Horse Racing Today

Parx Racing returns with a 9-race card to kick off Money Monday on a fast track, as we reset following Kentucky Derby weekend.

Parx Racing returns with a 9-race card to kick off Money Monday on a fast track, as we reset following Kentucky Derby weekend. With typical Parx conditions favoring early position and pace control, today’s card presents opportunities to identify horses that can take advantage of the track profile. This full-card breakdown uses Smart Sheets to identify: Horses most likely to be forward at the quarter mile Pace control and probability to lead Total Pace and C-Zone advantages Simulated odds compared to the morning line Profile of a Winner indicators based on Parx trends With several races featuring clear early speed advantages, the focus is on identifying which horses can secure position early and carry it through the stretch, while also highlighting runners that may be overlooked by the public but fit today’s race shape. This is a data-driven analysis designed to highlight how races are most likely to unfold and where value opportunities may exist across today’s Parx card.

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Terry’s Picks

PARX Racing – 5-04-2026

Race 1

1 – The Tire Man: Rail post is winning at 25% clip; High-percentage winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Carlin Contention: Switches to a high-percentage trainer and jockey.

5 – Accelerated Dating: Finished 3rd in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Longshot:

2 – It’s Authentic: Finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts; Highest last race speed rating; Trainer wins 33% of the races in the 2nd start with the trainer; Can go the distance.

Alternate:

4 – Week’s Strong

6 – No Mor Stones

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5,7/4,6/1,2,3,5/1,2,5 – Cost $48.00

Race 2Female

6 – I Believe in Magic: Finished in the money in the last 4 starts, winning 1 race; high-percentage jockey; Can go the distance.

4 – Sofster: Finished 2nd at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

5 – Take Time to Dream: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 69% of the races, winning 23% of the starts; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

1 – Fuhgeddaboudit: Rail post is winning at a 25% clip; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.

Alternate:

2 – Sweet Mischief

$.50 Pick 4: 4,6/1,2,3,5/1,2,5/2,6 – Cost $48.00 

Race 3-

2 – Soo Handsome: Finished in the money in the last 5 starts, running 2nd vs tougher in last race; high-percentage jockey.

5 – Winning Song: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race as favorite last time; Trainer wins 22% with beaten favorites returning; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

1 – Gunman Jayvo: Rail post is winning at a 25% clip; Drops in class today; Early speed running style helps chances so the longer distance should be a plus; high-percentage jockey.

Longshot:

3 – Two Dollar Bill: Switches to a high % winning jockey; Can improve while returning to a route.

Alternate:

4 – Mucho Magnifico

6 – Little Sneckdraw

Race 4-Female

5 – Be My Queen: Finished in the money in the last 4 starts, winning 2 races; Switches to a high % winning trainer and jockey.

1 – Celtic Tiger: Won last race at PENN National; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

2 – Browneyedvalentine: Won last race at PARX Racing; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Longshot:

3 – Shudabeenacowgirl: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 45% of the races, winning 10% of the starts; Can handle the distance.

Alternate:

6 – Nanisca

$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,5/1,2,4,6/3,4,6,7/4,5 – Cost $48.00  

Race 5-Female

2 – Soundsmischievous: Won her last race at PARX Racing; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey; Good 4F workout (Apr-28).

6 – Silver City Kitty: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

1 – Allenhurst: Won last race at PARX Racing; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Can handle the distance.

Longshot:

4 – Judy’s Flyer: Won last race at PARX Racing; Highest speed figure at today’s distance; Good 4F workout (Apr-28).

Alternate:

3 – Angel of Hope

Race 6-

7 – Donnelly’s Hollow; Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Highest last race speed rating; High-percentage winning trainer and jockey.

6 – Smooth Motion: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

3 – Coalville: Has a high % winning jockey; Can go the distance.

Longshot:

4 – Moor Strength: Likes PARX Racing, finishing in the money in 67% of the races, winning 33% of the starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

Alternate:

8 – Desert Aire

5 – Ramiel

$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,6,7,8/4,5/1,4/1,2,4,5,8 – Cost $50.00

Race -7-Female

5 – Et’s Moon Maiden: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Moor Strength: Won 2 races out of the 4 starts at PARX Racing; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

7 – Sister Eve: Drops in class today; Can improve while returning to a sprint.

Longshot:

3 – Leftover Sushi; Drops in class today: Best Dirt Speed is fastest among today’s starters; Has a high % winning trainer; Can improve while returning to a sprint.

Alternate:

6 – Ree Nee’s Six

2 – Stassi

Race 8-

1 – Preach It Warrior: Won last race at PARX Racing; Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

4 – Devil’s Cay: Drops in class today; Best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters; Trainer has high win rate.

7 – Mucho Mojo: Finished in the money in 2 races out of the last 3 starts, winning 1 race; Trainer wins 32% of the races in the 2nd start with the trainer.

