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PARX Racing Picks Live Stream – Sept 24, 2024 – Horse Racing Today

PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers

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Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:

PARX Racing – 9-24-2024

Race 1

7 – Fully Committed – He finished 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer.

5 – Rolly – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the races with horses in maiden claiming races, and the shorter distance should help.

9 – Why Stop There – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

8 – Pacific States – He has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a good 4F workout on Sep-14.

Alternate:

4 – Texas Air Force

3 – Lord Seabee

Race 2-Female

2 – Bitcoin Baby – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today, she has a high % winning jockey and she switches to a high % winning trainer.

1 – Rock Me Gently – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her only start, drops in class today and the rail post is winning at a18% clip.

6 – Deadly Angel – She is a first-time starter; she has a trainer who wins 18% of the races with horses in maiden claiming races and she has a good 3F workout on Sep-18.

Longshot:

5 – Imperio Azteca – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

3 – Brownisthenewblack

4 – Internet Bidder

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,5,6/2,4,5,6/6/1,5,6,7 – Cost $48.00

Race 3 -Female

6 – Vitaemi – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

5 – Leviosa – She finished in the money in three out of the last four starts, winning two of the starts, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.

4 – Forest Maiden – She finished 3rd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance.

Longshot:

2 – Matty Bo – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 36% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 25% of the races.

Alternate:

1 – Erin’s Enthusiasm

3 – Gia’s Fuego

Bet: $10.00 Win # 6

Race 4-Female

6 – Emirates Affair – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.

2 – Ambitiously Placed – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she switches to a high % winning trainer.

4 – Black Ice – She ran 2nd in her last race and has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Flashndynamite – She ran 2nd in her last race and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

5 – Our Uptown Girl

$.50 Pick 4: 2,6/1,3,5,6,7/6,7/1,2,3,5,7– Cost $50.00

Bet: $10.00 Win # 6

Race 5

5 – Level Up – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 66% of the races, winning 17% of the races.

7 – Dance a Dini – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and can handle the distance.

6 – Marvelousmoondance – He ran 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

1 – Book Runner – He switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races with horses when he drops them off a claim and he has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

3 – Booster Shot

8 – I’m Not a Baby

Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #1,5,6,7

Race 6

7 – Harley’s Charly – He won his last race at PARX Racing, he likes the distance finishing in the money in eight of nine races, winning three starts and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Flat Lucky – He has won two races out of the last three starts, finishing 3rd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again and he has a high % winning jockey.

4 – Six Whips – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

9 – Peach Nectar – He drops in class today; he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has and he has a high % winning jockey.

Alternate:

8 – He’s Incredible

1 – Shadow Box

$.50 Pick 4: 6,7 /1,2,3,5/1,7,8,10/1,5,10 – Cost $48.00

Bet: $15.00 Win & $25.00 Place: #7 – $6.00 DD: 7/1,2,3,5

Race 7

3 – Chelonian – He ran 2nd vs tougher in his last race at PARX Racing, drops in class today, he switches to a high % winning trainer who wins 60% of the races in the 1st race after claiming a horse and he switches to a has a high % winning jockey.

1 – Wish for Peace – He ran 3rd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

2 – Roadtriptonowhere – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 65% of the races, winning 25% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 71% of the races, winning 19% of the races and he switches to a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

5 -Roan Mountain – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and he has a high % winning jockey.

Race 8-Female

10 – Paula’s Surprise – She won her last race at PENN National; she switches to high % winning jockey Paco Lopez and she has a bullet 4F workout on Sep-13.

1 – Snappy Ride – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 22% clip and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the sprint races he has a horse running in.

8 – Shetalkstomuch – She ran 2nd in her last race, she has a high % winning jockey and switches to a high % winning trainer.

Longshot:

7 – That’stony’ssister – She won her last race; she has a high % winning jockey and switches to a high % winning trainer who win 27% of the races when taking a horse from a sprint-route-sprint.

Alternate:

6 – Tootaloo Kangaroo

Bet: $1.00 DD: #1,10/1,5

Race 9

1 – Borracho Concho – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, the rail post is winning at a18% clip, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

5 – Birthday Bond Rob – He drops in class today; he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning jockey.

