We’re back at Parx Racing with nine races Tuesday, and after a solid Money Monday, there’s one question we want answered early: does speed still have the edge?
Monday treated us pretty well, with Pick 4s, exactas and win bets coming home, and for the most part, horses with early speed had the advantage. If that bias carries over, identifying today’s likely frontrunners before the betting public adjusts could be one of the biggest keys to the card.
Rich and Terry will put the Smart Sheets to work looking at % Chance to Lead, C-Zone, Early Pace, Total Pace, SIM Speed and SIM Odds to find the horses best positioned to take advantage.
But yesterday’s bias doesn’t automatically become today’s bias. We’ll watch the early races, see how the surface is playing and adjust accordingly.
Download Today’s Smart Sheet: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/PRX_20261020_bad3c2_HRT.pdf
Smart Sheets Explanations: https://horseracingtoday.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/HRTSmartSheetsExplanations.pdf
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Race 1 – Female
7 Furlongs – Early Speed, Inside Out
Terry’s Picks
7 – Bulma: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
5 – Sweetbitters: Drops in class today; Has a high winning trainer who wins 25% of races when taking a horse down 2+ classes; High % winning jockey.
3 – Candy Kane: Drops in class today; Best Dirt speed is close to the Avg Winning Speed.
Longshot:
6 – My Last Dime: Has a high % winning trainer wins 19% of Sprints.
Alternate:
9 – Lady Amelie
Rich’s Picks
7 – BULMA – YES horse TLRSP# +4 – DQed out of a win at this level last out – +8 SIM Speed
8 – COCOA NIMBUS – YES horse – longshot 3rd up and top TOTAL PACE
5 – SWEETBITTERS – should be forward and biggest class dropper
3 – CANDY KANE – most LS – maybe -1
Race 2
6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 41% w2w – Small Inside Out
Terry’s Picks
2 – Filled With Desire: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters.
7 – Duke of Suggins: Drops in class today; Has a high winning trainer and jockey.
9 – Dirty Cash: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 40% of the races, winning 20% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 50% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.
Longshot:
6 – We Miss Neil: Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus.
Alternates:
3 – Basin Bay
8 – Disco Rhodes
Rich’s Picks
2 – FILLED WITH DESIRE – off since May – TLRSP# +22 then +8 SIM SP# and TOTAL PACE
6 – WE MISS NEIL – standout C ZONE – super consistent with a decent work between races
7 – DUKE OF SUGGINS – left arrow YES horse – class dropper
1 – CATALINA CREE – could put many here – taking the biggest dropper – 2nd at Parx
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,6,7/4,8/3,6/1,5,6,8,10
Race 3 – Female
6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 41% w2w – Small Inside Out
Terry’s Picks
5 – Mischief Maxey: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 83% of the races, winning 17% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 100% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.
4 – Mamarsha: Early speed running style helps chances; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
7 – Western Woman: Early speed running style helps chances; May improve at the shorter distance; Paco Lopez in the irons.
Longshot:
8 – Rogue Justice: Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats: Can go the distance.
Alternate:
2 – Sherunsthistown
Rich’s Picks
4 – MAMARSHA – maybe too much early speed +6 and only YES
8 – ROGUE JUSTICE – TLRSP#+4 – tied for the biggest drop
5 – MISCHIEF MAXEY – solid at PArX 6/1-2-2 – room for growth in 2nd up
7 – WESTERN WOMAN – Paco on a price – should be forward
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 4/2,5,7,8
Race 4
7 Furlongs – Early Speed, Inside Out
Terry’s Picks
2 – Rogue Prince: Ran 2nd in last race; only missing by a nose; Switches to a high % winning jockey; Has a high % winning trainer.
6 – World Wide Web: Drops in class today; Has a trainer wins 25% races when taking a horse down 2+ classes; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; High % winning Jockey and trainer.
5 – Glider Infantry: Gate trouble compromised his last race; a better trip should help. Trainer wins 25% moving horses from Maiden to Maiden Claiming; switches to a high-percentage winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Zamirzo: Finished in the money in 2 out of the 4 career races; a high-percentage jockey.
Alternates:
10 – Just Another Ten
9 – Silver Punch
Rich’s Picks
6 – WORLD WIDE WEB – YES horse +6 TOTAL PACE – most upside – standout C ZONE
3 – ZAMIRZO – SIM FAV – top PAR+ by a wide margin – only 5th start
2 – ROGUE PRINCE – Paco – maybe 1 – should be involved early
5 – GLIDER INFANTRY – 2nd race potential – moves to Snachez – really any could go here
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 6/2,3,4,5
Race 5 – Female
1 Mile – Early Speed, Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Fair
Terry’s Picks
10 – Literary: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Switches to a high % winning jockey; High % winning trainer.
8 – Peach Perfect: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie); Strong trainer and jockey stats.
6 – True Phenomenon: Drops in class today; Has a high winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Wow Lucky: Finished 3rd vs tougher in last race; Highest last race speed rating; Rail post is winning at 25% clip.
