PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Fort Erie – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free PARX Racing Picks
Terry’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 9-08-2025
Race 1-Female
6 – Waitwaitdonttellme: Finished 2nd last race; trained by a high-percentage trainer who wins 25% of second starts after claiming.
3 – Hi Heeled Warrior: Strong record at PARX Racing (57% in the money, 29% wins), excels at this distance (43% wins), drops in class, and is trained by a high-percentage winner.
7 – K D Kakes: Third last out, trained by a high-percentage winner, and could improve returning to a route.
Longshot:
4 – Cindy’s Song: Assigned to a jockey with a strong win percentage and trained by an individual who achieves a 35% success rate when transitioning horses from sprint to route races.
Alternate:
1 – Amy Mule
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,6,7/5/1,2,3,4,6/2,3,5,6 – Cost $50.00
Race 2–
5 – Wicked Melody: Placed in last three, winning one. Drops class today with leading trainer and jockey; owns fastest dirt speed here.
6 – Boys of Summer: Placed in 8 of 10 starts; finished 3rd last out against similar. Trainer has a high win rate.
4 – Chachaching: He has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, Trainer has a high win rate.
Longshot:
1 – Okie Den Den: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; and he has a high % winning trainer and has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
2 – Ramiel
3 – Dr. Lou
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,6/1,2,3,4,6/1,2,3,5,6 /1 – Cost $50.00
Race 3-Female
3 – Weekend Honor: Finished 3rd in his last race and switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
6 – Instant Vision: DNF in last race after losing rider; finished in the money in 5 of previous 6 starts and drops in class today.
4 – Sweet Distraction: Third last out against stronger competition, drops in class today, and has the fastest dirt speed in this field.
Longshot:
1 – Bailout Billy: High-percentage trainer, rail post wins at 20%, dropping in class.
Alternate:
2 – Tiptop
7 – Devils Arrow
Race 4-Female
2 – Creative Copy: Finished second against stronger competition last time, drops in class, and owns the top speed at today’s distance as well as the fastest dirt speed in this field.
6 – Rolls Royce Joyce: She has won 2 races out of her last 5 starts, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Popover Gal: Trainer has a 40%-win rate dropping horses 2+ classes. Early speed suits her, she may benefit from the shorter distance, and she holds the top speed figure at this distance.
Longshot:
3 – Goldieness: Third last time against stronger rivals; drops in class today with a top-percentage winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – Forest Maiden
4 – So Swell
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6/1,6/2,4,5/2,4,5,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
1 – Alyvia Mavis: Third last out against tougher, top speed rating, rail wins 20%, drops in class today, plus a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
6 – Cruise Missile: Has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – She’s Justified: Finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and drops in class today.
Longshot:
3 – Butter Kisses: She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and has a bullet 3F workout (Sep-01).
Alternate:
2 – Tiggy Thunder
Race 6–
4 – Hey Porter: Won last race but was placed 4th through disqualification, switches to top trainer and has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Assembly Point: Has won two of his last three races, now with a high-percentage trainer and jockey.
5 – The King Cheek: Drops in class today; trained by a high-percentage trainer winning 27% with horses dropping two or more classes. Holds the best speed figure at today’s distance and leads in best dirt speed among all starters.
Longshot:
6 – What a Blast: Moves to top trainer. Fast early pace improves chances. Impressive 4F workout (Aug-29).
Alternate:
3 – Classic Union
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,6/2,4,5,7/5,6/4,5,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 7-Female
7 – Five Star Fran: Won last race at PARX Racing and has the highest last race speed rating.
2 – Sonadora Girl: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race and switches to high % winning jockey.
5 – Could Be a Cougar: Takes another drop-in class and has a top trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Bucks Some: He has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, drops in class today.
Alternate:
1 – Sue Ellen Mishkin
6 – Solemn Oath
Race 8–
6 – Guaponess: He placed in nine of the last ten races, winning three, with a top trainer and jockey.
5 – Uncaptured Star: Placed in 4 of last 6, with 3 wins. Drops in class. Trainer and jockey have high win rates.
3 – Harp’s Hot Corner: Has previously shown improvement when returning to a sprint and holds the fastest best dirt speed among today’s starters.
Longshot:
2 – Final Shot: Placed 3rd last race, holds the top speed at this distance, and is trained by a 20% winning of dirt races he has a horse running in.
