Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
Guaranteed Tip Sheet Free Track: Albuquerque – https://www.guaranteedtipsheet.com/index.aspx?afid=hrt
Free Saratoga Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Saratoga – 7-30-2025
Race 1
6 – Swaggish – He has finished in the money in his last six races, finishing 2nd in his last race and he the highest last race speed rating and switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Tabeguache – He has a high % winning jockey, the rail post is winning at a 21% clip and he can go the distance.
2 – Castle Island – He has won two races out of his last four starts, drops in class today and his early speed running style may help his chances.
Longshot:
4 – Curlin’s Malibu – He drops in class today, switches to a high% trainer and has a good 5F workout on Jul-31.
Alternate:
5 – Golden Purchase
Race 2-Female
2 – Sweet Anniversary – She has finished in the money in nine races out of the last ten starts, winning four races, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Royal Bobbie – She got a terrible start in her last race on the turf and now returns to dirt where she has done well, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and blinkers are added today.
5 – Summer Whirl – She ran 2nd in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 23% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Capital Gal – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
6 – Rodeo Star
1 – Cara’s Dreamweaver
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,4,5,6/1,3/3,8/1,3,7,8,9 – Cost $50.00
Race 3-Female
1 – Whistler’s Style – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when taking a horse from a route to a sprint, she switches a high % winning jockey, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
3 – Mursal – She drops in class today, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Follow Your Arrow – She has won three races out of her last six starts, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
2 – Sister Supream – She drops in class today, her early speed running style helps her chances so the shorter distance should be a plus.
Alternate:
6 – Lika Rolling Stone
4 – Floge
Race 4-Female
8 – Red Burgundy – She won her last race, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and likes the turf.
3 – Brocknardini – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey, drops in class today, Lasix is added and she has a good 4F workout on Jul-29.
5 – Bobby M’s Girl – She drops in class today, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the Allowance races he has a horse running in and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Bernt Again – She ran 2nd (on Dirt) in her last race and can go the distance.
Race 5-Female
8 – Best Impression – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating, she switches to a high % winning trainer and she has a high % winning jockey.
9 – Lollipops – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and the shorter distance will help.
1 – Another Cleeshay – She has won one race out of two starts at Saratoga, the rail post is winning at a 20% and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
7 – Spa City Zipp – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she can improve while returning to dirt.
Alternate:
3 – Timia
Race 6-Female
2 – Devilish Grin – She ran 2nd vs similar in her only start, she has the highest last race speed rating, she has a high % winning jockey and a bullet 3F workout on Aug-01.
10 – Great Actress – She finished 3rd vs similar in her only start and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and a good 3F workout on Jul-26.
9 – Oscar’s Encore – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass, her breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Imminent Risk – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
1 – Winrooski
8 – Raynham Hall
$.50 Pick 4: 2,7,9,10/2,3,4,6/4,5/4,6,7 – Cost $48.00
Race 7
6 – Digital Ops – He ran 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 27% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, he has a high % winning jockey.
2 – Parchment Party – He won his last race at Saratoga, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Lambeth – He has won two races out of his last four starts, he has a high % winning trainer, and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Game Warden – He has won three races out of his last seven starts, finishing 3rd in his last race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Time for Trouble
1 – Strapped
Race 8-Female
5 – Midway Memories – She finished 5th in her last race after being bumped and stumbling during the race, drops in class today and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Sol d’Oro – She has finished in the money in all three career races, winning one of the starts, she switches to a high % winning trainer and she has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Atarah – She won her last race at Keenland and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – So Darn Pretty – She won her last race at Saratoga, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
7 – Griselda
2 – Duboff
Bet: $40.00 Win: 5 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 4/5 – $10.00 Exacta:5/3,4,5,7
Race 9-Female
4 – Setting Sun – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – I Rest My Case – She ran 4th in her last race after hitting the gate at the start, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Atenea – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey, she can improve while trying grass, blinkers added today and she has a bullet 3F workout on Aug-01.
