Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Saratoga Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Saratoga – 8-13-2025
Race 1
2 – Walk The Warrior – He has finished in the money in his seven career races, finishing 3rd in his last race and he has a high % winning trainer.
6 – Roja Redemption– He won last his race by 14-lenghts has a high % winning trainer.
1 – Travesuras – He won his last race at Laurel, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Clifton Down – He finished 3rd in his last race, and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Race 2
3 – Pineapple Man – He has won two races out of his last three starts, he has a high % winning trainer, and jockey and he has a good 4F workout (Aug-02).
5 – Unlimitedpotential – He won his last race at Aqueduct, drops in class today and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
6 – My Noble Knight – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races in dirt starts, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Quiet Wisdom – He ran 2nd in his last race and likes the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Philharmonic
Race 3-Female
6 – Princess Celine – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – She’s Country – She is a first-time starter, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout on Aug-02.
5 – My Devine One – She finished 4th in the mud in her debut start, her Dam has 1 winner from 2 starters (but 0 Turf winners), she can improve at the longer distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Rizz – She has a high % winning trainer, switches to a high % jockey, she has the highest last race speed rating, her breeding suggests she will like the grass and she has a good 4F workout on Aug-05.
Alternate:
3 – Ryan Elizabeth
9 – Rocket Robin
$.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6,7/5/1,3,7/3,5,7 – Cost $45.00
Race 4
5 – Gun Party – He finished in the money in eight races out of his last ten starts, winning two of the starts, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Stowaway – He won his last race at Churchill Downs, and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Drake’s Passage – He has finished in the money in three races out of five starts at Saratoga, winning two races and he has a high % winning trainer, and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Sheriff Bianco – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Alternate:
3 – Eliminate
4 – Olympic Dreams
Race 5
7 – Sagamore Mischief – He has an early foot so the shorter distance will be a plus and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Call Me Fast – He drops in class today and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Fromanothamutha – He finished 3rd in his last race, highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Concorde Spirit – He finished 3rd in his last race, and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-02.
Alternate:
4 – Big Gain
Race 6
7 – Orie – He ran 2nd in vs similar his last race, best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer.
3 – Pazz the Soy Sauce – He was beaten only 3/4 lengths vs similar in last start at Saratoga, and he has a high % winning jockey.
5 – Pandemic Hero – He finished in the money in four races out of his last five starts, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Out of the Fog – He was beaten only 1-1/4 lengths vs similar in his last start and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
6 – Armenian Dancer
$.50 Pick 4: 3,5,7/4,5,7,8/6/1,4,5,6,9,10 – Cost $48.00
Race 7-Female
7 – Melle Mel – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 17% of the claiming races he has a horse running in, she has the highest last race speed rating and she has a high % winning and jockey.
8 – Spirit of Esther – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Timia – She had trouble in her last race and finished poorly, her early speed running style helps her chances so today’s distance should be a plus and she has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
5 – Brooklyn Dantz – Her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she can go the distance.
Alternate:
1 – Lookin to Rock
Race 8-Female
6 – Hangover Heaven – She won her debut race at Saratoga, she has a high % winning trainer who wins 19% of the races in Non-Graded Stakes and she has a high % winning jockey.
