PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 10-08-2024
Race1
7 – Dream Knight – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 83% of the races, winning 17% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.
4 – Gimmebackmybullets – He drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
5 – We Ready – He drops in class today, can improve while returning to dirt, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Shadow Box – He has won three races out of ten starts at PARX Racing, drops in class today and he can handle the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Midnight Getaway
6 – The Angry Man
Race 2
1 – Star of Caesarea – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 25% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has a high % winning jockey and has a good 4F workout (Oct-02).
3 – Optimistic Nate – He drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Aves Makin’ Waves – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a jockey in the last 7 days has this record (18 5-3-2).
Longshot:
4 – Carry Grant – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Bubby Papermaker
5 – Jaknava
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4/3,4/1,2,6,7/1,3,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
4 – Starlord – He drops in class today; he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Voy Y Vengo – He has an early speed running style so he can improve at the shorter distance.
2 – Whoosh – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – This Time Blue – He has an early speed running style and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Midheirflyinhigh
1 – Lord Seabee
Race 4
6 – Rebel Empire – He comes in from Delaware to try PARX Racing, bringing the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Liberty Star – He won his last race at PARX Racing and switches to high % jockey Paco Lopez.
2 – Tropic Storm – He has an early speed running style so he can improve at the shorter distance and he has high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
7 – Navy Rules – He has won two races out of his last three starts; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – B B Bad
4 – Geebert
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,6,7/1,3,5,7/1,5 /2,4,5 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
1 – War Master – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a 18% clip, he has the best dirt speed among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – I Feelucky Tonite – He has finished in the money in six races out of his last seven starts, winning two starts and he has high % winning jockey.
7 – Bobby the Tank – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Alpha Company – He is one for one at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Bali Amour
Race 6 -Female
5 – Woohoo Jackie Blue – She ran 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Stassi – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Flashndynamite – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 72% of the races, winning 47% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 63% of the races, winning 36% of the starts.
Longshot:
3 – Girlfromouterspace – She can improve while returning to dirt, drops in class today and she a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races in claiming races.
Alternate:
$.50 Pick 4: 1,5/2,4/1,2,3/1,2,3,4,6,7,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 7
2 – Arrow Speed – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Melt With You – He has won two races out of his last three starts and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Eddie W – His best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Hermoso Hombre – He has finished in the money in two races out of his three starts at PARX Racing, winning one of the races, and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Zoppi Fischbein
3 – Back East
Race 8 -Female
1 – Confirmed Star – She has finished in the money in eight races out of his last ten starts, winning three of the starts and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Aegean Sea– She won her last race easily at PARX Racing, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Midnight in Alaska – She has won two races out of his last three starts; and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Shetalkstomuch – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Dewey Doit
Bet: $16.00 Win & $25.00 Place: #1 – $5.00 DD:1,3/4,10 – $2.00 Exacta Box: #1,2,3,5 – $5.00 Exacta:1/2,3,5
Race 9
4 – Dark Timber – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Memory Bouquet – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 36% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Turnsandconditions – He has the highest last race speed rating and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1 – Harry’s Onthebeach – He drops in class today and switches to a high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
2 – This Run’s for You
3 – Whiskey Prize
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #7 – Summer’s Gift
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w -PP: Inside Out
3 – SHADOW BOX – maybe too much early speed as lone E
7 – DREAM KNIGHT – a little better ATB in last with 3SP# increases
1 – MIDNIGHT GETAWAY – drops in class, should be well positioned on hot rail
2 – THE BEARRISH ONE – lone PC in 3rd up
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – OPTIMISTIC NATE – another with maybe too much early speed for the rest here too
1 – STAR OF CAESAREA – better fractions last out at 7f – cutting back to 6 helps
4 – CARRY GRANT – TLRSP#+5 and drops in class in 2nd up – huge bump in only other round two
2 – AVES MAKIN’ WAVES – track dropper from Monmouth with a maintenance work between races
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – VOY Y VENGO –another with a lot more ES than the rest – +12 – 10 pounds off today
4 – STARLORD – drops in class in the 3rd up – trending the right direction
6 – MIDHEIRFLYINHIGH – will be coming from off the pace – has enough back class to beat these
2 – WHOOSH – has a solid LP edge, is an E horse and if he gets off to a good start
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – NAVY RULES – hope the track is fast today – going with anther that should be out front but doesn’t need to be
1 – LIBERTY STAR – PACO on a closer that’s getting a little more distance
6 – REBEL EMPIRE – Ness/Silvera hasn’t raced at PARX but the works there are solid
3 – B B BAD – probably most consistent that was better ATB in last
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 23% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – WAR MASTER – track dropper for Sanchez and Ness – small drop in price
7 – BOBBY THE TANK – today’s theme – early speed and should be forward
4 – BALI AMOUR – might have the most back class – 2nd up after being better ATB
6 – RYAN’S FLEET – if the 7 isn’t on the lead, this one will be
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 a little Bump, 4-7 a little Penalty
5 – WOOHOO JACKIE BLUE – top ES and top LS – top TOTAL PACE +5
6 – MOLLEWANTACRACKER – all or nothing – winner 4/11 and nothing else – wins on the front, has a chance to be there today
4 – FLASHNDYNAMITE – winner of 17 of 36 at PARX, just 2 wins in 30 elsewhere – Horse for the Parx course
1 – STASSI – drops in class in 2nd up – at times has elite ES
Race 7: 1 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bump, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
4 – MELT WITH YOU – another with the top ES and top LS with top TOTAL PACE +5
2 – ARROW SPEED – Ness/Sanchez track dropper with a pair of bullet works between races
6 – HERMOSO HOMBRE – better 2/4f early pace on last – very consistent at in his three at PARX
5 – EDDIE W – tough call over the 1 – but we get more of an overlay and top C-Zone
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w -PP: Inside Out
1 – CONFIRMED STAR – drops from a NGSTK in 3rd up – never off the board at PARX or distance
3 – AEGEAN SEA – big effort in her last and has a bullet work since
4 – DEWEY DOIT – winner 3/6 at PARX and none in 5 at anywhere else – chance for more in 2nd up
2 – MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA – drops from a NGSTK – if speed is the way today – this is the way
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – DARK TIMBER – 3rd up – held speed longer, Pennington/Ness
3 – WHISKEY PRIZE – 3rd up after a big win – better 2/4 EP
8 – SWING OIL – trainer doesn’t claim many – winner at 36% for an enormous +8.66 ROI
10 – MEMORY BOUQUET – should be ranked higher – but Penn Shipper