Longshot:
10 – St. Brigid’s Cross – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #5 – Midway Memories
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
1 – TABEGUACHE – moves to Irad – strong rail – better EP
6 – SWAGGISH – just missed last out, up in class and 2nd up should be better
3 – COSTA TERRA – Only YES horse and only class dropper – ITM 6/8 at Toga
2 – CASTLE ISLAND – likely leader – strong C ZONE – lots of upside
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 1,2,4,6
$3 Pick 3: 1/2/1
Race 2: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Discount, 8+ Bonus
2 – SWEET ANNIVERSARY – Top TOTAL PACE +13 – consistent performer – ITM 8/9 on fast – by far best PAR+
3 – ROYAL BOBBIE – run back to lone Toga Trip on July 10 would be enough
4 – CAPITAL GAL – pacesetter with a strong C ZONE – record says could be a lot better in 2nd up
5 – SUMMER WHIRL – moves from Turf to dirt for the first time – closer in 2nd up
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3/1,3,5/1,3,5,8/1,6,8,9
$15 Win: 2
Race 3: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 29% w2w – PP: Almost Fair 1-7, 8+ Bonus
1 – WHISTLER’S STYLE – 3rd up and switches to Irad off TLRSP#+4
3 – MURSAL – signs of life in last with better EP and Fractions
5 – JACKIE THE JOKER – could be out front and has top C ZONE – wins come on the lead
2 – SISTER SUPREAM – SIM FAV – not a big fan of track risers into NYRA
$15 Win: 1
Race 4: 1 Mile Inner Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 4/9 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Tough, 4-7 Best, 8+ Fair
1 – SLIGHTLY BUSY – SIM FAV with by far top C ZONE – won only race with ease with Manny and could be on the lead and Top PAR+
3 – BROCKNARDINI – class dropper getting 1st Lasix – should close
8 – RED BURGUNDY – could be lone E and if she get out there – TLRSP#+3
5 – BOBBY M’S GIRL – won the last time she came off the bench – 3 works between races
$15 Win: 1
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 27 w2w – PP: Inside 3 Bonus, 4+ Discount
1 – ANOTHER CLEESHAY – 1 of 2 YES horses – inside post helps – maybe a lot – 3rd up for the first time
8 – BEST IMPRESSION – the other YES with the TLRSP# +4 – Top PAR+ – Linda Rice off the claim – always dangerous – better ATB
9 – LOLLIPOPS – better EP and fractions in last – SIM FAV -pacesetter and +6 Top TOTAL PACE
6 – JUST WORDS – longshot that is likely to better in the second off the sidelines
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 9% w2w – PP: Rail Bad, 2/3 Best, 4+ Small Discount
2 – DEVILISH GRIN – 2nd race parability – wide in debut – inside post really helps
8 – RAYNHAM HALL – Top Rated 1ster with a back bullet – catches Flavien
7 – IMMINENT RISK – Irad – 2nd rater 1st timer
10 – GREAT ACTRESS – another with 2nd race parability with a wide debut trip – 4 works
9 – OSCAR’S ENCORE – USE IN PICK 4s if you can
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,7,8,9,10/2,3/5,7/4,6,7,8,10
Race 7: 1 ¾ Miles – Bias: No Races
2 – PARCHMENT PARTY – won by more than eight lengths at the distance in his last.
3 – GAME WARDEN – probably the most consistent high end performer with some upside.
4 – LAMBETH – has the most back class and should get a fitting trip.
6 – DIGITAL OPS – could be out on the front as the Lone E type.
Race 8: 1 Mile Inner Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 4/9 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Tough, 4-7 Best, 8+ Fair
7 – GRISELDA – absolutely beat better in France – catching Lasix helps
5 – MIDWAY MEMORIES – Brown and Irad – showed stakes level LP in debut
6 – ATARAH – Top TOTAL PACE – won her only turf race on the lead and shortens up here
8 – NOTABLE EXCHANGE – SIM FAV – TLRSP#+ 5 – Top PAR + -why not at a price
$15 Win: 7
$5 Double: 7/4,6,7,8,10
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 9% w2w – PP: Rail Bad, 2/3 Best, 4+ Small Discount
6 – I REST MY CASE – Hit the Gate in debut still best 2nd race Parability
4 – SETTING SUN – Top Rated 1st timer and ML FAV – David Aragona
8 – SWEET MONTREAL – 2nd rated 1st Timer vs all noes and 2 parability types
10 – ST. BRIGID’S CROSS – the other with 2nd race parability