Alternates:
4 – Waitwaitdonttellme
5 – Zoning Order
Rich’s Picks
10 – LITERARY – SIM SP# + 5 with Top TOTAL PACE
8 – PEACH PERFECT – Ness horse with plenty of upside and drops
5 – ZONING ORDER – 2nd race pop potential – right distance 4/18 and 1/9 at others
1 – WOW LUCKY – TLRSP# +4 – better EP/Fractions and tied for the biggest drop
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 10/1,5,6,8
Race 6
1 Mile – Early Speed, Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Fair
Terry’s Picks
3 – Sunday Spirit: Ran 2nd vs tougher in last race; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning jockey; Has a high % winning trainer wins 17% races Allowance races.
1 – Big Blue Line: 2nd as favorite last out; high % winning trainer wins 34% with beaten favorites; Rail post is winning at 25% clip; Has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Midway Munny: Finished 3rd in last race, winning the previous race; Strong jockey stats.
Longshot:
4 – Magical Ways: Won 5 races out of the last 6 starts; Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; High % Jockey and trainer.
Alternate:
5 – Just Step On It
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,3,4,5/2,5/3,6/1,2,4,7,8,10 – Cost $50.00
Rich’s Picks
1 – BIG BLUE LINE – Paco – TLRSP# +5 – 3rd up
3 – SUNDAY SPIRIT – better EP/Fractions – consistent
4 – MAGICAL WAYS – first at Parx – Strong C ZONE and if he gets forward
5 – JUST STEP ON IT – longest shot in a 5 horse race with +6 ES edge
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$0.50 Pick 4: 1/3,5/2,3/2,4,5,10
Race 7 – Female
1 Mile 70 Yards – Early Speed, Rail Edge, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Small Bonus
Terry’s Picks
5 – Mary Q: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 54% of the races, winning 21% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 57% of the races, winning 43% of the starts.
2 – Allenhurst: Ran 2nd in last race at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer wins 33% races Allowance races.
7 – Dyna Soar: 2nd as favorite last out; high % winning trainer wins 20% with beaten favorites; Strong jockey stats.
Longshot:
6 – Dancing On My Own: Drops in class today; high % winning trainer wins 25% routes; Strong jockey stats.
Alternate:
3 – Beautifulcrazygirl
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$10.00 Win: 5
$5.00 Exacta Box: 2/5
$5.00 Exacta: 5/2,3,6,7
Cost: $40.00
Rich’s Picks
5 – MARY Q – Strong SIM FAV – winner 3/7 at the distance and 2/16 at others
3 – BEAUTIFULCRAZYGIRL – only YES horse with the most upside – Sanchez
2 – ALLENHURST – Parx 7/2-4-0 – top TOTAL PACE – but needs much improvement
7 – DYNA SOAR – super consistent and could be at his best in the 3rd up
Race 8
1 Mile – Early Speed, Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Fair
Terry’s Picks
3 – Wild Vine: Finished in the money in 10 out of the last 10 races, winning 4; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Duration Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
4 – Freedom’s Echo: Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance is a plus; Bullet 4F workout (Oct-14); Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Longshot:
2 – Bartlett: Finished in the money in 10 out of the last 10 races, winning 4; Strong trainer and jockey stats.
Alternates:
1 – Dreambuilder
2 – Bartlett
Terry’s Suggested Wager
$20.00 Win: 3
$10.00 Exacta Box: 3/6
$5.00 Exacta: 3/1,2,5,6
Cost: $60.00
Rich’s Picks
3 – WILD VINE – SIM SP# +10 with TLRSP# +8 – 3rd up with a solid work between
2 – BARTLETT – on the lead – 9/5-0-2 at Parx
6 – DURATION – 2nd race upside – good works between races
1 – DREAMBUILDER – tough call over the rest – Paco and the other 2 really fell off in last
Race 9 – Female
6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 41% w2w – Small Inside Out
Terry’s Picks
4 – Unsolved Mystery: Finished in the money in 10 out of the last 10 races, winning 8; Strong jockey stats.
2 – Itsamonstamash: Drops in class today; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters Strong trainer and jockey stats.
10 – Mila Rose: Ran Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 60% of the races, winning 40% of the starts and distance will not be a problem as he has finished in the money in 75% of the races, winning 50% of the starts.
Longshot:
7 – Little Cocoa Bean: Won last race PARX Racing; High % winning trainer.
Alternates:
1 – Mezcalifornia
8 – Snappy Ride
Rich’s Picks
4 – UNSOLVED MYSTERY – SIM Speed #+7 and TLRSP#+ 3 – 2/2 at Parx
2 – ITSAMONSTAMASH – Most upside – Ness – claim and drop 37% alpha angle
10 – MILA ROSE – could be on the lead and does her best work when involved early
5 – ET’S MOON MAIDEN – biggest in race edge – +5 LS and with top C ZONE
Rich’s Suggested Wager
$2 Exacta Key Box: 4/2,5,9,10
Terry’s Best Bet of the Day
PARX Racing – Race 8 – #3 Wild Vine
3 – Wild Vine: Finished in the money in 10 out of the last 10 races, winning 4; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Terry’s Best Bet Wagers
$20.00 Win: 3
$10.00 Exacta Box: 3/6
$5.00 Exacta: 3/1,2,5,6
Cost: $60.00