Alternate:
4 – Midlaner
1 – Stormin Sammy
Bet: $20.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 – Exacta Box: 5,6 – $10.00 Exacta: 6/2,3,5
Bet: $10.00 DD: 6/4,5,8
Race 9–
8 – Traffic Master: Has the highest last race speed rating, drops in class today; trainer and jockey has a high win rate.
5 – Malibu Star: Gets a top-percentage jockey, drops in class, and has the fastest speed figures at today’s distance and on dirt.
4 – Eloquist: Has placed in 56% of Parx Racing starts, won 25%, and has a high-winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Khopesh: He has won his last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick and has a high-winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Asmodeus
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #6 – Guaponess
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2+ A Little Under Par
6 – WAITWAITDONTTELLME – out front with top Total Pace
3 – HI HEELED WARRIOR – fairly consistent with top PAR+
1 – AMY MULE – killer LP edge 2 ½ lengths – ran a touch faster last out
4 – CINDY’S SONG – needs a bounce back race – has a 1 length EP advantage
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6/1,5/1,2,4,7/2,3,5,6
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Rail Discount. 2-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Discount
5 – WICKED MELODY – 3SP# increases – TLRSP#+9
1 – OKIE DEN DEN – out front and Top Total Pace of a length
4 – CHACHACHING – along with the 5 a YES horse – 2nd Up
6 – BOYS OF SUMMER – very consistent ITM 4/5 at Parx and 5/5 at the distance
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,5/1,2,4,7/2,3,5/1,3,5,6
$2 Pick 3: 5/1,2,4,7/2
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – TIPTOP – MSW dropper from Toga – been off more than a year – if she is ready
1 – BAILOUT BILLY – on the lead with the top C ZONE
7 – DEVILS ARROW – another that’s been off more than a year – works are strong
4 – SWEET DISTRACTION – has to get the call over the rest with just 2 races
$5 Double: 1,2,4,7/2
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – CREATIVE COPY – TLRSP# +15 – pairs strong races – Top Total Pace 1 ½ lengths
5 – POPOVER GAL – good chance to be out front at the proper distance 6/4-0-0 – just 1 win in 8 at any other distance
3 – GOLDIENESS – weight break and just needs to rerun her last Parx race –
6 – ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE – Lone PC – better EP
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5/1,3,5,6/2,4,5,7/2,5,7
$20 Win: 2
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – SHE’S JUSTIFIED – Lone E, should be out front – top Par+
1 – ALYVIA MAVIS – Ness – loves to finish ITM at the distance 9/12
6 – CRUISE MISSILE – better in 2nd Parx start after track dropping – 2nd up
3 – BUTTER KISSES – track dropper – works says they want to send
$2 Pick 3: 5/2,4,5,7/7
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2+ A Little Under Par
2 – ASSEMBLY POINT – room to improve in the 2nd up following a win
4 – HEY PORTER – Sanchez and Pino – will be coming at the end
5 – THE KING CHEEK – stopped in last – but has a 2 length ES edge – decent work between
7 – ALWAYS GAMBLING – 2nd off the sidelines should look like the 1st– Top Total Pace +8
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5,7/2,7/3,5,6/2,5,6,8
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – FIVE STAR FRAN – TLRSP#+7 – LS+6 and Top Total Pace +6
2 – SONADORA GIRL – YES horse that is the biggest class dropper
5 – COULD BE A COUGAR – last race might not be as bad as it looks – better pace mid-out and possible pacesetter
1 – SUE ELLEN MISHKIN – tough call over the 4 – but a little more EP and drops
$5 Exacta Key Box: 7/1,2,4,5
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – HARP’S HOT CORNER – Sanchez/Ness – left arrow – could be pacesetter as PC – strong C ZONE
6 – GUAPONESS – ITM 10/12 at the distance – TLRSP#+3
5 – UNCAPTURED STAR – SIM FAV, Top Total Pace, Top PAR+ – drops
4 – MIDLANER – tough call over the 2 but more upside, a touch less EP but by far more LP
$4 Win: 3
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2+ A Little Under Par
2 – MEGA CHARLIE – Lots of ES and has the top C ZONE by a decent amount
5 – MALIBU STAR – another that should be forward – by far best Parx back class
6 – ASMODEUS – track dropper – SIM FAV and by far top PAR+
8 – TRAFFIC MASTER – Ness and Sanchez on the biggest class dropper
