PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 9-2-2024
Race 1-Female
2 – Namora – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, has high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the1st start after claiming a horse and she switches to high % winning jockey.
1 – Sirani – She has high % winning trainer and jockey; the rail post is winning at a 19% clip and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
4 – Steal the Deal – She drops in class today; she has a high % winning jockey and blinkers are added today.
Longshot:
6 – Sweet Mischief – She ran 2nd in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Race 2-Female
4 – Ambitiously Placed – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 68% of the races, winning 32% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the races.
6 – Happy Union – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races in the 1st start after claiming a horse.
3 – Classy Miss – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, she has a trainer who wins 17% of the claiming races that he has a horse competing in, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
1 – Chloe Rose – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race and she drops in class today.
Alternate:
2 – Catti La Belle
7 – Tomarie
$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,6/1,2,3,7/2,5/2,3,5,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3 -Female
7 – Bahama Pearl – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, her early speed running style helps chances so shorter distance should help.
1 – Morgans Cove – She won her last race at PENN National and she has high % winning trainer.
2 – Heart Light – She has won three races out of last four starts and she has the highest last race speed rating.
Longshot:
3 – Seeking the Dream – She drops in class today and has high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when dropping a horse Down 2+ classes and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
5 – Sirenetta
6- She’s Got Game
Race 4
5 – Level Up – He finished in the money in four out of five starts at PARX Racing, winning two of the starts and he finished in the money in four out of five starts at today’s distance, winning one of the starts and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Prince Colton – He has never finished out of the money at PARX Racing, running 3rd vs similar in his last race, he has high % winning trainer.
3 – Melt With You – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
1 – Hermoso Hombre – He came in from Gulfstream Park and won his only start at PARX Racing and at today’s distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Traffic Master
6 – Noneedtoworry
$.50 Pick 4: #1,2,3,5/2,3,5,7/1,4,5/1,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
3 – Aaraj – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race at Saratoga, drops in class today, switches to a high % jockey and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Secured Landing – He has finished in the money in last the three races, running 2nd vs similar in his last race only missing by a neck, returning to a sprint should help and he has a high % winning trainer.
7 – Jackson Road – He ran 3rd vs similar in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has high % winning jockey and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-22.
Longshot:
5 – Humble Joe – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
4 – Khopesh
Race 6
5 – Real Talk – He has finished in the money in last the five races, winning one of the starts and running 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 2nd start after claiming a horse.
4 – Dr. Steve – He finished 3rd (on AW) in his last race so he can improve while returning to dirt and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-24.
1 – Magicnthemoonlight – He finished in the money in four out of five starts, winning one of the starts, drops in class today and the rail post is winning at 23% clip.
Longshot:
6 – Capital Conquest – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race and drops in class today.
Alternate:
3 – Don’t Wait Up
7 – Midlaner
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #5 – $10.00 DD: 5/7
Race 7
7 – Divine Miracle – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick; he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has high % winning trainer.
1 – Horse Be With You – He won his last race, switches to a high % jockey and he has high % winning trainer.
4 – My Redemption – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Yes Sir Colonel – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 51% of the races, winning 23% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 48% of the races, winning 24% of the races.
Alternate:
6 – Hoku
2 – Hey Porter
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #7
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5,7/1,5,7/1,5/1,2,7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
7 – Tyrona – She won her last race at PARX Racing, has been away for 2-months plus but has been working out in preparation for this start and she has a trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a horse back after being 46-90 days away.
1 – True Phenomenon – She ran 2nd in her last race, can improve while returning to a route and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Mollewantacracker – She has won four races out of the last six starts and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Pachelbel – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a trainer who wins 32% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse.
Alternate:
2 – Brown Suga Babe
6 – Center Stage
Race 9
5 – Exit Right – He has won two out of the last three races, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
1 – Winnin’onweekends – He won his last race at PARX Racing, has the highest last race speed rating (tie), the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Chelonian – He has won two of his last three races, he has a high % winning jockey and he has a bullet 5F workout on Aug-24.
Longshot:
2 – Morethanafeeling – He has run 2nd in three of four races at PARX Racing and he has high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Onlygodcanjudgeme
Race 10-Female
2 – Alma Brilha – She has been knocking at the door in her last three races running 2nd, today is her breakout day and has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Royal Upstart – She ran 2nd in her last race at 6-1/2 furlongs closing to only miss by a neck and stretches out to 1-mile, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Apollonia Vitelli – She should improve while returning to dirt and she has a trainer who wins 24% of the races with horses in Maiden Claiming.
