PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 9-17-2024
Race 1
5 – El Hermano – He ran 2nd in his last race, today’s distance will not be a problem and he has high % winning trainer.
2 – Dixie’s Two Stents – He has a high % winning trainer and the highest last race speed rating.
8 – Hurricane Highway – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Henrythethird – He drops in class today and he can handle the distance.
Alternate:
4 – Super John
Race 2
2 – Carbonite – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has a highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
5 – I Feelucky Tonite – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Dunphy – He comes in to try PARX Racing for the first time, drops in class today, has a high % winning trainer and switches a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Mask Patrol – He drops in class today and has high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
1 – What a Blast
4 – Ryan’s Fleet
Bet: $5.00 Win & $10.00 Place: #2
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5,6/2,3/4,5/1,3,4,7,9– Cost $50.00
Race 3 -Female
2 – Secret Life – She has won both of her career races, drops in class today and has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Sirani – She won her last race at PARX Racing by 8-lenghts and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Burning Embers – She has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % winning jockey and the rail post is winning at a 18% clip.
Longshot:
5 – Bright Kohana – She has won two races out of the last three starts, has a trainer who wins 33% of the races when he drops a horse off a win.
Alternate:
6 – Raichu
4 – Brooklyn Heights
Race 4
5 – Ego Man – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Sueno Profundo – He finished in the money in five out of the last six starts, winning two of the starts and he has high % winning trainer.
2 – Jw’strickymischief – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Aggrandize – He drops in class today and he likes the distance.
Alternate:
6 – My Devils Child
Bet: $5.00 Win & $10.00 Place: #5
$.50 Pick 4: #4,5/1,3,4,6,7,9/2,5,6,7/10,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
4 – Rumint – She won her last race at PENN National and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 44% of the races when he drops a horse off after a win.
3 – Khozy Colby – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Far Heart – She finished in the money in four out of the last six starts at PARX Racing, winning two of the starts, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and can improve at the shorter distance.
Longshot:
9 – Why Not Babe – She finished 3rd in her last race at PARX Racing, winning the race before and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
7 – Aztec Bay
6 – Gryphon’s Wings
Race 6
7 – Trumptastic – He finished 3rd in his last race, switches to a high% trainer, can improve while returning to a sprint and he has a good 5F workout (Sep-11).
6 – Addyson’s Dream – He ran 2nd in his last race, switches to a high % winning jockey and he has the highest last race speed rating.
5 – Arrogancy – His early speed running style helps his chances so the shorter distance should help and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
2 – Betta Go Go Go – He finished in the money in the last four starts, he has a trainer who wins 23% of the races in the 1st start with this trainer and he has a good 3F workout on Sep-07.
Alternate:
3 – Harp’s Hot Corner
$.50 Pick 3: 2,5,6,7/10,11/4,5 – Cost $8.00
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5,6,7/6,8,10,11/4/6,8,10,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 7
11 – American Unity – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.
10 – Big Beautiful Wall – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Shpilkes – He finished in the money in three starts at PARX Racing, winning two races and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Hoku – He has won two out of three starts at PARX Racing and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
4 – More Than Work
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #6,8,10,11
Race 8
4 – Prince Colton – He has finished in the money in nine of his last ten starts, winning three of the starts and he has high % winning trainer.
5 – Silent Mode – He has won two out of three starts at PARX Racing and he has high % winning trainer.
2 – Splendor Beauty – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Hey Porter – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Lucky Dude
6 – Big Boys Answer
Bet: $30.00 Win: #4 – $5.00 DD: 4/6,8,10,12
Race 9
6 – Tycoon – He won his last three races in a row and he has a high % winning trainer.
8 – Assembly Point – He has won his last race, has the highest last race speed rating and he has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
10 – Singinthruthestorm – He has won two out of the last three starts and he has high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
12 – Runyonesque – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Caughtandcollected
7 – Roman Empire
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #4 – Prince Colton
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 Best and 4-7 Dinged a Little
4 – SUPER JOHN – let’s start with a lone E that has strong chance to get the lead
5 – EL HERMANO – probable favorite – 3rd up – but regressed in last three race series, followed the same pattern so far
2 – DIXIE’S TWO STENTS – drops in class – has some strong LS and won’t be too far behind vs these – but tr 0-17 off the claim and horse 0-8 at the distance
8 – HURRICANE HIGHWAY – third at this level last out – can really turn on the jets late – but can’t fall too far off the pace early
Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
1 – WHAT A BLAST – Track dropper – been facing better – has some ES and decent works at Parx
5 – I FEELUCKY TONITE – Parx 5/1-0-4 – maybe better in 2nd up
2 – CARBONITE – Paco on the class drop, 2nd up and some quicker fractions last out
6 – DUNPHY -Ness Horse, track and class drop
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
Let’s take a couple of shots at beating the 3/5 favorite
2 – SECRET LIFE – +8 Top TOTAL PACE, maybe most upside making just 3rd start and you don’t know how good a horse is until it loses
5 – BRIGHT KOHANA – top PAR+ horse and track dropper with TLRSP#
3 – SIRANI – maybe too much early speed for the rest and wins as a low, low price
1 – BURNING EMBERS – rail benefit and really not much to beat in the other two
Race 4: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 56% w2w – PP: Small Rail Penalty, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Small Bonus – the more outside the better
5 – EGO MAN – loves short sprints 12/6-2-3
2 – JW’STRICKYMISCHIEF – best chance to go w2w – at a distance where 56% never give up the lead
4 – SUENO PROFUNDO – way better ATB in last and smoked the comp by 7 lengths – steps up
3 – AGGRANDIZE – running at the lowest level in last 10 – drops from a NGSTK
Race 5: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Big Inside Out Bias
4 – RUMINT – Ness/Silvera – class drop after faster fractions last out
3 – KHOZY COLBY – a couple of thirds in 2 at PARX – faster at 7f than 6 in the prior race
2 – WILDCAT GIRL – bounce back race coming in third up
1 – FAR HEART – tough call over the 9 – but has more ES and the rail is way better than post 9
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – ARROGANCY – track drop with an aggressive ES edge
7 – TRUMPTASTIC – another track dropper with Kendrick coming into ride
6 – ADDYSON’S DREAM – TLRSP# +5 – just rerun that – maintenance work between
3 – HARP’S HOT CORNER – PACO on a lightly raced horse that has been bet hard in both starts 3/5 and 2/5
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards Turf – Bias: 6 Races – Early Speed, 2 w2w – PP Big Rail Bonus, all else under Par
11 – AMERICAN UNITY – strong at the distance 7/2-1-3 won lone PARX grass go
6 – HOKU – another strong PARX turf runner 3/2-1-0 – much better EP last out
2 – MT SURIBACHI – too much of an inside advantage with the 1 scratched
9 – CASTAGNO – can’t pass on PACO in a contested races
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 Best and 4-7 Dinged a Little
5 – SILENT MODE – rerun last race – could be better in 2nd up
4 – PRINCE COLTON – if he can get to the front – going to be contested for sure
2 – SPLENDOR BEAUTY – better fractions last out and better LS
6 – BIG BOYS ANSWER – has plenty of upside -signs of life early and late in last
Race 9: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 41% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair, 2/3 Best and 4-7 Dinged a Little
8 – ASSEMBLY POINT – Paco again and just need to rerun his last race – peak race though
6 – TYCOON – claim and rise for top TOTAL PACE +6
1 – GREENER PASTURES – – 2nd race at PARX after track dropping – better in 2nd up
12 – RUNYONESQUE – drops in class after being much better in first half mile
