Santa Anita Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Horseshoe Indianapolis https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/in…
Free Santa Anita Racing Picks
Terry Hollywood Hay’s Picks
Race 1
8 – Tiz Happy – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Pavel’s Etoile – He ran 2nd (on Dirt) in his only start, his breeding suggests he will like the grass as his Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters and 1 Turf winner.
7 – Dr Ruben M – He is a first-time starter who has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 2-1-1).
Longshot:
3 – Snowdonia – He is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests he will like the grass and the breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
4 – El Ondeado
Race 2
6 – Ocasek – He drops in class today, has the highest last race speed rating, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a trainer who wins 20% of the races in maiden claiming races.
4 – This Is a Joke – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and the breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Thunder Ball – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden to maiden claiming and Lasix & Blinkers are added
Longshot:
2 – Street Talker – He drops in class today and has a good workout on June 3rd.
Alternate:
5 – Tapit Down
$.50 Pick 4: #6/2,4,5,7/1,4,5,7/1,2,3,5,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
7 – Proof He Rides – He has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and he has a high % winning trainer.
2 – Give Me the Lute – He finished in the money in eight out of the last ten races, winning four of the starts and he has a trainer who wins 18% when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again has a high % winning jockey.
4 – Cane Creek Road – He has won two out of the last three races, has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5- Barristan The Bold – He finished 5th in the last race after breaking slowly and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Irish Royalty
Race 4
7 – Luther Pass – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, his early speed running style helps chances so the shorter distance can be a plus and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
4 – Demotivate – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the races when taking a horse from a maiden race to maiden claiming race and, he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Citadino – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, he can improve at the shorter distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a good 5F workout on Jun-05.
Longshot:
1 – Toppers Wager – He ran 2nd in his last race and he has a good jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Ringtone
3 – Dapitan Star
Race 5-Female
5 – Rascality – She ran 2nd vs tougher in her last race, drops in class today she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 3F workout on Jun-06.
3 – Iscreamuscream – She won her debut race at Santa Anitia; she has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey and Lasix is added.
6 – Soho – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a bullet 5F workout on Jun-07.
Longshot:
2 – Elegant – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 5F workout on Jun-06.
Alternate:
1 – Girl of My Dreams
7 – Shamrockin
Bet: $6.00 Win & $8.00 Place: # 5 – $10.00 DD: 5/5
Race 6-Female
5 – Nooni – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and she has a high % winning trainer who wins 31% of the 2YO races he starts a horse in and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Lee’s Baby Girl – She finished 2nd in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, she has a high % winning jockey and she has a bullet 4F workout on Jun-09.
4 – Clapping Trees – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 5 winners from 5 starters and 1 stakes winner and Breeding suits today’s sprint distance.
Longshot:
2 – Lady of Light – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter and 1 stakes winner and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – She’s My Flame
$.50 Pick 4: #2,4,5,8/1,4,5,7,8/2,3,4/7,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 7-Female
1 – Pink Ace – She ran 2nd in her last race, her first race back after an 8-month break and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Yellow Sun Dress – She has won two races in a row and is now going for a hat trick and she has a high % winning trainer and he has a good 4F workout on May-31st.
8 – Headed for Om – She has won two out of the last three starts and she has a high % winning trainer and she has a good 4F workout on Jun-6th.
Longshot:
5 – Strikingly – She won her last race at Santa Anitia and she has a bullet workout on June 8th.
Alternate:
7 – Champagne Camie
6 – Quaria Thunder
Race 8-Female
2 – Betty Pack – She has an early foot so with a cut back in distance she could lead all the way, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Willow Cove – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout on June-7th.
4 – Pancho Barnes – She is a first-time starter whose Dam has 5 winners from 5 starters and 2 stakes winners, breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – O Mandy – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Turf) in her last race and has the highest last race speed rating.
Alternate:
1 – Play My Speed
Race 9
8 – Badda Bing – He comes in from Ireland after winning his debut race to try the USA, his breeding suggests he will like the grass as his Dam has produced 2 Turf winners and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – The Rabbi – He closed to win his debut race at Santa Anitia at 6-furlongs and now stretches out to a mile and has a has a high % winning trainer and jockey Mike Smith in the irons.
