We’re back at Parx Racing with nine races on a fast track, and Monday gave us a pretty clear message — speed was the best way to the winner’s circle.
The horses able to get forward and secure good early position held the advantage, so today we’ll be watching closely to see if that trend continues. If it does, the Smart Sheets could help us identify the horses positioned to take advantage before the betting public catches up.
And Monday ended exactly the way we wanted — Terry and Rich both closed out the show by hitting a nice Pick 4!
Today we’ll dig into % Chance to Lead, Early Pace, C-Zone, Total Pace, SIM Speed, SIM Odds and race shape as we search for the frontrunners, overlays and wagering opportunities that can keep the momentum rolling.
Yesterday’s bias gives us information. Today we find out if we can turn that information into money.
Nine races. Fast track. Let’s see if speed takes us back to the window.
Download Today’s Smart Sheet: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/11/PRX_20261103_e6e2e3_HRT.pdf
Smart Sheets Explanations: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/HRTSmartSheetsExplanations.pdf
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Race 1
6 ½ Furlongs – Inside 3 Speed
Terry’s Picks
8 – Light My Way: Finished in the money in the last 9 races, winning 3; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Indy Rags: Finished 3rd in last start; Switches to a high % jockey; Highest last race speed rating.
3 – Battle Anthem: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 64% of the races, winning 21% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 71% of the races, winning 29% of the starts.
Longshot:
2 – King Barou: Won 2 races in a row going for a hat trick; Can go the distance.
Alternate:
4 – Play the Gray
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,7,8/1,2,3,5/3,5/4,5
Cost: $40.00
Rich’s Picks
8 – LIGHT MY WAY – Paco on a 1st up horse, best published work runs well fresh – lone drop
3 – BATTLE ANTHEM – pacesetter with top Total Pace + 9 and standout CZONE
4 – PLAY THE GRAY – better EP/Fractions – cutting back in distance helps
7 – INDY RAGS – 2nd at Parx following NYRA drop – gets Sanchez today – a tell
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,8/3,5/2,3/1,2,4,5,6
Race 2
6 Furlongs – Inside Speed
Terry’s Picks
3 – Talented Man: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 56% of the races, winning 28% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 36% of the starts.
5 – Downtownchalybrown: Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
2 – Authentic Kingdom: Has won 33% of his career starts; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Longshot:
1 – Best Bet: Can improve at the shorter distance as he has an early foot.
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,5/3,5/4,5,6/4,8
Cost: $24.00
Rich’s Picks
5 – DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN – most upside with the 3 – better EP/Fractions and drops
3 – TALENTED MAN – on the pace as SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE
1 – BEST BET – longest shot in a 4 horse race
2 – AUTHENTIC KINGDOM – no horse – vs all yesses but could be better in the 2nd up
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,5/2,3/1,2,4,5,6/3,4,6
Race 3
6 Furlongs – Inside Speed
Terry’s Picks
3 – Keepinitrea: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
5 – Passionforglory: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus.
2 – Phantom Slayer: Won last race at Keenland; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
6 – Very Bad Guy: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Early speed running style helps chances; Can go the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Le Midi’s Treasure
Rich’s Picks
3 – KEEPINITREAL – SIM Speed +6 has to be at the top – Ness and Sanchez
2 – PHANTOM SLAYER – TLRSP# + 12 track dropper – pacesetter and most upside
5 – PASSIONFORGLORY – he should be better in the 2nd up – maybe a lot
1 – LE MIDI’S TREASURE
Race 4
1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed – Rail Best, 4+ Fair, 2/3 Need to work harder
Terry’s Picks
5 – Vino Dominus: Finished in the money in 4 out of the 5 races at PARX Racing, winning 1; Drops in class today; Switches to a high % winning jockey.
4 – Brentwood: Won last race at PARX Racing; High % winning trainer; Can go the distance.
6 – Fully Authorized: Switches to a high % winning trainer; Return to dirt offers hope for improvement.
Longshot:
2 – Iron Sharpens Iron: Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternates:
1 – Coach Clint
7 – Evasive Moves
Rich’s Picks
2 – IRON SHARPENS IRON – most upside in a bad race with the biggest in race edge +7 LS
5 – VINO DOMINUS – Sanchez off a bad run in last – if he gets forward
4 – BRENTWOOD – big win in last and tends to stay in form
6 – FULLY AUTHORIZED – could be on the lead versus these
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 2/1,4,5,6
Race 5 – Female
6 Furlongs – Inside Speed
Terry’s Picks
4 – Weekend Honor: Won last race; Highest last race speed rating; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
8 – She’s a Canny Lass: Won last race at Delaware; Strong jockey stats.
6 – Critical Magic: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Longshot:
9 – Breezefromtheeast: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternates:
2 – Instant Vision
3 – Coppedge
Rich’s Picks
3 – COPPEDGE – biggest class drop by a lot – trainer 30% 1st time claiming –
4 – WEEKEND HONOR – TLRSP# + 8 in June – some good works – 1st up – ehh
6 – CRITICAL MAGIC – should contest the lead with the most upside
9 – BREEZEFROMTHEEAST – will be coming late and tough call over a few others
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 3/4,6,8,9
Race 6 – Female
5 ½ Furlongs – Early Inside Speed
Terry’s Picks
8 – Tiz Ziffy: In the money in all 4 career starts, with 2 wins; Unbeaten at today’s distance.
