PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 10-29-2024
Race 1
12 – El Hermano – He ran 2nd in his last start as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 37% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has the highest last race speed rating.
11 – Midnight Act – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, winning the prior race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Super John – He won his last race at PARX Racing; his early speed running style helps chances and he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.
Longshot:
5 – Itwasthedevilsidea – He drops in class today and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Awesome Launch
Race 2 -Female
8 – Lost in Thought – She has finished in the money in her last three starts, finishing 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in her last race, her early speed running style helps chances and she can improve at the shorter distance.
5 – Jess’s Moment – She finished 2nd in her last three races and her best dirt speed is faster than the avg winning speed.
2 – Blind Speed– She ran 2nd vs tougher (on Turf) in her last race, drops in class today and she switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Lady Robo – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, she has a trainer who wins 20% of the maiden of the claiming races he has a horse competing in, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Apollonia Vitelli
1 – Keystormrising
$.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6,8/2,4/3,6,7,8/3,7,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
2 – Zihuatanejo – He had trouble in his last race and finished poorly but switches high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and he has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Ira the Icon – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and blinkers are added.
6 – Chineseiam – He has finished in the money in three of his last four starts, winning one of the races and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Humble Joe – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie), his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Stately Order
5 – Bold Hoppertunity
Race 4 -Female
7 – Bythenumbers – She likes PARX Racing finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 50% of the starts, and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Independent – She won her last race; she has a high % winning trainer and a bullet 4F workout on (Oct-22).
6 – Tootsie Toes – She has won two races out of her last four races and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Khozy Colby – She has finished in the money in three races out of four starts at PARX Racing, winning one of the starts and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Louella Street
4 – Dorothy’s the Boss
$.50 Pick 4: #3,6,7,8/3,7,10/2,5/2,3,4,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
10 – October Bliss – He comes in from Aqueduct to try PARX Racing for the first time, switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and he has a trainer who wins 17% of the races when shipping a horse in to compete.
7 – Surfboard – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Social Acceptance – He ran 2nd vs similar (on Turf) in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey who in the last 7 days has this record (22 7-4-2).
Longshot:
2 – Utility – He has finished in the money in two of his last three starts, winning one of the races and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
8 – El de Leo
4 – First Squad
Race 6 -Female
2 – Miss M M – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Why Not Babe – She won her last race and she has a high % winning trainer.
4 – Lois – She has a trainer who wins 100% of the races when taking a horse from an AW to Dirt and can improve while returning to a sprint.
Longshot:
6 – Disco Daisy – She finished poorly after having trouble in her last race and a good 4F workout on (Oct-23).
Race 7
3 – This Run’s for You – He has won two races out of the last three starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Rebel Empire – He ran 2nd in his last start as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has high % winning jockey.
2 – Navy Rules – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Rock On Luke – He finished poorly in his last two races but has done well at PARX Racing in the past, has had several good workouts recently and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Rejected Again
7 – Chico Charlie
$.50 Pick 4: #2,3,4,6 /3,7/2,5,6/1,3,8,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
7 – Divine Miracle – He has finished in the money in his last six starts, winning three races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Roan Mountain – He finished 3rd in his last race, and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
6 – Divine Armor – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a bullet 4F workout on (Oct-21).
Longshot:
1 – Greener Pastures – He has won two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – People Force – He finished 3rd in his last race, and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Simovitch
Bet: $16.00 Win & $30.00 Place: #7 – $6.00 DD: 7/2,5,6,7 – $1.00 Exacta Box: #1,3,6,7 – $3.00 Exacta: 7/1,3,6 – $2.00 DD: 1,3,6,7/6
Race 9 -Female
6 – Nature’s Candy – She has finished in the money in four of five races at PARX Racing, winning one of the races and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Southampton Dock – She has finished in the money in seven races out of the last nine starts and she can handle the distance.
