Saratoga Horse Racing Tips, Commentary, Analysis and Suggested Wagers
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Free Saratoga Picks
Terry’s Picks:
Saratoga – 7-17-2025
Race 1
1A – Flat On – He won his last race at Saratoga, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), and he has a high % winning jockey.
3 – Glint – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, he has the highest speed figure at today’s distance, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Lou – He finished 4th in his last start after having trouble during the race, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), he has a high % winning trainer who wins 25% of the claiming races she has a horse running in and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Indy Magic – He drops in class today, his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie), can improve while returning to dirt and blinkers added today.
Alternate:
4 – Az U Chase Me
Race 2
9 – Annexperience – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters and he has a high % winning trainer and switches to a high % winning jockey.
8 – Prince of Dance – He finished 3rd in his last race, he can improve while trying grass as his Dam has 2 winners from 4 starters and 1 Turf winner and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
4 – Spirit of the Law – He ran 3rd in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Deemer – He ran 4th in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 37% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and he has a good 4F workout on Jul-12.
Alternate:
1/1A – Alfred Bellows – Montosoli
$.50 Pick 4: 3,6,8,9/4,5,6/2,7/2,3,5,8 – Cost $48.00
Race 3
6 – Smooth Breeze – He has finished in the money in four out of six career starts winning two starts and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
5 – Leon Blue – He ran 2nd in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie).
4 – Outsource – He won his last race at Saratoga, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starters (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer.
Longshot:
2 – Sounds Like a Plan – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (3 2-1-0) and he has a bullet 4F workout (Jul-11).
Alternate:
3 – I’m Due
Race 4
7 – Schlomo – He has won two races out of his last three starts, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
2 – Macaw – He won his last race at Aqueduct, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Ride Up – He has won one race out of two starts at Saratoga and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
4 – Arcadian – He has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
3 – Shipman
1 – Masterwork
$.50 Pick 4: 2,7/2,3,5,8/1,5,6,7/1,2,6 – Cost $48.00
Race 5
8 – Fiddling Felix – He takes a big drop-in class today, has the highest last race speed rating (tie) and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
3 – Tactical Trackstar – He drops in class today, blinkers are added today and a good 4F workout on Jul-12.
2 – Aerate – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 30% of the races when taking a horse down 2+ classes, switches to a high % winning jockey and his best dirt speed is fastest among today’s starters.
Longshot:
5 – Otto Nipoti – He is a first-time starter whose Dam has 1 winner from 1 starter, breeding suits today’s sprint distance and he and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
9 – Motel Patel
Race 6-Female
5 – Sacred Goddess – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suits today’s sprint distance and she and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Charlottesuniverse – She is a first-time starter she and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey and this combo in the last 14 days has this record (7 3-4-0).
1 – Rocket Robin – She is a first-time starter whose breeding suggests she will like the grass and today’s sprint distance and she has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Bella Bello Banker – She finished disappointing in her debut race after having trouble, her Dam has 2 winners from 3 starters (but 0 Turf winners) and she switches to a high % winning jockey and blinkers added today.
Alternate:
13 – Big Heleonora
8 – Chardonnay Derby
9 – Hanna’s Hideaway
Race 7
2 – Great Richie – He drops in class today, he has the highest last race speed rating (tie), he has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the claiming races he has a horse running in and he switches to a high % winning jockey.
1 – Tetsu – He finished 3rd vs tougher in his last race, drops in class today he has a trainer who wins 26% of the races in the 2nd race after claiming a horse and he has a high % winning jockey.
6 – Skylander – He has finished in the money in five races out of the seven starts winning three starts, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Best Bet – He drops in class today, can improve while returning to dirt, can improve at the shorter distance, and he has a high % winning trainer.
Alternate:
8 – J J’s Joker
$.50 Pick 4: 1,2,6/1,3,5,7/6,7/1,6,7,11 – Cost $48.00
Race 8
3 – Stars and Stripes – He won his last race at Aqueduct by 10-lenghts, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
5 – Tracking Error – He has finished in the money in five out of six career starts winning one start, finishing 3rd vs similar in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Waitlist – He ran 3rd in his last race, he has the highest last race speed rating and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
7 – Lordship – He has won one race out of two career starts, he has a high % winning trainer and jockey and blinkers added today.
Alternate:
2 – Rocketeer
Race 9
7 – Enlighten – He was beaten only 2.00 lengths vs similar in his last start, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
6 – Barnstorming – He has finished in the money in his last three starts winning the last start, and he can handle the distance.
10 – Badge of War – He has won two races out of his last four starts, finishing 3rd vs similar (on Dirt) in last race and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Longshot:
2 – Just for Luck – He finished 3rd vs similar in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
Alternate:
8 – Fredo
9 – Gem Mint Ten
Bet: $40.00 Win: 7 – $10.00 Exacta: 7/2,6,10 – $5.00 Exacta Box:6,7,10
Race 10
11 – Film Academy – He drops in class today, he may improve while returning to a sprint, his best turf speed is fastest among today’s starter and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
1 – Orie – He ran 2nd vs similar in his last race, and he has a high % winning trainer and jockey.
7 – Eighty Gold – He ran 3rd (on Dirt) in his last race as the favorite but has a high % winning trainer who wins 21% of the races when bringing a beaten favorite back to race again, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Longshot:
6 – Viking Warrior – He has a high % winning trainer who wins 22% of the maiden claiming races he has a horse running in, and he has a high % winning jockey.