4 – Extrasexyzqteepeye: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 73% of the races, winning 13% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 75% of the races, winning 25% of the starts.
6 – Avatude: Won last race at PARX Racing; High % winning trainer and Jockey and this combo in last 14 days (9 3-2-1).
Longshot:
1 – Hopeforgreatness: 2nd vs similar last race; Rail wins at 27%; Strong trainer/jockey stats.
Alternates:
7 – Jump a Fox
5 – Eake
Terry’s Suggested Wagers
$.50 Pick 4: 4,8/3,4/6,9/1,2,3,5,7,9
Cost: $36.00
$10.00 Win: 8
$5.00 Exacta Box: 4/8
$3.00 Exacta Box: 1,4,6,8
Cost: $56.00
Rich’s Picks
5 – EAKE – Paco on second up horse – SIM FAV that should be forward – biggest drop w/2
8 – TIZ ZIFFY – ugg – what to do with this guy Parx 2/0-2-0 both wins at Penn
2 – BAILOUT BILLY – inside speed – should have more stamina – same drop as the 5
7 – JUMP A FOX – most upside in the race – consistent but back to back wins – not often
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,8/4/2,6/1,2,5,6
Race 7
6 ½ Furlongs – Inside 3 Speed
Terry’s Picks
4 – Nikki’s Charm: In the money in all 5 career starts, with 3 wins; High-win-rate trainer and jockey.
3 – Flyin Hawaiian: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
6 – Respighi: Finished in the money in 4 out of the 6 races at PARX Racing, winning 1; High % winning trainer and Jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Au Some Warrior: Rail wins at 19%; Trainer wins 37% second start after claim; Fastest Best Dirt Speed among today’s starters.
Alternate:
2 – Okie Den Den
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$20.00 Win: 4
$10.00 Exacta Box: 3/4
$5.00 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,3,6
Cost: $50.00
Rich’s Picks
4 – NIKKI’S CHARM – TLRSP# +3 and tops most Smart Stat with top TOTAL PACE +7
1 – AU SOME WARRIOR – Motley Crue horse with a wild side PPs –most upside – SIM FAV
3 – FLYIN HAWAIIAN – Paco – and up and down horse – solid work between starts
2 – OKIE DEN DEN – only horse to be better 5 ways
Race 8
1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed – Rail Best, 4+ Fair, 2/3 Need to work harder
Terry’s Picks
6 – Preacha Meyers: Won 2 straight, seeking a third; High-win-rate trainer and jockey.
9 – Happy Offering: Finished in the money in 9 out of the last 10 races, winning 4; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
4 – Red Zone Runner: Finished in the money in 3 out of the 4 races at PARX Racing, winning 2; Good4F workout (Oct-24); Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Longshot:
7 – Freedom’s Echo: Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternate:
2 – Waitlist
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$10.00 Win: 6
$5.00 Exacta Box: 6/9
$5.00 Exacta Key Box: 6/2,4,7
Cost: $50.00
Rich’s Picks
6 – PREACHA MEYERS – TLRSP + 5 – most upside – Parx 5/4-1-0
2 – WAITLIST – the other 4 want to be forward – if the pace is hot – runs by them all +6LS
9 – HAPPY OFFERING – first at Parx – never off the ITM 6/6 at distance – Top SIM Speed
4 – RED ZONE RUNNER – could be lone E – plenty of upside in 2nd up
Race 9
6 ½ Furlongs – Inside 3 Speed
Terry’s Picks
1 – Guapo Again: 2nd last race; Rail wins at 19%; High-win-rate trainer wins 75% when dropping off a claim; High-win-rate jockey.
5 – Frost Mountain: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race, winning the previous 3 races; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
2 – Amusing Mischief: Finished in the money in 6 out of the last 7 races, winning 2; Strong trainer and jockey stats; Good 4F workout (Oct-28).
Longshot:
7 – Young Squire: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternates:
9 – Time Tested
3 – Roan Burgundy
Rich’s Picks
1 – GUAPO AGAIN – 3 SP# Increases with TLRSP# +3 – drops
5 – FROST MOUNTAIN – SIM FAV and SIM Speed Fav – by far best chance to run a par race
2 – AMUSING MISCHIEF – Sanchez on a Parx AoN 8/3-0-0
6 – MY KID SYD – another wild side horse with most upside and 2nd up pop potential
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,5,6,7
Terry’s Best Bet of the Day
PARX Racing – Race 7 – #4 Nikki’s Charm
4 – Nikki’s Charm: In the money in all 5 career starts, with 3 wins; High-win-rate trainer and jockey.
Terry’s Best Bet Wagers
$20.00 Win: 4
$10.00 Exacta Box: 3/4
$5.00 Exacta Key Box: 4/1,3,6
Cost: $50.00
