PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Fort Erie: https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/in…
Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 9-16-2024
Race 1-Female
3 – Flag Song Flyin – She drops in class today, switches to a high % winning jockey, may improve while returning to dirt and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – Fast Gal – She drops in class today and she has a high % winning and jockey.
5 – Kentucky Reign – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Sister Eve – She comes in from PENN national after winning her last race there and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Bythenumbers
4 – Bruno Barber Girl
Race 2
3 – Scamp Walker – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning and jockey.
6 – Dreamwithinadream – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, will improve while returning to a sprint and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – El de Josue – He has the highest last race speed rating, can improve while returning to dirt and has a trainer who wins 18% of the races in the 1st start after being claimed.
Longshot:
2 – Plenty of Time – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 43% of the races, winning 14% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 50% of the races.
Alternate:
4 – Travel Guide
7 – Liberty Runner
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,6/2/2,3,5,6/3,8,9,10,11,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 3 -Female
2 – Liam’s Kiss – She finished in the money in her last four starts, winning one of the starts, she has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Harper Be Good – She drops in class today and has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Kestennav– She has a 2nd place finish at PARX Racing and today’s distance will not be a problem.
Longshot:
3 – She’s Mybuddybuddy – She has a high % winning jockey and can improve while returning to dirt.
Alternate:
1 – Elevenmonthslater
Race 4
2 – Smokin Holiday – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has a high % winning jockey and the trainer/jockey combo in the last 14 days has this record (5 2-1-1).
4 – Rocket Dragon – He finished in the money in the last nine starts, winning three of the races, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
5 – I Don’t See Colors – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Top of the Street – He tried turf but did not seem to like it and now returns to dirt where he won the previous race, switches to a high % winning jockey and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
7 – Mr Sandman
1 – Disturbed
$.50 Pick 4: 2,4,5/3,8,11,12 /1,2,3,4/5,6– Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
8 – Pleasant Dreams – She has won two out of the last three races, tried a handicap race without success and now drops in class today and returns to turf where she performs better.
11 – Getaway Palace – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, she has an early foot so the shorter distance will help and her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
3 – Jeanne Marie – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the Allowance races he has a horse competing in and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
12 – Thegoddessofsnakes – She has performed well in the past on the turf and has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
9 – Alma Brilha
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #3,8,11,12
Race 6
2 – Khopesh – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and can improve while returning to a route.
3 – The Gatekeeper– He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest last race speed rating, he has the best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
4 – Stately Order – He won his last race at Monmouth Park; he has a high % winning trainer and has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Longshot:
1 – Strasse – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Ira the Icon
9 – Villanito
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4/5,6/1,4,5,7/1,2,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 7
6 – Dylan’s Ruby – He has finished in the money in five of his six career starts, winning one of the races, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Lost and Confused – He finished in the money in two out of the last three starts, winning one of the starts, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Force of Justice – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Mac Daddy Too – He ran 3rd vs tougher in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Carcharoth
2 – Humble Joe
Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: #6 – $6.00 DD: 6/1,4,5,7
Race 8
5 – Uncle Winchester – He has finished in the money in all three of his career starts, winning one of the races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Mr. Antonelli – He finished in the money in three of his last four races, winning one of the races his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a bullet 5F workout on Sep-04.
1 – The Monopoly Man – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey; the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and he has a good 4F workout on Sep-06.
Longshot:
4 – Big Z Og – He won his last race at PARX Racing; he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and he has a bullet 5F workout on Sep-07.
Alternate:
3 – Whiskeyromeosierra
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #1,4,5,7
Race 9-Female
8 – Lamasco – She won her last race at PARX Racing; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and she has a has a high % winning jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 3-3-0).
1 – Amaterasu – She drops in class today, may improve while returning to dirt and switches to a high % winning trainer.