8 – Nonna Lynne – She won her last race at Saratoga, she has the highest last race speed rating she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Disco Star – She ran 2nd in her last race, the rail post is winning at a 19% clip, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Boston’s Phinest – She finished 3rd in her last race at Saratoga, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Trail of Gold
Bet: $40.00 Win: 6 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 6/8 – $10.00 Exacta:6/1,3,5,8
Race 9-Female
6 – Delightful Darling – She ran 2nd vs similar (on Dirt) in her last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
10 – Lit Ship – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Bint Mischief – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
5 – Quiet Street – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Two Bits
1 – R P Byrne
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #6 – Hangover Heaven
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 2 3/8 Miles – Bias: No Idea…
8 – CLIFTON DOWN
1 – TRAVESURAS
6 – ROJA REDEMPTION
7 – CARLOUN
Race 2: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Bonus
5 – UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL – here it is again – big chance to lead and by far Top C ZONE
3 – PINEAPPLE MAN – TLRSP#+3 – could pop or drop in 2nd up – 3 works between races
6 – MY NOBLE KNIGHT – highly consistent – every race looks like the previous one
2 – QUIET WISDOM – distance is right 7/3-0-2 – any other 7/0-3-1
$5 Double: 5/3,4,5,6
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Closers. 13% w2w – PP: Rail Big Discount, 2/3 Fair, 4-7 Best, 8+ Fair
6 – PRINCESS CELINE – Top First Rated 1st timer vs all noes and 1 maybe
3 – RYAN ELIZABETH – 2nd rated first timer…
4 – SHE’S COUNTRY – 3rd rated first timer…
5 – MY DEVINE ONE – 90 cent favorite in the mud – maybe didn’t like it
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,4,5,6/1,3,5/2B,3/1,3,4,7
Race 4: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 33% w2w – PP: Rail Fair, 2/3 Discount, 4+ Bonus
1 – DRAKE’S PASSAGE – distance works 5/2-2-0 – triple digit speed figure ability
5 – GUN PARTY – TLRSP#+7 – drops in class – first up record is spotty
3 – ELIMINATE – demolished the competition in last – Top TOTAL PACE + 1 ½ Lengths
4 – OLYMPIC DREAMS – 3rd up and best C ZONE – if he takes the lead into the stretch
Race 5: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Early Speed, 28% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2-7 Slightly Below Par, 8+ Small Bonus
3 – FROMANOTHAMUTHA – TLRSP# +6 – resume says better in 2nd up – switch to Irad
2B – BRESLAU – Top TOTAL PACE 1 ½ Lengths – big chance to be the leader
7 – SAGAMORE MISCHIEF – SIM FAV and Top PAR+ – drops in class
1 – CALL ME FAST – only YES horse – got to have in the 3rd up – better EP
$5 Double: 3/1,3,4,7
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 16% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside
7 – ORIE – biggest in race advantage with 1 length LS – closest to par for this field – first time making 3 starts in a row – finally healthy
3 – PAZZ THE SOY SAUCE – just missed in his last – plenty of upside in only 4th race
1 – OUT OF THE FOG – plenty of upside in just 3rd start
4 – KLIMT MASTER – SIM FAV – long shot – better ATB and moves down from MSW
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,3,4,5,7/7,8/6,8/4,6,7,9,10
Race 7: 6 ½ Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 14% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2-7 Discount, 8+ Best
7 – MELLE MEL – TLRSP#+ 3 and Top TOTAL PACE 1 length – 3rd up
8 – SPIRIT OF ESTHER – solid chance to be better in the 2nd up – cut back in distance helps
4 – TIMIA – much improved in her last – speed and strong C ZONE
1 – LOOKIN TO ROCK – strong rail – signs of life in her last
Race 8: 1 Mile Inner Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 25% w2w – PP: Strong Rail, 2/3 Discount, 4-7 Fair, 8+ Best
8 – NONNA LYNNE – TLRSP# +3 – 1st time making two starts in a row
6 – HANGOVER HEAVEN – demolished the comp in debut – 2nd race Parability
1 – DISCO STAR – strong rail – all of her turf races fit – Only Yes
7 – BLOSSOMING ERUDITE – tons of speed and strongest C ZONE by far
Race 9: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Early Speed, Stalkers – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Bonus, 4+ Discount, Inside better than Outside
6 – DELIGHTFUL DARLING – only YES horse – could be on the lead – a nose and a neck from winning both races
9 – TWO BITS – 2nd race PARABILITY – a pair of maintenance works
7 – LEXICO – top Rated first timer with solid works – Kendrick rides – hint she will go forward
4 – BINT MISCHIEF – 2nd rated first timer – strong turf breeding
$0.50 Trifecta: 4,6,7,9,10/6,7,9/4,6,7,9,10
