Pegasus World Cup 2019: Projected field and odds – Horse Racing Nation

Pegasus World Cup 2019: Projected field and odds

Photo: Bee Buck Photography

Gulfstream Park’s Pegasus World Cup returns on Saturday, January 26, for its third running, this time with a purse of $9 million.

Once again, America’s richest thoroughbred race will feature a big betting favorite and likely winner in Accelerate. He will attempt to join prior winners Arrogate and Gun Runner in taking the Pegasus immediately following a victory in the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

How good is this year’s field? Seven of the 10 horses listed below as probable runners are millionaires, six are Grade 1 winners, six ran in the Breeders’ Cup, and three horses have never run off the board.

Combining probable and possible runners from Horse Racing Nation’s Stakes Tracker, here is a projected look at the field for the Pegasus with the odds a projected morning line should they enter. Please note that this line does not balance, as the field will be limited to 12.

[ML 2-1 – Lookin At Lucky – J. Sadler/J. Rosario – 22: 10-5-5 – $5,792,480] There is little you can hold against the champion Older Male Dirt horse in waiting when handicapping this one. He won $5 million of his total earnings in 2018, a year that included a 5-for-5 record in Grade 1 races. Pegasus World Cup history is on his side given the wins by Arrogate and Gun runner that preceded.

[ML 6-1 – Into Mischief – T. Pletcher/J. Castellano – 8: 5-1-2 – $1,220,520] Keep in mind that in an eight-race career, Audible has five wins and has never missed the top three. His Grade 1 victory came in the Florida Derby at Gulfstream. His second-place finish in the Harlan’s Holiday in December could be viewed as a disappointment, but he cannot be ignored in this race.

[ML 15-1 – Awesome Again – D. W. Lukas/J. Rosario – 16: 3-4-3 – $1,303,528] The iron horse showed up at every major spot as a 3-year-old. Although the money keeps rolling into his account from on the board finishes, Bravazo has not won a race since February in the Risen Star (G2). You have to admire this throwback D. Wayne Lukas runner.

City of Light
[ML 5-1 – Quality Road – M. McCarthy/J. Castellano – 10: 5-4-1 – $1,662,600] The dazzling winner of the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile is another one who has never finished off the board. He was also the only horse to defeat Accelerate in the 2018 when going 1 1/8 miles — the Pegasus distance — in the Oaklawn Handicap (G2). Nine furlongs seem to suit him more than some other important horses in the race.

[ML 8-1 – Dialed In – A. Sano/I. Ortiz Jr. – 19: 6-5-2 – $4,111,800] Gunnevera has earned more than $4 million by running well in big races, but he has not won a graded stakes race since the Fountain of Youth (G2) in 2017. Gulfstream Park is his home track, where has recorded four of his six career victories. His big closing move is probably better suited to 10 furlongs.

[ML 40-1 – Point Determined – F. Gutierrez/I. Ortiz Jr. – 14: 14-0-0 – $73,650] – Unbeaten in his first 13 races in Mexico, his lone start away from Hipodromo De Las Americas was a victory in the Clasico del Caribe at Gulfstream on December 8, which was restricted to 3-year-olds that were bred in a Caribbean country. A 71 Beyer Speed Figure there makes him a longshot here.

[ML 6-1 – Street Sense – B. Baffert/M. Smith – 7: 5-1-0 – $1,086,000] McKinzie has made only seven career starts, including his big victory in the Malibu Stakes (G1) which came after his disappointing performance in the Breeders’ Cup Classic. He will be looking for his first victory against older horses in the Pegasus.

[ML 12-1 – Adios Charlie – C. Brown/J. Ortiz – 11: 5-5-0 – $812,325] Chad Brown has this 6-year-old in the best form of his career while putting together two big wins in the Cigar Mile (G1) and the Kelso (G2). Prior to those races, Patternrecognition was strictly an allowance horse. His speed will make him a threat on a track that is kind to that running style.

Seeking the Soul
[ML 20-1 – Perfect Soul – D. Stewart/J. Velazquez – 23: 6-5-6 – $1,701,042] Seeking the Soul ran second in the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile behind City of Light, but was himself well ahead of the show horse Bravazo. He is the past winner of the Grade 1 Clark Handicap and will again go at a big price in this race.

Tom’s d’Etat
[ML 50-1
– Smart Strike – A. Stall Jr.
– 9:
6-1-0 – $278,492] This Fair Grounds-based runner has won four straight races
including his first stakes victory in the $75,000 Tenacious Stakes at the New Orleans
track. He just turned 6, and connections feel this is the time to take a shot.

True Timber
[ML 20-1 – Mineshaft– K. McLaughlin/J. Bravo – 17: 4-4-4 – $550,550] This Calumet runner has not won a stakes race in his career but did run second in the Bold Ruler (G3) and the Cigar Mile at Aqueduct. He is a likely longshot who could be a pace factor in the Pegasus.

Possible starters
: Battle of Midway (20-1), Leofric (15-1), Something Awesome (25-1), and Unbridled Juan (50-1)

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