10 – Double O Otto – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race and he has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

8 – Z’s So Good – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning jockey.

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 6th Race – #7 – Harley’s Charly

Rich’s Picks:

Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out

9 – WHY STOP THERE – only semi class dropper – missed by a neck at this level 2 back

7 – FULLY COMMITTED – track drop from Monmouth park and missed by a neck at this level last out

5 – ROLLY – should be forward from the start – cut back from 7f helps

1 – BUBBY PAPERMAKER – gets the rail, 3rd up and packs some late punch – closers factored yesterday

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out

1 – ROCK ME GENTLY – typical 2nd race improvement is all she needs

2 – BITCOIN BABY – showed speed for the first time last out and just missed – more in 2nd up

3 – BROWNISTHENEWBLACK – best work for the first timers and gets a weight break

5 – IMPERIO AZTECA – only MSW dropper that was decently bet – seems like an aggressive drop for second career start – they want to sell for sure

Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out

6 – VITAEMI – running at the lowest level in the last 10

4 – FOREST MAIDEN – SIM FAV – most LS and should be right off the pace

5 – LEVIOSA – most consistent PARX runner – all or nothing at the distance 21/4-0-0

2 – MATTY BO – lowest level in last 10 with the most back class

Race 4: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 22% w2w – PP: Inside Three Best, 4+ Discount, but 8+ Better than 4-7

2 – AMBITIOUSLY PLACED – winner 2 in a row, upped SP# last 3, better pace early

6 – EMIRATES AFFAIR – 3rd up, substantial drop in class, won the last two with ease when running close  – but a cut below – this level

4 – BLACK ICE – 3rd start after a layoff, better ATB, faster fractions

5 – OUR UPTOWN GIRL – bullet work between races – maybe ready to come alive?

Race 5: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with 4-7 a Little Discounted

3 – BOOSTER SHOT – ran a little faster last out, drops in class, won by 3 the last time he ran here

5 – LEVEL UP – faster early fractions in last – maintenance work for more fitness today

7 – DANCE A DINI – trending in the right direction, has a lot of LS at times, lowest level in last 10

4 – LUCKY LUCKY LUKE – has some late legs, maybe gained some confidence after winning last by more than 8 lengths?

Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out

8 – HE’S INCREDIBLE – any of his races before his last wins, not sure what to make of his last as the first in a new barn after a claim, big drop to lowest level in last 10 – +7 TOTAL PACE

6 – FLAT LUCKY – last race better than it looks, faster fractions, just needs to run two back

4 – SIX WHIPS – getting better – stumbled last out, move to the inside helps

1 – SHADOW BOX – really hard call over the 7 – rail is better and his PARX numbers are better too

Race 7: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair with 4-7 a Little Discounted

2 – ROADTRIPTONOWHERE – top TOTAL PACE +6 – ran faster last out – highly consistent

5 – ROAN MOUNTAIN – one of two mounts for PACO – horse has responded well for him – much better pace in first half

3 – CHELONIAN – won 3 of 6 at PARX and just 3 of 21  elsewhere – cutting back from 1 1/16 Miles could help

7 – THIRSTY PAPPY – Parx 8/4-2-1 – distance 7/3-2-0 and prefer over the PENN shipper

Race 8: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 34% w2w – PP: Inside Out

2 – SUNDRIA – won last out, tends to pair peak numbers, although it might not look like a drop in class  – let’s rewind a race OC 25k par Speed # is 89 – this is 86

1 – SNAPPY RIDE – 3rd up and the resume says today will be the best of the 3

4 – THEGODDESSOFSNAKES – should press forward versus these – cut back in distance helps

10 – PAULA’S SURPRISE – the other PACO mount, bullet work between races, but PENN shipper

Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 37% w2w – PP: Inside Out

5 – BIRTHDAY BOND ROB – drops in class with TLRSP# +6 and has a maintenance work

1 – BORRACHO CONCHO – history says 2nd up should be as good as last with a chance to be a lot better

3 – MILAGROSO – top TOTAL PACE +6 – most LS and sits 3rd or 4th early – chance to run by late

8 – Z’S SO GOOD – will be out front with the 1 and has hit par for this level

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