s and she has a good 4F workout on Nov-13.
2 – Wouldja Couldja – She is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 17% of the races with 1st time starters, her Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the starts of 2YO horse starts.
1 – Hold Your Breath – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 3 winners from 3 starters, the rail post is winning at a19% clip and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Taliesin – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and blinkers added today.
Alternate:
7 – Miss Anna Bella
10 – Moonblaze
Race 7
8 – Beyondexpectations – He finished 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
12 – El Medianoche – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and blinkers added today.
2 – Global Steve – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and 1 stakes winner, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races with 1st time starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Centaur Central – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race.
Alternate:
10 – Son of Thor
4 – Leo’s Legacy
$.50 Pick 4: #2,4,5,8,10,12/4,6/1,5/5,6,7,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
4 – Soze – He has won his last three races in a row, his early speed running style helps chances and he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Prince Colton– He was beaten only 1-1/2 lengths vs similar in his last start, can improve at the shorter distance, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Yo Yo Candy – He won his last race and the rail post is winning at a 20% clip.
Longshot:
5 – Ninja Prize – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Enforcer
7 – Supreme Law
Bet: $24.00 Win: #4 – $2.00 Exacta Box: #1,4,5,6 – $4.00 Exacta: 4/1,5,6 – $5.00 DD: 4,6/1,3,5,7
Race 9 -Female
5 – Bella Queen – She has finished in the money in four out of the five career starts, winning one of the races and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Sister Supream – She has finished in the money in eight out of the last ten starts, winning two races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Girlfromouterspace – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Southampton Dock – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and a good 4F workout on Nov-16.
Alternate:
2 – Turn On the Charm
4 – Boss Like Beth
Race 10-Female
6 – Namora – She did not finish her last race after stumbling badly at the start, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a bullet 4F workout on Nov-15.
9 – Private Credit – She comes in from Mountaineer Park to try PARX Racing, she can improve while returning to a sprint, she has a high % winning trainer.
5 – Swans Island – She ran 2nd in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating and her early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
7 – Fast Gal – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she can handle the distance.
Alternate:
3 – Treasure Peace
2 – Wiki Lio
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #4 – Soze
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount
3 – DOUBLE YOUR MONEY – could be your pacesetter with the most recent back class – track and class dropper – really good Parx works
7 – SUNDAY SPIRIT – TLRSP#+3 – better ATB with some faster fractions
4 – TRICOLOUR – a lot of LS – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE horse
8 – MISSOURI RIVER – 3rd up for the first time – finally healthy? Big pop in last and cuts distance
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Inside Out, Rail Edge
1 – FRIDAYSWITHMURRAY – just needs typical 2nd race improvement – biggest class drop
5 – MASTER OF TWEETS – Paco rides after finishing 2nd at this level last out
6 – CARNABY – since none of the others have come close to par – taking the two first timers
8 – SWEET WINNER – see above
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount
4 – JACKSON ROAD – TLRSP#+5 – Top TOTAL PACE +10 – SIM FAV
3 – AMORE D’ORO – better ATB in last with some better fractions
5 – EARL OF DASSEL – Ness/Silvera – consistent performer making his first PARX start
7 – IKE’S GAMBLE – PACO in second at PARX – at his best upfront – should compete for the lead
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount
4 – NEW COMMISSION – SIM FAV with Top TOTAL PACE +13 – better fractions in last – resume says beware of potential 3rd up regression
9 – AMATTEROFTIME – small drop in class and has some of the most back class – needs a better start will be coming at the end
8 – SPLENDOR BEAUTY – Sanchez/Ness – should be forward and better 2/4 furlong pace
3 – LEVEL UP – PACO on potential frontrunner, drops in class and just needs to rewind 2 races
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount
1 – ZAP MOTION – SIM FAV – Top TOTAL PACE +10 – Big LS Edge
6 – MIDNIGHT ACT – better ATB and fractions in last – TLRSP#+ 3
2 – RACKATAPTAP – 3rd up and drops in class
5 – CHIP’S FRIEND – great chance to be pacesetter
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+Discount
4 – OURDAYDREAMINGGIRL – run back to debut and it’s a wrap – maintenance work between starts
7 – MISS ANNA BELLA – just needs 2nd race improvement
1 – HOLD YOUR BREATH – 3/3 first timer on hot rail
10 – MOONBLAZE – tough call over the rest of the 1sters – but best series of works IMO
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 24% w2w – PP: Inside Out, Rail Edge
None of the experienced horses have a par race – need to focus on 1sters
2 – GLOBAL STEVE – inside edge for tr Robert Reid and hits at 44% with jockey Mychel Sanchez
11 – JUST CHEESY – top rated firster with a back 4f work of 47.4 at PARX
8 – BEYONDEXPECTATIONS – Kendrick on the likely pacesetter – like Kendrick upfront
7 – ENCRYPT – another first timer with a solid set of works
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, Inside Out
1 – YO YO CANDY – lone PC – Better ATB and fractions last out – unbeaten in 2 at PARX – been facing a lot better
4 – SOZE – TLRSP#+8 – finished first in all three at Parx since coming from Monmouth
5 – NINJA PRIZE – plenty of back class and should be upfront
6 – PRINCE COLTON – distance 4/0-4-0 and ITM 8/9 at PARX
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, Small Inside 3 Bias, 4-7 Small Discount
2 – TURN ON THE CHARM – lone E that should be out front – SIM FAV
5 – BELLA QUEEN – Kendrick on 2nd up – better 2/4 PACE in last
1 – SISTER SUPREAM – Ness/Sanchez – ITM 5/6 at PARX – likes to hang at the end
7 – SOUTHAMPTON DOCK – Parx 2/0-1-1 – Distance 3/0-2-1 – closer
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Fair, 8+Discount
5 – SWANS ISLAND – TLRSP#+ 8 at this level last out
8 – ECHO LAKE – run back to either of her first two at PARX and has a chance at a price
6 – NAMORA – Sanchez/Ness – bullet work between races
2 – WIKI LIO – 3rd up – so far hasn’t taken to PARX after track dropping – but most upside and average race has been better than the best for most of the rest
