PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 10-07-2024
Race 1 -Female
3 – Rumint – She ran 2nd in her last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Miss Neo – She won her last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the sprint races he has a horse competing in.
2 – Catalina Cruzin – She won her last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 28% of the races when shipping a horse in to run and has a high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
1 – Why Not Babe – She has a high % winning trainer and the rail post is winning at a18% clip.
Alternate:
4 – Raichu
Race 2
8 – Run Cory Run – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Third Watch – He switches to a high% trainer who wins 27% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse, may improve while returning to a route and has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Surfboard– He ran 2nd vs similar in last race, he has a trainer who wins 17% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – El de Leo – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
2 – Bointheback
10 – Smooth Player
$.50 Pick 4: 4,6,8/1,8/2,3,4,8/3,6,7,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
1 – El Hermano – He won his last race at PARX Racing, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Wizard Serrat – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has a trainer who wins 20% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and he has a bullet 5F workout on Sep-25.
4 – Jacohare – He finished 4th in his last race after a very slow start so I will ignore that race as he won the prior race and he has high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Twixter – He finished poorly in his last race after stumbling at the start but had finished in the money in his prior race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Carnivore
6 – Mucho Macho Eddie
Race 4
2 – Curious Soul – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Possum – He drops in class today and he to a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to a maiden claiming race.
8 – Cappetta – He is trained Scott Lake who wins 17% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse competing in.
Longshot:
3 – Scudetto – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Jadon’s Honor
5 – Holy Mitole
$.50 Pick 4: #2,3,4,8/3,6,7,10 /2,3 /1,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 5 -Female
10 – Rock Me Gently – She ran 2nd in her last start and the distance will not be a problem.
7 – Miss Jones – She first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Loveumom– She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Irish Banba – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse competing in and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Sunshine Hazel
Race 6 -Female
2 – R Tenderoni – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last start after being off for a year, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Bunny Bonus – She has won 28% of the races she has run in at PARX Racing, winning 33% of the races at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Bonita Lassie – She has a high % winning trainer and she performs well at today’s distance.
Longshot:
6 – Sirenetta – She ran 3rd vs tougher in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Tomarie
4 – Creme Caramel
Race 7
7 – Lasky Drive – He first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and 1 stakes winner, his breeding suits today’s sprint distance, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the 2YO races he has an entry in and has a good 4F workout on Sep-30.
6 – Save a Prayer – He first-time starter whose Sire wins 23% of the races with 1st time Starters, his Dam has 4 winners from 5 starters and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – The Tire Man – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
Longshot:
2 – Airman Trevor – He first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Alchemism
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6,7/1,2,4,5,6,7/4/2,6,7 – Cost $45.00
Race 8 -Female
7 – West Side Diva – She first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and 1 stakes winner and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Carolyn Doris – She ran 6th in her last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 28% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, was heavily bet in her debut and switches to a high % jockey.
1 – Maggie Mischief – She first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and the rail post is winning at a18% clip.
Longshot:
2 – Alyvia Mavis – She has the most experience in the race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Fast Storm
Race 9
4 – It’s Game Time – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Greener Pastures – He won his last race at PARX Racing, switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning Jockey.
7 – Thirsty Pappy – He drops in class today and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Roan Burgundy – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – People Force
9 – Hoku
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #4 – $5.00 DD:4/2,6,7,11 – $1.00 Exacta Box: #4,5,6,7 – $3.00 Exacta: 4/5,6,7
Race 10
6 – Makabim – He has finished in the money in six out of his last seven starts, winning two of the races and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – New Commission – He drops in class today; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has high % winning trainer.
2 – Olympic Romp – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race at PARX Racing, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
11 – First Deputy – He finished 3rd in his last race and has a trainer who wins 20% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
5 – Rustys Gfivefifty
9 – Lord Winsalot
Bet: $3.00 Exacta: 6/2,7,11
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #4 – It’s Game Time
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – RUMINT – similar fractions at 6 1/2f as 6 – cutting back helps – Ness/Silvera
7 – MISS NEO – coming in from Monmouth and TB – track and class drop
2 – CATALINA CRUZIN – Paco – got to have him – will be closing
1 – WHY NOT BABE -record says second up will ne better, maybe a lot
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 a little Bump, 4-7 a little Penalty
6 – THIRD WATCH – Ness on the track and class dropper
8 – RUN CORY RUN – another track dropper with better EP last out
10 – SMOOTH PLAYER – 3rd start off the sidelines and yet another invader
4 – SURFBOARD – has some solid LS at time – PARX 5/0-2-2
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 36% w2w -PP: Inside Out, 8+ been bad
1 – EL HERMANO – weight break – consistent performer – been a little slower in the last two
4 – JACOHARE -class dropper that just needs to get off to a better start – won at close to this level 2 back
8 – WIZARD SERRAT – 3rd up, bullet work between races
6 – MUCHO MACHO EDDIE – drops in class for the 2nd up and has the most back class
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – CURIOUS SOUL – close to par for this level last out
7 – STEEL N CENTS – best of the 1ster IMO and not much to beat in here
3 – SCUDETTO – strongest work between starts
4 – POSSUM – could be your pacesetter
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – DEMOLITION WOMAN – MSW dropper with a couple off solid works between races
6 – LOVEUMOM – Ness/Silvera – must think something here in NGSTK last out – only 3rd race
2 – SUNSHINE HAZEL – 2.5/3 firster is the best of the debuters – IMO
7 – MISS JONES – another 1ster and really not much to beat above or below
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 a little Bump, 4-7 a little Penalty
2 – R TENDERONI – PARX 8/0-4-4 – rock solid at the distance too 15/4-6-4 – Tr/owner same
3 – BUNNY BONUS – claim and drop in 2nd up – profitable on the win and claim
5 – BONITA LASSIE – better ATB last out with faster fractions
1 – TOMARIE – most back class with signs of life in last as she was better ATB
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w -PP: Inside Out
5 – ALCHEMISM – bullet and go – 4f in 47.1 – too good to overlook
6 – SAVE A PRAYER – highest rated 1st timer with strong breeding and works
1 – THE TIRE MAN – top experienced horse with best published work between starts
7 – LASKY DRIVE – another firster and as I’ve said many times today – not much to beat
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – CAROLYN DORIS – well bet in debut – a decent work between starts
7 – WEST SIDE DIVA – best of the firsters and the theme of the day – not much to beat
4 – TIP LINE – best back work of the 1st timers
1 – MAGGIE MISCHIEF – can’t ignore the rail and best series of works
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 a little Bump, 4-7 a little Penalty
5 – GREENER PASTURES – Ness/Sanchez – 3rd up after being claimed and moved to Ness Barn
4 – IT’S GAME TIME – most upside it the race – up in class – TLRSP# with a maintenance work
8 – SPEIGHTSTER RED – upped SP# in last 4, better 2/4 pace – tr Richard Vega doesn’t claim many 31% winner when he does
7 – THIRSTY PAPPY – sizable class drop in 2nd up – PARX 9/4-2-1
Race 10: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39& w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 a little Bump, 4-7 a little Penalty
6 – MAKABIM – faster fraction last out – small cut in distance could be difference maker
2 – OLYMPIC ROMP – 10 wins in 26 Parx races, just 4 wins in 34 elsewhere- horse for the course
7 – NEW COMMISSION – drops to lowest level in last 10 – 1st up record spotty – pre workout good
8 – AWESOME LAUNCH – drops in class – close at this level the last time he ran here
