Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Saratoga Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Saratoga – 8-21-2025
Race 1-Female
6 – Accelerated News – She won her last race at Saratoga, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – City Blocks – She won two races out of her last three starts, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters, and she has a high % winning jockey.
7 – Grace and Grit – She drops in class today, can improve at the shorter distance has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Crimson Queen – She has finished in the money in three races out of her four career starts, drops in class today and her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
Alternate:
2 – Straca
5 – Farm House
Race 2-Female
6 – Irtiqaa – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the route distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Birch Run – She has finished in the money in two races out of her last three starts, and she has a high % winning trainer.
8 – St. Brigid’s Cross – She has the highest last race speed rating and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Two by Two by Two – She has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races in the 1st race a horse competes in at route and can improve while trying grass and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
4 – Taken by the Wind
$.50 Pick 4: 1,6,7,8/2,3/1,3,6,7/4,10,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 3-Female
3 – Kay Cup – She has won her last two races in a row and now goes for a hat trick, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Vehemente – She finished in the money in nine races out of her last ten starts, winning four of the races, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a bullet 4F workout (Aug-15).
4 – Lottie Margaret – She won her last her race, has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – Carmen’s Candy Jar – She didn’t seem to like the turf in her last race and now returns to dirt where she has done better, has a high % winning trainer and jockey and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
Alternate:
5 – Valtellina
Race 4
7 – Miztertonic – He ran 2nd in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 20% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Coach Case – He finished in the money in two races out of his three career starts, winning one of the starts, and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-07.
3 – Aelfgar – He has won two races out of his last four starts and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
1 – The Craftsman – He won his last race at Saratoga and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
2 – New Matthew
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6,7/4,10,11/1,4,7,8/2,12 – Cost $48.00
Race 5-Female
4 – Pan Pan – She finished 3rd vs similar in her last race, she has a high % winning trainer, she switches to a high % winning jockey and blinkers are added today.
11 – Beach of Dreams – She ran 2nd in her debut race as the heavily bet in favorite, and she has a high % winning Trainer.
10 – River Empress – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
3 – Fonzi Angel – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass and has a high % winning jockey.
Race 6-Female
7 – Jetty’s Home – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, has a high % winning trainer who wins 24% of the races in sprint starts he has a horse running in, and she has a high % winning jockey.
1 – Donna Romano – She is a first-time starter whose Sire wins 19% with 1st time starters, her Dam has 2 winners from 2 starters and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Sparkling Mama – She finished 3rd vs similar in her only start and has she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
8 – Salt Princess – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
13 – Wander Woman
Race 7-Female
2 – Gellhorn – She ran 3rd in her last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 26% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and she has a high % winning jockey.
12 – Gin’s Beach Road – She finished 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in her only start, her breeding suggests she will like the grass and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Shades of Jade – She finished 3rd in her only start and has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Fast Market – She ran 2nd vs similar in her last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters, she has a high % winning jockey and has a good 4F workout (Aug-15).
Alternate:
10 – Sonja Henie
$.50 Pick 4: 2,3,6,12/5,6/1,2,4,6/1,2,9 – Cost $48.00
Race 8-Female
5 – Catherine Wheel – She finished in the money in her last ten starts, running 2nd in her last race, she has the highest speed figure at today’s distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Perfect Shot – She won her last race, and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Cupid’s Heart – She ran 5th in her last race after having a lot of trouble, previously finishing in the money in nine races in a row, her best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and she has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Khali Magic – She finished 3rd in her last race and she has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Lemon Muffin
Bet: $20.00 Win:5 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 5/6 – $10.00 Exacta Box: 5/6/7
Race 9–
4 – Iron Dome – He won the last two races easily at Saratoga and he has a high % winning trainer whose horses wins 18% of the Non-Graded Stake races he has an entry in and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Hit the Post – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has a high % winning trainer and he has a good 4F workout on Aug-14.
1 – King’s Leap – He finished in the money in her last nine starts, winning four races and the rail post is winning at a 22% clip.
Longshot:
2 – Just Licorice – He has finished in the money in four races out of her last five starts, winning one race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Sky Masterson
Race 10-Female
9 – Garden of Grace – She ran 3rd vs similar in her last race, her best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and she has a high % winning jockey.
2 – No Ordinary Love – She finished 2nd vs similar in her last race, she has the highest last race speed rating (tie), and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Manhattan Beauty – She ran 6th in her last race but had a lot of trouble, she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and she has a good 4F workout on Aug-15.