Alternate:
12 – Hello Newman
15 – Mozambique
13 – Nyikos
Best Bet of the Day at PARX Racing – 9th Race – #7 – Enlighten
Rich’s Picks:
Race 1: 1 Mile – Bias: 7 races – Early Speed, 4/7 w2w – PP: Rail Discount, 2-7 Bonus, 8+ None
1A – FLAT ON – could be on the lead as LONE E and room to be better in 2nd up
4 – AZ U CHASE ME – resume says at least as good – probably better in round 2 – SIM FAV
3 – GLINT – better ATB in last – ITM 6/8 at the distance and Top TOTAL PACE
5 – LOU – closer that could benefit to going longer again – seems to always fall a little short
Race 2: 1 Mile Inner Turf – Bias: 5 Races – Early Speed, 2 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ None
9 – ANNEXPERIENCE – only YES horse and room to be better in the 3rd up
8 – PRINCE OF DANCE – 2nd race improvement – but moving up in class
7 – GOD GIVEN – first time starter – 2.96/3 vs noes and maybes with a back bullet
6 – DEEMER – tough call over the 4 – but more upside in just the 3rd race
$0.50 Pick 4: 6,7,8,9/4,6/2,6,7/2,3,5,8
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 6,7,8,9
Race 3: 1 1/16 Miles Turf – Bias: 4 Races – Closers, 1 w2w – PP: All from 4-7
6 – SMOOTH BREEZE – major SIM FAV – rarely makes 2 starts in a row -finally healthy
4 – OUTSOURCE – aggressive improvement in his first turf start – maybe a grass horse?
5 – LEON BLUE – much better EP in last and could be better in 2nd up
2 – SOUNDS LIKE A PLAN – bounce back race coming after a bullet work
Race 4: 6 Furlongs – Bais: 5 Races, Early Speed, 2 w2w – PP: Outside In – None from Rail
6 – RIDE UP – Top TOTAL PACE – win and a 2nd in a pair at the distance
7 – SCHLOMO – going to be on the lead +6 EP – SIM FAV – needs to rebound here – maintenance work helps
2 – MACAW – TLRSP# +3 – better ATB – big win in last – Alpha Angle
3 – SHIPMAN – very consistent performer – toss out last and see if he returns to form
$0.50 Pick 4: 2,6,7/2,8/4,5,8,12/1,2,4,6
Race 5: 6 Furlongs – Bais: 5 Races, Early Speed, 2 w2w – PP: Outside In – None from Rail
2 – AERATE – strong SIM FAV -+ by far Top C ZONE, PAR+ and +6 Top TOTAL PACE
8 – FIDDLING FELIX – TLRSP#+4 – has faced stronger – better in round 2 off the sidelines
5 – OTTO NIPOTI – have to give the first timer a chance versus noes and maybes
3 – TACTICAL TRACKSTAR – most potential upside in just the 2nd career start
$26 Win: 2
Race 6: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bais: 7 Races 4 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Best, 4+ Same Discount
4 – TRADING TROUBLE – first timers ranked mostly in order
12 – MY BOSTON BEAUTY – best works if she is in
5 – SACRED GODDESS
8 – CHARDONNAY DERBY
7 – CHARLOTTESUNIVERSE -if the 12 doesn’t race
$0.50 Trifecta Box: 4,5,8,12 – 7
Race 7: 7 Furlongs – Bias: 2 Races – 1 speed and 1 closer – 1 Winner 2/3 and 4-7
4 – NEUSCHWANSTEIN – Top TOTAL PACE and rerun his June 13th race could be a winner at a price
2 – GREAT RICHIE M – highly consistent – gets Irad and biggest class dropper
6 – SKYLANDER – YES horse and drops too with highest C ZONE
1 – TETSU – SIM FAV – another YES horse – semi left arrow – I think Jose helps
$0.50 Pick 4: 1,2,4,6/1,3/4,7,8/1,7,11,12
Race 8: 1 1/8 Miles – Bias: Early Speed, 1/5 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Discount, None from 8+
3 – STARS AND STRIPES – a ton of upside in just his third start – Top TOTAL PACE 1 ½ Lengths
1 – WAITLIST – SIM FAV and only YES horse – better early and late in last – distance might be an issue
2 – ROCKETEER – Irad on a horse with as good as any form at Toga – Pacesetter
7 – LORDSHIP – Flavien and Chad Brown – that’s a hard combo to get past in a horse – ATB making just its third start
Race 9: 1 Mile Inner Turf – Bias: 5 Races – Early Speed, 2 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Best, 4-7 Discount, 8+ None
4 – JAVA BUZZ – taking a flyer – very aggressive ES edge with a strong C ZONE – get the right fractions and they are not catching him – weight break – ITM 4/5 of Toga Turf and 2 second in 2 at the distance
7 – ENLIGHTEN – better ATB – class dropper – Top TOTAL PACE on the Turf
8 – FREDO – SIM FAV – a win and 2nd in a pair on Toga Turf – just missed last out
2 – JUST FOR LUCK – will be coming hard at the end – resume says chance to be a lot better in round 2
$5 Exacta Key Box: 4/2,7,8,10
$5 Double: 4/11,12
Race 10: 5 ½ Furlongs Turf – Bais: 7 Races 4 w2w – PP: None from Rail, 2/3 Best, 4+ Same Discount
11 – FILM ACADEMY – YES horse on the MSW drop
12 – HELLO NEWMAN – YES horse MSW drop with potential to pop in 3rd career start
1 – ORIE – makes 2nd start in a row for the first time – finally healthy
7 – EIGHTY GOLD – pacesetter and chance to be lone E with Irad