5 – Miss Ellary – She won her last race at PARX Racing by 6-lenghts, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Amaterasu – She won her last race at PARX Racing, can handle the distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Kindred Hearts
1 – Girlfromouterspace
Race 10 -Female
3 – Miss Neo – She has finished in the money in four of five races at PARX Racing, winning two of the races and the distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the starts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Rumint – She ran 3rd in her last start as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and she has high % winning jockey.
1 – Designated – She has a high % winning jockey, the rail post is winning at a18% clip and she drops in class today.
Longshot:
8 – Wildcat Girl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Raichu
2 – Harper Be Good
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #7 – Divine Miracle
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
12 – EL HERMANO – better ATB in last – TLRSP# +12
10 – AWESOME LAUNCH – drops in class and won last time he ran at this level
11 – MIDNIGHT ACT – sneaky drop in class from open company to nw 2
7 – MUCHO MACHO EDDIE – should be close to the front versus these with some of the most LP
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
2 – BLIND SPEED – upped3 SP# in last 3 and every race since debut
6 – LADY ROBO – steady performer – 0-13 though – but maybe too much early speed for the rest
5 – JESS’S MOMENT – the opposite side of the 6 – with tons of LS
8 – LOST IN THOUGHT – SIM FAV – flips from turf to dirt is the only issue as she has performed on turf
Race 3: 1 Mile – Bias: Ealy Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Fair, 4-7 Small Discount, 8+ Best
3 – HUMBLE JOE – similar fractions early last out despite going a little longer
4 – IRA THE ICON – most consistent performer that has shown stakes level LP at times
2 – ZIHUATANEJO – Paco on a horse running at the lowest level of career
6 – CHINESEIAM – could be on the lead and sometimes that carries better than expected in first route
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
2 – LOUELLA STREET – maybe too much early speed for the rest
3 – INDEPENDENT – won her last with ease and has a bullet work since
8 – KHOZY COLBY – drops in class and won at this level two back
6 – TOOTSIE TOES – running at the lowest level of her career
Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
7 – SURFBOARD – better ATB in last with better fractions
3 – SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE – most upside potential in the race – lookout if he gets the lead – SIM says that is where he will be
8 – EL DE LEO – last 3rd up show big improvement and gets 10 pounds off today
2 – UTILITY – drops to the lowest level of his career
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias
2 – MISS M M – SIM FAV and by far Best PAR + and chance to be at her best in 3rd up – Top TOTAL PACE +11
5 – WHY NOT BABE – another that should show more in the 3rd up and good chance to be forward
8 – AKNA – much better EP in last with decent LS
9 – BELLA MARIA – long shot with a chance and gets a 10 pound weight break
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 34% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out Bias
4 – ROCK ON LUKE – if he is ready – is the best horse – bullet work on Oct 2nd – say she could be ready
3 – THIS RUN’S FOR YOU – won his lone race at Parx with ease – a budding horse for the course
6 – REBEL EMPIRE – Ness/Silvera – just missed last out at this level – much better late in last
2 – NAVY RULES – hard call over the 5 – but better SIM output
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
1 – GREENER PASTURES – crushed it in his last – faster by about a second last out – still think there is more
7 – DIVINE MIRACLE – 3rd up – PPs say more is coming especially with a bullet work between races
6 – DIVINE ARMOR – Ness/Silvera on a track dropper
3 – ROAN MOUNTAIN – Paco on a closer and consistent performer
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Bonus, 4+ Small Penalty
3 – KINDRED HEARTS – Ness/Silvera – 3SP# increases and 3 nice works between races – +6 Top TOTAL PACE
2 – SOUTHAMPTON DOCK – tough call over the 6 – but beat him both times and 3rd up
6 – NATURE’S CANDY – TLRSP# +3 – better EP in her last
1 – GIRLFROMOUTERSPACE – tr is 24% winner first off the claim
Race 10: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out Bias
1 – DESIGNATED – rail bonus and drops to the lowest level of her career – top TOTAL PACE +8
3 – MISS NEO – SIM FAV and the highest PAR Plus – good chance to be better in 2nd up
9 – RUMINT – Ness/Silvera and been close in the last three
8 – WILDCAT GIRL – much better early in last with faster fractions despite going longer