Longshot:
8 – Faux Pas – She finished 3rd in her last race, she can improve while returning to a route and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Spanish Girl
6 – Gwen Stacy
Bet: $5.00 Exacta Box: #1,2,7
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #5 – Real Talk
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
2 – NAMORA – 3SP# increases in row before heading to the bench, a pair of solid works prepping
7 – TREASURE PEACE – a run back to her May 4 race is a winner – only 4 yo in the race 30Q
1 – SIRANI – sizable drop in class – lowest level of career
4 – STEAL THE DEAL – definitely trending up – held speed longer and catches a weight break today
Race 2: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair – 4-7 Dinged a little
4 – AMBITIOUSLY PLACED – held speed longer in last – better ATB and chance to build in 3rd up
2 – CATTI LA BELLE – faster by about a second in her last
3 – CLASSY MISS – 2nd in her last – drops a little in class
5 – LIPLOCK – drops in class and her last three dirt races threaten – will be closing
Race 3: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 57% w2w – PP: Outside In
2 – HEART LIGHT – ITM 8/9 at PARX – 4 of 14 elsewhere – horse for the course – long layoff & Drop?
7 – BAHAMA PEARL – should head to the front and see if she can stay there
1 – MORGANS COVE – commanding win at Penn in last – not a fan of Penn ships – distance 3/0-3-0
3 – SEEKING THE DREAM – terrible in the last two –most back class – Z pattern so signs of life?
Race 4: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair – 4-7 Dinged a little
3 – MELT WITH YOU – Ness horse marking Parx debut – two solid works since last at Delaware
2 – PRINCE COLTON – better pace late in last – usually forward – Parx 5/2-0-3
1 – HERMOSO HOMBRE – scored last out after track dropping from GP – rises up in 3rd off the bench
5 – LEVEL UP – consistent performer – expecting a little regression today after pairing peak numbers
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 21% w2w – PP: Inside Three Bonus, 4+ Same discount
2 – SECURED LANDING – a neck from being undefeated in two at PARX – either of those races will do
3 – AARAJ – Saratoga track dropper – finally healthy making 2nd start for the first time – being in for the price is curious
7 – JACKSON ROAD – strong chance to the pacesetter with Q42 –
5 – HUMBLE JOE – going to be coming at the end with plenty of speed to chase
Race 6: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out
5 – REAL TALK – top Total Pace +7, a repeat of his last Parx outing gets the job done again
1 – MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT – rail bonus and when he gets to the front – watchout – no worse than co-pilot today
7 – MIDLANER – resume says to expect a nice move forward in 2nd up – Aug 19th work says a good one is coming
3 – DON’T WAIT UP – Ness/Pennington – looking to rewind to May 4th effort at Parx
Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair – 4-7 Dinged a little
1 – HORSE BE WITH YOU – better ATB in last – good chance to be on the front and improve in second off the sidelines – got to tack a crack at what’s sure to be one of the biggest favorites of the day
7 – DIVINE MIRACLE – won 11 of 24 at Parx – here is the catch – awful the last 2 times off the sidelines – top Total Pace +15
5 – YES SIR COLONEL – better 2/4 pace, fractions and has proven he can reach par for this level
6 – HOKU – hasn’t run many on dirt in 17 starts, but 2/0-1-1 when he did
Race 8: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair – 4-7 Dinged a little
4 – PACHELBEL – rerun her last race and she is the winner, much better ATB – 2nd up improvement
7 – TYRONA – raced at Parx for the 1st time last out – easy win – at this level
6 – CENTER STAGE – forget her last on grass – OK turf runner, strong fast dirt – 9/1-3-4
2 – BROWN SUGA BABE – can’t leave Sanchez and Ness combo off your ticket – should probably be higher
Race 9: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out
5 – EXIT RIGHT – right track 30/14-8-4 – right distance 24/12-4-3 – runs well fresh – good works
6 – CHELONIAN – all ort nothing at PARX 5/3-0-0 – two excellent works between races
1 – WINNIN’ONWEEKENDS – another that is mostly boom or bust in Bensalem – 15/5-0-1 – can show electric late speed
2 – MORETHANAFEELING – should be part of the early going with top Q score
Race 10: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Squeezed, 8+ Best
1 – ROYAL UPSTART – just missed at this level last out
7 – APOLLONIA VITELLI – lowest level at Parx
2 – ALMA BRILHA – 4 seconds in last 5 races, but coming up on class
8 – FAUX PAS – strong chance to be pacesetter