Longshot:

5 – Bob John Ray: Drops in class today; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

Alternate:

2 – Cody Pass

Bet: $20.00 Win: 1 – $10.00 Exacta Box:1/4 – $10.00 Exacta: 1/4,5,7 – $5.00 Exacta Box: 1,4,7

Race-9-Female

4 – Pom Pom: Finished 3rd vs similar in last race; Strong trainer and jockey stats.

5 – She’s Bankable: Finished in the money in 2 races out of 3 career starts; Has a high % winning trainer and jockey.

8 – Panama Limited: Ran 2nd vs similar in last race; Has a high % winning jockey.

Longshot:

1 – Dress Like Coco: Rail post is winning at a 20% clip; Drops in class today; Has a high % winning trainer; Lasix & Blinkers added.

Alternate:

2 – Caribbean Clarity

Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #1 – Preach It Warrior

Rich’s Picks

Race 1: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Inside Bias

6 – NO MOR STONES – race leader and top C ZONE one of two YES Horses

2 – IT’S AUTHENTIC – SIM FAV – highly consistent and 3rd up – SIM SP#+6

7 – CARLIN CONTENTION – track dropping YES horse

5 – ACCELERATED DATING – top Total Pace – maybe more distance helps

$0.50 Pick 4: 2,5,6,7/5,6/2,3,5,6/1,2,5

Race 2: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Inside Out

6 – I BELIEVE IN MAGIC – left arrow SIM FAV on the lead +6 EP – lone class dropper

5 – TAKE TIME TO DREAM – moving up the speed ladder – much better late in last

1 – FUHGEDDABOUDIT – on and off horse – off in last – see if he turns it back on

4 – SOFSTER – tons of extra late PACE +8

$0.50 Pick 4: 5,6/2,3,5,6/1,2,5/1,2,4,5

Race 3: 1 Mile – Early Speed, 30% w2w – PP: Inside Bias

2 – SOO HANDSOME – standout C ZONE –Class Dropper

5 – WINNING SONG – SIM FAV and +11 Late Speed edge – YES horse

3 – TWO DOLLAR BILL – YES horse with the 5 – and potential leader

6 – LITTLE SNECKDRAW – Top TOTAL PACE and top Value Horse

Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Inside Out

1 – CELTIC TIGER – been off a long time – some decent works for lone class dropper

5 – BE MY QUEEN – EP could be pacesetter with +6 SIM SP# with by far best PAR+

2 – BROWNEYEDVALENTINE – popped in last with big LP jump – could regress

6 – NANISCA – a lot less races than the 3 – same number or wins

$0.50 Pick 4: 1,5/1,2,4,5/3,6,7/3,5,6,7

Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Inside Out

1 – ALLENHURST – SIM FAV and Top TOTAL PACE – as good in 2nd up – standout C ZONE

2 – SOUNDSMISCHIEVOUS – only YES horse and Only 5 ways better – PACO

5 – WINE AND ROSES – big SP# pop in last – could be a lot better or worse in 2nd up

4 – JUDY’S FLYER – tough call over the 6- but more upside

$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/2,4,5

Race 6: 1 1/16 Miles – Closers, 2/16 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Worst, 4+ Outside In

7 – DONNELLY’S HOLLOW – only 5 ways better and drops – distance 6/1-0-5

6 – SMOOTH MOTION – SIM FAV and on the lead with +5 EP and best PAR+ by plenty

3 – COALVILLE – Some Value with better fractions last out – bounce back coming

4 – EXCLUSIVE DANCER – tough call over the rest – but best closer where closers win

$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,6,7/3,5/1,4,5,6/1,4,5

Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Early Speed, 36% w2w – PP: Inside Out

3 – LEFTOVER SUSHI – on the lead, drops with top C ZONE

5 – ET’S MOON MAIDEN – TLRSP# +7 with more upside but 11/0-3-0 at the distance

7 – SISTER EVE – SIM FAV and just needs to run back to last PARX race

6 – REE NEE’S SIX – longest shot ML odds – still a YES horse with value – why not?

$5 Exacta Key Box: 3/5,6,7

Race 8: 1 3/16 Miles – no races – but speed wins routes

4 – DEVIL’S CAY – top TOTAL PACE with most Upside and a YES horse only w/ better EP/FRACTIONs – most upside

1 – PREACH IT WARRIOR – TLRSP#+11 but likely to regress

6 – NIXON JOY – it’s a long race and has nearly a 3 length LS edge – most consistent

5 – BOB JOHN RAY – room to improve in 2nd PARX race after track dropping

Race 9: 6 Furlongs – Early Speed, 46% w2w – PP: Inside Out

1 – DRESS LIKE COCO – Only YES horse = must have – 1st Lasix helps – biggest drop

4 – POM POM – GP Track dropper on the lead with by far best C ZONE – well bet down there – third race bounce back

5 – SHE’S BANKABLE – very consistent and by far best average race

8 – PANAMA LIMITED – should press forward early and better numbers than the rest

$5 Exacta Key Box: 1/3,4,5,8

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