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Royal Ascot 2025 – Day 3 Picks & Race Commentary | Rich & Tom’s Thursday Selections

🇬🇧 Race 1 – Norfolk Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
14 – Sandal’s Song – Hopped at the start and still blazed 56.1 for 5f
8 – Graft – Ran fast 5f times on soft; should be quicker on good ground
3 – Charles Darwin – Two easy wins at very short odds
16 – Wise Approach – Rebound expected; cutback helps

Tom’s Picks:
12 – London Boy – Green last time but still won nicely
1 – Afjan – Won only start at Chantilly; strong 5f pedigree
3 – Charles Darwin – 2-for-3; Moore/O’Brien
Considered:
6 – Explanation – Improving at the right time; big price possibility
16 – Wise Approach – Ascot debut winner; Buick/Appleby


🇬🇧 Race 2 – King George V Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
10 – Gunship – Plenty of speed in here for 1½ miles; perfect setup for a closer
4 – Daiquiri Bay – Cheaper company but longer trip could suit
5 – Serious Contender – Moore/O’Brien combo; Irish runners did well yesterday
6 – Sing Us A Song – Best speed chance if the pace holds

Tom’s Picks:
4 – Daiquiri Bay – Consistent efforts; just missed last out
3 – Boatswain – Winner on debut; two solid seconds after
5 – Serious Contender – Speed of the race; Moore/O’Brien
8 – Merchant – Form is solid, but poor post hurts


🇬🇧 Race 3 – Ribblesdale Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
10 – Serenity Prayer – Boom or bust in her third career start
4 – Garden of Eden – Moore chose this one over others
2 – Catalina Delcarpio – Lone good effort was very strong
7 – Island Hoping – Third up and more distance suits

Tom’s Picks:
2 – Catalina Delcarpio – Maiden winner, then runner-up in a G3
9 – Life Is Beautiful – Second in a listed race; first turf start
5 – Go Go Boat – Toss last effort; better spot here


🇬🇧 Race 4 – Gold Cup

Rich’s Picks:
7 – Candelari – G1 winner, third up; most upside
8 – Illinois – Never a bad race in 10 starts
3 – Sweet William – 5-for-5 ITM at Ascot; 13-for-13 on turf
4 – Trawlerman – Could be overbet, but still dangerous

Tom’s Picks:
4 – Trawlerman – With Kyprios out, this is his race to win
7 – Candelari – Solid French runner; strong last effort
3 – Sweet William – Toss last start; capable of bouncing back


🇬🇧 Race 5 – Britannia Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
8 – Teroomm – 3-for-3 on turf, all at a mile
20 – Shameful – Both turf starts were solid; more distance helps
22 – Shout – Third up today; won lone previous third-up; 5-for-6 ITM on grass
18 – Fearnot – Dominated last time going a mile on Ascot turf

Tom’s Picks:
16 – God of War – Good seasonal debut
3 – Supido – Former German runner; wide trip in local debut
8 – Teroomm – Unbeaten at the distance; big test today
Considered:
19 – Linwood – Won 2 in a row, then 5th in listed company
24 – Tribal Nation – Improving second up after tough G3
28 – Brave Mission – Strong debut; top rider aboard


🇬🇧 Race 6 – Hampton Court Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
8 – Jackknife – Back to debut distance—winning move?
9 – Reyenzi – A bit of racing luck away from being 3-for-3
7 – High Stock – Closer with upside; third career start
4 – Emit – Hot 3YO in 2025; lone third-up effort was a win

Tom’s Picks:
3 – Detain – 3rd in French Derby; big chance here
14 – Trinity College – Solid G1 effort last out; Moore/O’Brien
10 – Sea Scout – Distance suits after tough assignments
8 – Jackknife – Strong debut and solid follow-up


🇬🇧 Race 7 – Buckingham Palace Stakes

Rich’s Picks:
29 – BillyJoh – Always picks up checks; reliable at Ascot and this trip
26 – Gleneagle Bay – Better second up; limited 2-race history
18 – No Retreat – 8-for-8 ITM, 7-for-7 on turf; better second off the layoff
27 – Fifty Nifty – First-up form gives him a fighting chance

Tom’s Picks:
11 – Myal – Troubled trip 2 back, strong win last out
6 – Array – Toss last after stumbling at break
10 – Holguin – Ran on well for 3rd after trouble at Chester
Considered:
18 – No Retreat – DNF last out; post position is rough
26 – Gleneagle Bay – Solid 3rd last out at Ascot; dependable type


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