PARX Racing Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free PARX Racing Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks:
PARX Racing – 9-3-2024
Race 1
6 – Borracho Concho – He drops in class today, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Scamp Walker – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today
and he has a high % winning trainer.
5 – My Man Woody – His early speed running style helps chances and his best dirt speed is faster than the Avg Winning Speed.
Longshot:
1 – Chasin’ Whiskey – He drops in class today and the rail post is winning at a 19% clip.
Alternate:
4 – The Grayt Pumpkin
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,6/3,4,6/3,4,5,6/1,3– Cost $48.00
Race 2-Female
6 – Corona Campione – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 55% of the races, winning 36% of the races, she has an early foot so the cut back in distance should be a plus and she has high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Dorothy’s the Boss – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and she has high % winning trainer who wins 18% of the claiming races he has a horse competing in.
3 – Wildcat Girl – She has the highest last race speed rating; her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Raichu – She finished in the money in three races out of five starts at PARX Racing, winning one of the races and she has a high % trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
2 – Aztec Bay
1 – All Hail Mo
$.50 Pick 4: 4,6/3,4,5,6/1/1,4,5,6,7,9– Cost $48.00
Race 3 -Female
5 – Shudabeenacowgirl – She won her last race at PARX Racing earning the highest last race speed rating and she has high % winning jockey Paco Lopez.
6 – Twist Her – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 10% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the races.
3 – Snow Lake – She has been knocking at the door finishing in 2nd in her last three races and she has a good 4F workout on Aug-14.
Longshot:
4 – Seeyouatthehop – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race and her best dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Alternate:
1 – Emily’s On Fire
2- Lucky Opportunity
Bet: $2.00 DD: #3,5,6/1
Race 4
1 – Dreamwithinadream – He won his last race at PARX Racing; the rail post is winning at a 21% clip and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Hey What’s Up – He has high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races in the 2nd race off a layoff and his early speed running style helps chances.
6 – Free Bird Bordo – He finished 3rd in his last race, drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
4 – Surfboard – He finished 3rd in his last race, drops in class today and he has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
2 – Badbadbobby
8 – Bointheback
Bet: $10.00 Win & $20.00 Place: #1 – $5.00 Exacta: #1/3,4,6 – $$2.00 DD: 1/ALL
Race 5
4 – River’s Gamble – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 4 winners from 4 starters and 1 stakes winner and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Okie Den Den – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Bottles – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
9 – Twenty One Kid – He drops in class today and he has the highest last race speed rating.
$.50 Pick 4: #1,4,5,6,7,9/1,3/1,3,4,7/1,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 6
3 – Kick Startness – He won his last race at Delaware Park; his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has won four races out of seven starts.
1 – Rabbit – He is train by Scott Lake, ridden by Ruben Silvera and he is one for one at today’s distance.
5 – Marvelousmoondance – He drops in class today, has a high % jockey and has finished in the money in 60% of the starts at today’s distance.
Longshot:
6 – Ferrari Kid – His early speed running style helps his chances and he has a bullet 4F workout on Aug-28.
Alternate:
2 – Staff Sergeant
Race 7 -Female
3 – Reclusive – He won his last race at Monmouth Park; drops in class today and he has the highest last race speed rating (tie).
7 – Emirates Affair – He won his last race at PARX Racing and he has high % winning trainer.
4 – Foggy Night – He likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 75% of the races, winning 38% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 100% of the races, winning 50% of the races.
Longshot:
1 – Talk to the Judge – He has won two races out of the last four starts; the rail post is winning at a18% clip and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Majestic Creed
2 – Queen Cadence
Race 8-Female
7 – Peyton’s College – She has won two races out of the last three starts, finishing 3rd vs similar in her last race and she can handle the distance.
1 – Hightime Valentine – She returns from competing in one race at PENN National to PARX where she had been in the money in the last four starts, winning the last race, drops in class today and the rail post is winning at a19% clip.
6 – Peacelovenkarma – She ran 2nd in her last race, has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Cedar Valley – She likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 41% of the races, winning 18% of the races, the distance will not be a problem finishing in the money in 50% of the races, winning 13% of the races.
Alternate:
9 – Castilleja
Bet: $1.00 Exacta Box: #1,6,7
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 4th Race – #1 – Dreamwithinadream
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – BORRACHO CONCHO – best chance to go w2w
2 – SCAMP WALKER – sneaky drop from open company to non winners – small Z
5 – MY MAN WOODY – biggest class dropper – maybe overmatched in last
4 – THE GRAYT PUMPKIN – another dropping from open company
Race 2: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 57% w2w – PP: Outside In
3 – WILDCAT GIRL – down in class and resume says this race will be better than the last in 2nd up
6 – CORONA CAMPIONE – probable FAV – seems like a suspicious drop – claimed two back at 12.5 – tried OC 25 on last – down to CLM 7500? – some profit on the win and claim
5 – RAICHU – better 2/4 pace last out – solid work between
1 – ALL HAIL MO – tough call over the 2, but more consistent, more upside, and better PARX/Distance numbers
Race 3: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – SEEYOUATTHEHOP – probably sitting on a career best race in 2ns up – big jump in only other second off the sidelines
1 – EMILY’S ON FIRE – better ATB in last
6 – TWIST HER – lowest level of career by a long shot – not in for a price – in for a check
5 – SHUDABEENACOWGIRL – 1 race with Paco – last – one win – Paco rides again
Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Strong Inside Out
6 – FREE BIRD BORDO – only horse to hit par for this level at any point if recent races – will be better in 2nd up and sneaky drop from open company to non winners
1 – DREAMWITHINADREAM – Pennington & Ness – runs well fresh and hot rail
3 – HEY WHAT’S UP – Lone E – lookout if he gets the lead – biggest class dropper by a mile
4 – SURFBOARD – TLRSP + 4 and drops in class
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – RIVER’S GAMBLE – highest scoring firster has the best work
5 – BOTTLES – some of the better breeding – maybe more fit with three 5f works
9 – TWENTY ONE KID – MSW dropper – only – showed nothing in debut – but respect the MSW drop
1 – OKIE DEN DEN – Ness – Silvera – can’t overlook, but breeding and works are blah
Race 6: 1 Mile 70 Yards – Bias: Early Speed, 40% w2w – PP: Mostly Fair – 4-7 Dinged a little
3 – KICK STARTNESS – really should run away with the race – but it is Parx – low odds – second place
6 – FERRARI KID – aside from the 3 – has the most upside – works prepping for today suggest we could see some of it
1 – RABBIT – the maiden win back in June is what’s need to topple the 3
2 – STAFF SERGEANT – longest shot in a 5 horse race – need to include
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 21% w2w – PP: Inside Three Bonus, 4+ Same discount
1 – TALK TO THE JUDGE – 3 is going to be the probable big fav – this one has 3 wins and a 3rd in 4 at ParX – fast work on AUG 28 says another strong effort coming in Bensalem
3 – RECLUSIVE – going to catch a lot of backing coming off the NGSTK win at Monmouth
4 – FOGGY NIGHT -Paco on a horse that’s competed at the highest levels – PARX 8/3-3-0
7 – EMIRATES AFFAIR – rerun last race and she’s a winner – 2nd up regression in past is the concern
Race 8: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Tactical Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – GAVICHI – should be the inside speed – the place to be
7 – PEYTON’S COLLEGE – sits off the pace and tries to run by as the lone PC
9 – CASTILLEJA – nice SIM overlay – usually running close to par for this level with most back class
1 – HIGHTIME VALENTINE – class dropper – does most damage when close to the front – should be middle forward
