PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 10-28-2024
Race 1 -Female
5 – Namora – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout on (Oct-21).
3 – Java’s Lucky Lady – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Treasure Peace – The rail post is winning at a 18% clip and her early speed running style helps chances.
Longshot:
7 – Swans Island – She has a high % winning trainer, can improve while returning to dirt and her early speed running style helps her chances.
Alternate:
6 – Steal the Deal
8 – Bay Bay Birdie
Race 2 -Female
5 – Liam’s Kiss – She ran 2nd in her last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 40% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she has the highest last race speed rating.
1 – La Tache – She won two out of her last three races and she has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Amalfi Lady – She ran 3rd in her last race and she can handle the distance.
Longshot:
6 – Mo Town Annie – She has a win at PARX Racing and she has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Connelmaura
3 – Gormley Girl
$.50 Pick 4: 1,5/3,4,6,7/1,2,3,4/3,5,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
7 – Run Cory Run – He has finished in the money in his last three starts, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Bean Machine – He drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes and he has high % winning jockey.
4 – Villanito – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Takemetothemoon – He has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Khopesh
Race 4 -Female
2 – Solemn Oath – She switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez, can improve while returning to dirt, drops in class today, has a trainer who wins 17% of the races when taking a horse from turf to dirt and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Creative Copy – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 38% of the races, winning 25% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 66% of the races, winning 33% of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Catti La Belle – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Happy Union – She won her last race at PARX Racing and she has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
Alternate:
5 – Bunny Bonus
6 – Unadulterated
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4/3,5,6 /4,6,7,8/4,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
6 – Parkerness – He can improve while returning to a route, he has the best dirt speed among today’s starters, he has a trainer who wins 29% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-sprint-route and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Le Vin – He has finished in the money in five of his last six starts, winning two of the races and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Checkitup – He won his last race at PARX Racing, he has high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a good 4F workout (Oct-19).
Longshot:
4 – Eddie W – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and his early speed running style helps chances.
Alternate:
1 – Booster Shot
2 – Zoppi Fischbein
Race 6
7 – It’s Game Time – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
8 – Roadtriptonowhere – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
6 – Vine Jet – He won his last race at PARX Racing and loves the distance.
Longshot:
4 – Predominate – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Hoku
2 – Bourbon Calling
Race 7
11 – Justinspeightofit – He has won two out of his last three races and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Kate’s Golden Dude – He finished 3rd in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Hotpot – He finished 2nd in the last three races and he has trainer who wins 18% of the races in the 1st start after he claims a horse.
Longshot:
2 – Petulant Delight – He has won 25% of his races at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Mischievous Jones
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,11/1,6,7/4,6/2,3,5,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
6 – Sunday Spirit- He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a trainer who wins 27% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to a maiden claiming race and he has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Atrocious – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Tricolour – He ran 2nd in his last race and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he switches to a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Irish Wish – He has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Lecanto
Race 9
4 – Winning Time – He has finished in the money in his five career starts, winning two of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – All American Rod– He is undefeated in 2 career starts, has been off since March of this year, but has been steadily working out to return to race.
2 – Bolt of Aurum – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
9 – Palm Island – He has finished in the money in three out of his last four starts, winning one of the races and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Lost and Confused
1 – Ninja Prize
Bet: $16.00 Win & $30.00 Place: #4 – $6.00 DD: 4/2,3,5,10 – $1.00 Exacta Box: #2,4,6,9 – $3.00 Exacta: 4/2,6,9 – $5.00 DD: 2,4,6/10
Race 10 -Female
10 – Fast Gal – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her early speed running style helps chances, she can improve at the shorter distance and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Pretty Lily – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Annieworkstoomuch – She has finished in the money in her last four starts, finishing 3rd vs tougher in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Job’s Not Finished– She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race.
Alternate:
6 – Lil’ Late Luck
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #4 – Winning Time
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out Bias
3 – JAVA’S LUCKY LADY – drops to lowest level of her career – spotty first up
5 – NAMORA – running at lowest level of career – strong work between starts
7 – SWANS ISLAND – top TOTAL PACE +6 – weight break – might be quicker early than it looks in PPs
1 – TREASURE PEACE – major gains in pair of other 3rd off the bench starts like today – maintenance work between races
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
5 – LIAM’S KISS – likely frontrunner coming off faster fractions
2 – AMALFI LADY – 3rs up after posting better EP though the first half last out
3 – GORMLEY GIRL – Lone E if she can get to the front – same owner/trainer
6 – MO TOWN ANNIE – another with the same owner/trainer with better 2/4f pace
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
7 – RUN CORY RUN – 3sp# increases with the TLRSP# +14 – race before +10 and +8 in the one before that
6 – BEAN MACHINE – 3rd up and trying dirt for the first time – sizable drop
4 – VILLANITO – only other classic 3rd after a layoff was career best – maybe another career best coming?
5 – KHOPESH – drops to lowest level of career
2 – SHEER DOMINANCE
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
3 – CREATIVE COPY – won three of last four – most dangerous on the lead – should be there today
5 – BUNNY BONUS – run back two races and this is hers, faster by about a second last out
1 – CATTI LA BELLE – most consistent in the field and was better ATB in last
6 – UNADULTERATED – faster by more than a second last out and has some solid LP ability
Race 5: 1 Miles – Bias: Ealy Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Fair, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Best
5 – LE VIN – pacesetter that should pop in 2nd up for Ness/Sanchez
3 – CHECKITUP – repeat last race and it’s a wrap – solid workout since
6 – PARKERNESS – Nes/Silvera – Parx 4/0-1-3 – so I put him 3rd
1 – BOOSTER SHOT – goes to a new barn that hits at 15% off the claim with good work
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
Could be the most competitive race on the card
7 – IT’S GAME TIME – pacesetter potential with most back class
8 – ROADTRIPTONOWHERE – class dropper that should be coming at the end – but not too far from the pace here
4 – PREDOMINATE – career best race last out followed by a decent work
5 – HOKU – a race any can win – must include Paco in your picks
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out Bias
7 – SHADOW BOX – does his best upfront and should compete for the lead here
5 – HOTPOT – a trio of 2nds in a row – maybe closes the deal in the 3rd up
4 – KATE’S GOLDEN DUDE – maybe the most back class and runs well enough off the bench
11 – JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT – top TOTAL PACE +8 – but outside post hurts
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
5 – IRISH WISH – maybe most upside in 3rd career start and should be on the front
1 – TRICOLOUR – big step up in class following TLRSP# +6
6 – SUNDAY SPIRIT – probably facing the lightest comp in his career
7 – ATROCIOUS – should be closing at the end and should be mid pack at worst vs there
Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out Bias
4 – WINNING TIME – should be the pacesetter and really any of his races would be good enough
6 – ALL AMERICAN ROD – unbeaten in two and has a bullet work on Oct 12
2 – BOLT OF AURUM – Track dropper, class dropper with Paco and a solid work between races
8 – LOST AND CONFUSED – Ness horse running at the lowest level of it career – in for a check
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out Bias
3 – ANNIEWORKSTOOMUCH – top TOTAL PACE +8
2 – PRETTY LILY – much better in the last half – carries over momentum today
10 – FAST GAL – Paco again in an open race after being tons better early in last
1 – FLAG SONG FLYIN – cutting back from a route could help on the class drop
