PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 10-15-2024
Race 1 – Female
5 – Racey Ruby – She drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating and she has high % winning trainer who wins 32% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Jump a Fox – She has been knocking at the door finishing in the money in her last four starts and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Jess’s Moment – She has run 2nd in her last two races at PARX Racing.
Longshot:
7 – Incan Moon Goddess – She ran 3rd in her last race at PARX Racing, she can improve at the longer distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Go Chloe Go
3 – Dreamingoffreedom
$.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6/ 1,6,7/3,4,6/2,3,4 – Cost $40.50
Race 2– Female
1 – Vitaemi – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, the rail post is winning at a18% clip, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Awesome Pal – She has a high % winning trainer, she has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and early speed running style helps chances so she may improve at the shorter distance.
6 – Sirenetta – She can improve while returning to a sprint and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Lil’ Late Luck – She switches to a high% trainer who wins 35% of the races when dropping a horse after claiming the horse and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Bella Maria
3 – Cup of Life
$.50 Pick 4: 1,6,7/3,4,6/2,3,4/2,6,8 – Cost $40.50
Race 3– Female
4 – Royal Upstart – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has a high% trainer who wins 19% of the races sprint races he has a horse competing in and may improve at the shorter distance.
3 – Problems Abound – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
6 – Pesadilla Chanel – She has the best dirt speed among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Ode to Edie – She has a high % winning trainer and is dropping in class.
Alternate:
5 – Victoriousvictoria
Race 4– Female
4 – Sansa Ariel – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her early speed running style helps chances and she has high % winning jockey.
2 – Denali Rae – She has finished in the money in eight races out of his last ten starts, winning one of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Valiant Majesty – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 58% of the races, winning 11% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 42% of the races, winning 17% of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Angelic Storm – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Disco Daisy
7 – Akna
Race 5
6 – Harp’s Hot Corner – He drops in class today; he has a high% trainer who wins 25% of the Maiden Claiming races he has a horse competing in and he has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Heat Alert – He has finished in the money in two races out of his last three career starts, can improve while returning to a sprint and he switches to a high % winning trainer.
2 – Sir Palace Prince – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Dirty Harry – His early speed running style helps chances and his best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
4 – Bad Advice
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6,8/4,6/5,6/2,3,4,7,8 – Cost $50.00
Race 6
4 – Prince Colton – He likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 43% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – War Master – He won his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Party At Sam’s – He won his last race; the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Smokin Holiday – He has finished in the money in seven races out of his last eight starts, winning four of the starts and her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
2 – Mr Sandman
7 – Enforcer
Bet: $16.00 Win & $25.00 Place: #4 – $5.00 DD:4,6/5,6 – $2.00 Exacta Box: #1,4,5,6 – $5.00 Exacta:4/1,5,6
Race 7
5 – River Dog – He won his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Maximus Meridius – He drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Don’t Wait Up – He won his last race and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Tuskegee Airmen – He has high % winning trainer and jockey and can improve while returning to a sprint.
Race 8 -Female
4 – Flagrunner – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a trainer who wins 33% of the Maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse competing in.
8 – Sunny Side Up – She finished 3rd in her last race at PARX Racing, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Ringer Card – She has finished in the money in three races out of her last four career starts, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
2 – Momma Pic – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 3 starters, has a trainer who wins 25% of the debut maiden Sp Wt races he has a horse in and she has a good 4F workout on Oct-04.
Alternate:
7 – Bossy Kate
1 – Seth’s War Song
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #4 – Prince Colton
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Rail Almost Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Penalty, 8+ Best
3 – DREAMINGOFFREEDOM – speed held up yesterday – anybody can win this race – class dropper and will be forward
7 – INCAN MOON GODDESS – plenty of upside potential in just 3rd race
5 – RACEY RUBY – biggest class dropper and making the 3rd after a layoff
1 – GO CHLOE GO – the other likely to be pilot or co-pilot
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – VITAEMI – should get the front and never look back
7 – AWESOME PAL – speed and fade in last, cut back to 6 furlongs from 7 should help
4 – LIL’ LATE LUCK – run back two races and she has a shot on the class drop
6 – SIRENETTA – highly consistent performer at a cut below par for this level
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 56% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with a small Bonus 8+
3 – PROBLEMS ABOUND – just missed last out and resume says a little better in 2nd up
4 – ROYAL UPSTART – better early in last and has the ability to hit par for this level
6 – PESADILLA CHANEL – drops in class
1 – ODE TO EDIE – drops in class and was better ATB
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – VALIANT MAJESTY – 3SP# increases and drops in class after TLRSP# +6
2 – DENALI RAE – drops in class and should compete for the lead
4 – SANSA ARIEL – missed as the 30 cent favorite in her first Parx and drops in class in 2nd at Parx
1 – DISCO DAISY – tough call over the 5 – but we’ll take the rail bonus for 2 horses that are similar
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – HARP’S HOT CORNER – MSW dropper in the third up and hasn’t had a clean trip yet in 3 tries
4 – BAD ADVICE – the other MSW dropper and comes in from Laurel and was well bet in both starts
2 – SIR PALACE PRINCE – PARX 7/0-4-1 and steadily performs at a notch below Par
5 – DIRTY HARRY – great chance to be on the front and could be better in 2nd up
8 – HEAT ALERT – speed and fade in last at 1M 70Y and cutting back to 6 ½ furlongs helps
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – WAR MASTER – Ness and Sanchez – big win at Parx last out at this level – shortens up a little
1 – PARTY AT SAM’S – TLRSP# +4 – am worried about regression following a peak effort
7 – ENFORCER – most back class in the race – didn’t have the room to finish in last
5 – SMOKIN HOLIDAY – probably the pacesetter as a left arrow horse with 37 Q30
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – RIVER DOG – gets out to the lead and never gives it up?
6 – MAXIMUS MERIDIUS – drops for a close G3 effort – clearly facing the toughest comp
7 – DON’T WAIT UP – Ness and Sanchez coming off a peak effort – maybe some regression
1 – WINDSOR GOLD – tough call over the 8, but we’ll take the fresh horse on the rail
Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
9 – JOYFUL SONG – speed and fade in debut – more stamina today if she loads without an issue
3 – RINGER CARD – 3rd after a layoff with a maintenance works but needs a bounce back race
2 – MOMMA PIC – first timer with a decent last work prepping
8 – SUNNY SIDE UP – sings of life in last – but big hike in class