2 – Ayeartoremember – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
6 – Summary Judgment – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 52% of the races, winning 29% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 33% of the races and has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
Alternate:
4 – Flashndynamite
10 – Unadulterated
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #1,2,6,8
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 7th Race – #6 – Dylan’s Ruby
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4 similar Discount but 8+ a Little Better
3 – FLAG SONG FLYIN – track dropper with most recent back class
6 – FAST GAL – little Z pattern – drops in class to lowest in last 10 – better fractions in last
2 – BYTHENUMBERS – Ness shipper from Delaware with a weight break that is improving
5 – KENTUCKY REIGN – best chance to go w2w – not a fan of Penn Shippers though
Race 2: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 21% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Best, 4 similar Discount but 8+ a Little Better
5 – EL DE JOSUE – +6 ES edge, 52% will be pacesetter, 60% Q30 – strong w2w candidate – track drop
3 – SCAMP WALKER – better pace in the first half mile in last, loves to finish ITM 17/1-4-6
6 – DREAMWITHINADREAM – resume says 2nd up should look something like the first – cut in distance could benefit
8 – THE MAN TO SEE – ML FAV, but not a fan of Penn Shippers
Race 3: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 Best and 4-7 Dinged a Little
2 – LIAM’S KISS – +6 ES edge, most back class and faster fractions last out
6 – HARPER BE GOOD – track and class dropper, if she is close to the pace, LS could put her over the edge
5 – KESTENNA – not much else past the top 2 – at this this one has been ITM 5/10 on fast
3 – SHE’S MYBUDDYBUDDY – sizable class drop and first up could offer some upside
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – SMOKIN HOLIDAY – winner at this level last out and tends to pair strong outings
4 – ROCKET DRAGON – speed, strong chance to challenge early – distance 7/1-2-3
5 – I DON’T SEE COLORS – basically all or nothing at PARX 7/2-1-0 – the 2nd by a neck to top pick as the favorite last out
1 – DISTURBED – probably has the most upside in the race and will be closing while a lot of the others want to be forward
Race 5: 7 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Only 2 Races – Mid Pack Types – 1 from the Rail the other 4-7
11 – GETAWAY PALACE – top TOTAL PACE +10 – only concern is there is a lot of other ES
3 – JEANNE MARIE – resume says a big move forward is possible in the 2nd up
8 – PLEASANT DREAMS – undefeated in a pair on Parx grass – will stalk or close – maybe the best setup for her running style
12 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – can’t ever pass on Paco in a competitive race
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 Best and 4-7 Dinged a Little
3 – THE GATEKEEPER – class dropper where either of the last two race probably wins
4 – STATELY ORDER – track and possible class dropper with Paco and plenty of upside
1 – STRASSE – chance to really improve in 2nd up
7 – CISCO KID – smoked them for the MCL 16k win last out – first time making 3 starts in a row – let’s take a shot
Race 7: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – DYLAN’S RUBY – good chance to be pacesetter, but will have company Q35 horse
3 – MAC DADDY TOO – drops in class after track dropping last out with much better EP
5 – LOST AND CONFUSED – can’t overlook Ness and Silvera – will need to improve though
2 – HUMBLE JOE – inside position helps, especially with the 1 scratched
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
7 – MR. ANTONELLI – most upside -track dropper and just runs bullets – fast horse
1 – THE MONOPOLY MAN – track dropper that Kendrick comes into ride
5 – UNCLE WINCHESTER – improved both races after debut, including TLSRP#
4 – BIG Z OG – 3 SP# increases since debut, two bullet works between races
Race 9: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 42% w2w – PP: Inside 3 a Small Bump, 4-7 Discounted, 8+ Best
2 – AYEARTOREMEMBER – weight break and top TOTAL PACE +7
8 – LAMASCO – CV suggests a major move forward in 3rd up
10 – UNADULTERATED – ITM 9/1-0-5 at the distance and will be closing
6 – SUMMARY JUDGMENT – again, can’t overlook PACO in a contested field