3 – All That Glory – He finished 2nd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today, his
best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – El Rey Rey – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race; he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
10 – Moonlit Sonata
4 – Promissio
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 5th Race
5 – Rascality
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 5 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 17% w2w – PP: Rail Penalty, 2/3 Really Bad, 4-7 Best, 8+ None
5 – PAVEL’S ETOILE – 5/2 FAV in debut, just needs to run the same race, typical 2nd race improvement and it would take something borderline stakes ability to win
6 – TREXIMO – gets 2.8 of 3 points on the 1st timer scale
8 – TIZ HAPPY – 2.7 points of 3
7 – DR RUBEN M – 2.5 of 3
Race 2: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 38% w2w – PP: Rail Small Penalty, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ None
4 – THIS IS A JOKE – going to try and take down the 4/5 FAV – 3/3 Firster – May 27 work says it’s possible
6 – OCASEK – MSW dropper and any of his first three would beat the others
3 – ALOHA CHROME – moves up in class, but if he can improve in 2nd start after more than a year off – has a chance
1 – THUNDER BALL – MSW Dropper off since last year – 3yo with 1st Lasix – decent works
Race 3: 6 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 22% w2w – PP: Rail Worst, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bigger Discount
4 – CANE CREEK ROAD – first off a rest, 1st up record at SA is outstanding – a win and a trio of 2nd by a neck or nose
2 – GIVE ME THE LUTE – most consistent performer in the race – normal race puts him right there
7 – PROOF HE RIDES – rerun of his last race might be enough, wants the lead, might not get it
1 – PLEASE FOCUS – this one will be on the lead, 3rd up with a bullet work between
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 34% w2w – PP: 1-3 Penalty, 4-7 Small Bonus, 8+ Best by a Long Way
4 – DEMOTIVATE – MSW dropper – honestly a little weird to drop in 2nd start – again, typical 2nd race improvement put him in the winners circle
5 – CITADINO – 2nd up and run back to Jan 12 race and this is a laugher
7 – LUTHER PASS – flirting with ws at this level in the last two – a bit worried about paired tops and regression
1 – TOPPERS WAGER – class dropper with the back class, on turf, to have a shot
Race 5: 6 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 27% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
3 – ISCREAMUSCREAM – got a feeling they think this is a legit horse with Stakes potential
5 – RASCALITY – just missed in a GIII last out, a lot of horses from that race here, raced wide and between horses, a better trip and he may have won
7 – SHAMROCKIN – going to be closing and there is a ton of speed in here to run down
6 – SOHO – just missed at this level last out – two bullet works of three since her last race
Race 6: 5 Furlongs – Bias: 1 Race – Closer from 2/3
5 – NOONI – 1.8 million first timer for Baffert
8 – LEE’S BABY GIRL – even money favorite in debut – going be on the gas from go
2 – LADY OF LIGHT – Mike Smith on 2.9 point 1st timer – have to image he’s believes it has a chance
4 – CLAPPING TREES –
Race 7: 6 Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 27% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Best
8 – HEADED FOR OM – tough call over the 4, better post position and upped SP# in last 3
4 – YELLOW SUN DRESS – 2 for 2 on SA grass and both at the distance and both pulling away – but last was a little slower
1 – PINK ACE – likely better in 2nd up and 2nd of grass, and c’mon, everybody know you bet D’Amato on Turf
2 – FAST GISELLE – another tough call over the 7 – similar numbers, higher odds and Mike Smith
Race 8: 5 ½ Furlongs – Early Speed, 39% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Small Bonus
2 – BETTY PACK – just needs more stamina late in 2nd up – 10f of works since should be more fit
3 – WILLOW COVE – speed and fade in debut – off since April and was well bet, lots of works since
6 – O MANDY – going to be forward and room to be better in second up and 2nd Lasix as 3 yo
4 – PANCHO BARNES
Race 9: 1 Mile Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 23% w2w – PP: Rail Small Bonus, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Best, 8+ Worst
3 – ALL THAT GLORY – 3SP# increases, just missed in a 100K NGST in last – faster fractions
7 – THE RABBI – longshot winner in debut – 2nd race improvement – but what caught my eye is the comment from the race caller – flew
8 – BADDA BING – comes in from Ireland after winning low priced stakes race in debut – not as well bred as many Irish horses, but C’mon man – D’Amato on Turf
10 – MOONLIT SONATA – Triple Crown nominated horse – 3SP# increases and a pair of second at SA since moving to turf