Longshot:
3 – One Last Knock – She has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
5 – Stormy Central
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 8th Race – #5 – Catherine Wheel
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 7 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 26% w2w – PP: Rail Bonus, 2+ Mostly Fair
3 – CITY BLOCKS – TLRSP#+3 and Top TOTAL PACE +7 – 3rd up
6 – ACCELERATED NEWS – destroyed the comp in her first at Toga
1 – INTENTIOUS – better ATB in last – upgrades to Dylan Davis
7 – GRACE AND GRIT – SIM FAV – but lone dirt run didn’t go so well
$3 Double: 3/4,8,10
$1 Pick 3: 3,6/4,8,10/3
Race 2: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Closers, 16% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Discount, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
8 – ST. BRIGID’S CROSS – TLRSP# +15 – Yes horse w better EP and LP w/ better fractions – second up
10 – GRAND LUXX – 2.91 first time with strong works
4 – TAKEN BY THE WIND – Irad and Pletcher on well bred horse
7 – BIRCH RUN – needs a bounce back race or some rest – we’ll find out today
$0.50 Pick 4: 4,8,10/2,3/3,6,7/2,3,4,10,11
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 4,7,8,10
Race 3: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Stalkers, 24% w2w – PP: Inside Out
3 – KAY CUP – TLRSP#+3 – could be pacesetter and Top TOTAL PACE +7 – better EP and Fractions
2 – VEHEMENTE – only YES horse – SIM FAV – really fast work between starts
1 – CARMEN’S CANDY JAR – could be longest shot in a 5 horse field – 3rd up
4 – LOTTIE MARGARET – Brad Cox horse – big bounce in only other 2nd up
5 – VALTELLINA
Race 4: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: Closers, 1/12 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ None so far
7 – MIZTERTONIC – highly consistent – better Early and Late in last – good work between
6 – COACH CASE – problems in last and likely to be better in round 2 off the sidelines
3 – AELFGAR – SIM FAV – class dropper – Only w/ better Fractions – Irad and a Yes Horse at a price
5 – MO KREESA – should be forward vs a field that wants to close – needs the right fractions
$0.50 Pick 4: 3,6,7/3,4,11/4,7,13/2,5,12
Race 5: 1 1/16 Miles Inner Turf – Bias: Closers, 16% w2w – PP: Inside 3 Small Discount, 4-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
4 – PAN PAN – Only YES horse – room for more in the 3rd career start
11 – BEACH OF DREAMS – 2nd race improvement was 7/5 FAV in debut – going longer helps
3 – FONZI ANGEL – 2nd race improvement with drop from MSW
10 – RIVER EMPRESS – highest rated first timer vs the rest of noes
2 – SERAPHINA SEA
Race 6: 6 Furlongs – Bias: Stalkers, 24% w2w – PP: Inside Out
4 – SPARKLING MAMA – 2nd race improvement – more stamina today after speed and fade
13 – WANDER WOMAN – another with 2nd race improvement puting her in contention
7 – JETTY’S HOME – TLRSP#+ 4 and Top TOTAL PACE +6.5 for most experienced horses
2 – MARGARITA MOLLY – Top Rated 1ster and the rest are noes
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 2,4,7,13
Race 7: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 19% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
12 – GIN’S BEACH ROAD – speed, Lasix, 2nd race improvement
2 – GELLHORN – the other YES horse – upgrades to Irad in 3rd races
5 – JUSTINE – 2.97 Wesley Ward horse with solid works
11 – DANCING GIRL – another 1st timer with very strong works
3 – SHADES OF JADE
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,3,5,11,12/5,7/4,6/1,2,4,5,9
$0.50 Trifecta: 2,5,11/2,3,5,11,12/2,5,11
Race 8: 1 Mile – Bias: Early Speed, 32% w2w – PP: 1-7 A little Less than Fair, 8+ By Far Best
7 – CUPID’S HEART – 3rd up and should be forward where she does her best work
5 – CATHERINE WHEEL – TLRSP#+ 3 – SIM FAV and by Far top PAR+
8 – GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS – biggest class dropping longshot with Top TP
2 – KHALI MAGIC – ITM 10/12 at the distance and upgrades to Irad
Race 9: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Stalkers, 24% w2w – PP: Inside Out
6 – HIT THE POST – going to be on the lead – +8 EP – strong C ZONE – crushed the 4 when they met at TOGA
4 – IRON DOME – 4 SP# increases – much better EP in last with top edge LP +10
1 – KING’S LEAP – SIM FAV – 8 of 8 ITM on a fast track
2 – JUST LICORICE – 3rd up and looks better than the 3 – despite the 3 being the longest shot in a 5 horse field
$17 Win: 6
$7 Double: 6/1,2,4,5,9
Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bias: Stalkers, 19% w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ Discount
1 – MANHATTAN BEAUTY – has to be a reason this Bill Mott horse was 3/2 fav in debut
4 – AUDEMARS – first timer with very good works and pattern
9 – GARDEN OF GRACE – YES horse – TLRSP# Tie – with plenty of upside
5 – STORMY CENTRAL – another highly rated 1ster with Irad
